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Toledo Rockets vs. BYU Cougars Odds - Prediction

Toledo Rockets (3-0 SU, 2-1 ATS) vs. BYU Cougars (1-3 SU, 4-0 ATS)
College Football Week 5
Date/Time: Friday, September 30, 2016 – 8:00 PM EDT
Where: LaVell Edwards Stadium, Provo, UT
TV: FSN
by KEITH, NCAA Football Handicapper, Predictem.com

Point Spread: TOLEDO +4/BYU -4
Over/Under Total: 52

The Toledo Rockets (3-0) and the BYU Cougars (1-3) will meet for the first time in their school histories. The much anticipated encounter will take place Friday, September 30th when the Rockets will embark to Provo, Utah to face off with the hosting Brigham Young Cougars. The game will be televised on Fox Sports Network at 8:00 PM EDT.

The Rockets continues to win and do so with style. However, the Rockets do not have the same mystique as they have had, as they have been teeing off on FCS opponents in recent weeks that are construed by many as nothing more than a bunch of chumps padding their schedule. These results combined with a bye week have casted Toledo as unprepared for their encounter with the Cougars on the road in Provo. The same may not have been said immediately after the Rockets kicked off their season with a bang against Arkansas State when the Rockets embarrassed the Red Wolves 30-7 on Arkansas State’s own home field.

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The Brigham Young Cougars are in disarray. After the Cougs won their season opener against Arizona 18-16, BYU has since engaged in a difficult three-game losing streak. For BYU they lost three games they could have won as the Cougars were no more than a field goal behind in each of their three losses. In fact the combined total for the three losses the Cougars suffered was just one touchdown. All of these results were yielded against Power Five opposition, including Utah, UCLA and West Virginia. Cougars players, supporters and fans alike probably feel as if they could easily be 4-0 right now with a sparkling top-twenty five ranking beside their name.

Fading the public in many occasions yields a plethora of benefits. When you get a situation where you can take by an undefeated team with points against a team that lost three straight, we have to like that angle even more. Toledo is not some mediocre mid-major team. Toledo can very much be a Power Five Conference member and they play one like too when they are placed against premier opposition. The Rockets won 10 games in 2015 and they achieved this by winning against teams they were supposed to lose against. The Rockets took down a solid SEC team in Arkansas Razorbacks in the season opener when Arkansas was ranked. This accolade was proliferated on the road as usual. Furthermore, let us examine what transpired just a few weeks ago in Jonesboro, Arkansas. Heavy action rolled in on a slight favorite in Arkansas State and contrary to the public insight, Arkansas State was absolutely rolled as they had been each and every time the Rockets had crossed paths with them. Yet, Toledo was the marginalized dog.

To Toledo, BYU is no different than any other opponent. While they may have never met them, one must imagine the Rockets are chomping at the bit for the chance. Toledo has an attitude that they will play anyone, anywhere even if their recent schedule seems like fodder to them. Some can recite that argument that BYU could easily be 4-0 right now but at the end of the day, the Cougars have lost three games and Toledo has yet to lose, both teams know this and it is BYU that may enter this contest unprepared and psyched out. Regardless of how they lost, the Cougars are on a losing streak and that in itself is worth fading. When you consider the behavior of this market and how it parallels Toledo in Week One when they were a road dog, Toledo is the team with all the more appeal.

In terms of Over/Under markets the under is probably the more affable play. Toledo and BYU are defense first football teams and both look to control the clock and run the ball. This game will likely be a game of possessions though it is not inconceivable that Toledo controls this game in entirety. We have to like Toledo with the emotional edge given the fact they have won as many games as BYU has lost, regardless of circumstances.

KEITH’s Pick to Cover the Point Spread: TOLEDO +3.5

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NCAA Football Week 5 Betting Previews

Here are some additional game previews from this week's college football card.

Free Picks

Editor's Picks - Each weekend our very own in-house All-American Editor makes his NCAA point spread predictions in an attempt to force fumbles, sack and intercept your bookie!

Expert College Football Picks - Free premium college foots plays against the spread from expert handicappers from around the web from week 1 through the National Championship.

Underdog of the Week Pick - We sort through it all and find out which University is getting "too many points" this week. If there was a Heisman Trophy for picking underdogs, we'd be a frontrunner. Expect a 57%+ winning percentage with these picks as we've got a keen ear for loud barking dogs.

Line Movement - NCAA football lines open early in the week and often times move up or down based on wagering activity, injuries to key players and weather. We decipher whether it's square or wiseguy action and predict the point spread winner based on value.

College Football Consensus Picks - We assess the public perception each week and let them pick the winners for us as we fade their selections which provides us with many trips into our bookies endzone.

Computer Picks - We enter them into the computer and the machine makes it's picks. This is a great guide especially when betting totals! These are available after the first few weeks of the season.

Trends - Despite what you have been told or read on tout sites, the trend ain't your friend. We however turn the tables and fade the almighty trend for what should be some great profits over time.

2017/2018 College Football Predictions - Bob gives his picks to win each major conference. At the end, he gives his prediction on who thinks will win the 2018 National Championship game at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on January 8th.

2017 Heisman Trophy Predictions - USC QB Sam Darnold is a heavy pre-season favorite to win college football's most coveted award, but Jay isn't buying it. In fact, he's passing up the top (3) favored players in favor of a QB who he's confident will be NCAA football's best player in 2017.

2017-2018 College Football Championship Predictions - NCAA football experts have the Alabama Crimson Tide running away with the National Championship this season and who can blame them? Roll Tide is LOADED! It never happens that easy though. The USC Trojans (+825), Florida St. Seminoles (+850) and Ohio St. Buckckeyes (+875) all have a legit shot. Oddsmakers have Oklahoma (+1300) on the bubble and everybody looking from the outside in at 20/1 or higher. Jay gives his pick to win it all along with how his top 15 rankings for season's end. Get your bets in early before your favorite team's line drops!

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Intertops - The safest place to bet on the web as they've been around over 20 years! Enjoy LIVE college football betting where you can jump into the action at any time during the game and place a bet! This gives you a huge advantage!

Heisman Trophy Betting Odds - USC QB Sam Darnold starts the season off as a heavy favorite at +350 odds. Sooners QB Baker Mayfield is second on the list at +700 but can he keep his nose clean? Louisville QB Lamar Jackson should dominate this season but will Louisville be taken seriously? Oregon Ducks RB Royce Freeman is worth a pop at 60/1 if he gets the carries. Bama WR Calvin Ridley brings experience and big-time playmaking ability and will be featured on National TV a bunch, giving him a legit darkhorse shot. But will they throw the ball enough with a QB who likes to run? Missing from this year's list of odds is a defensive player.

Odds to Win the 2017 College Football Championship - The Alabama Crimson Tide are heavy favorites to win the National Championship this year at 5/2 followed by Ohio St. at 13/5, USC at 7/1 and FSU at 17/2. Things drop off a bit with the Oklahoma Sooners coming in at 12/1, Auburn Tigers at 14/1 and Michigan Wolverines at 16/1. Check out your favorite school's odds here!

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