IMPORTANT: PLEASE READ! It is important that you understand how we're presenting these picks on this page otherwise you may become confused and be playing the opposite of what we're actually recommending.
The idea here is that we think trends are crap. We are posting a trend, then noting what the trend suggests that you PLAY. WE HOWEVER ARE FADING THESE TRENDS AND TAKING THE OPPOSITE OF WHAT THE TREND RECOMMENDS. This means that even though we note the trend appearing to favor a certain team statistically, we are actually on the opposite.
There is an old saying that goes something like "Let the trend be your friend" and we're out to prove this wrong as what's old news is old news. Enjoy! (Plays posted by Friday afternoon of each week)
Week 1: (9/2 through 9/6)
1. The SMU Mustangs are 3-13-1 ATS in their last 17 vs. Big 12 teams. Take SMU at +13.5 (pending)(Sunday game!)
2. The Michigan Wolverines are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September. (Take Uconn at +3)(pending)
3. The Missouri Tigers are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 non-conference games. (Take Illinois at +12)(pending)
Previous Year's Results:
Bowl Games:
1. Pittsburgh Panthers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite.
(Take UNC +1)(loss)
2. The Boise State Broncos are 36-15-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning
record. (Take TCU -7 (loss)
Week 14 (12/3/09 through 12/5/09)
1. The Florida Gators are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite
of 3.5-10.0. (Take Bama +5.5)(win)
2. The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games
overall. (Take Clemson -1)(loss)
Week 13 (11/24/09 through 11/28/09)
1. The South Carolina Gamecocks are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home
games vs. a team with a winning road record. (Take Clemson -3.5)(loss)
2. The Over is 4-1 in the Virginia Cavaliers last 5 games as an underdog
of 10.5 or greater. (Take UNDER 41.5)(loss)
3. The Stanford Cardinal are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 home games.
(Take Notre Dame +10)(win)
4. The Hawaii Warriors are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home
underdog of 3.5-10.0. (Take Navy -10)(loss)
Week 12 (11/18/09 through 11/21/09)
1. The Over is 10-3 in South Florida Bulls last 13 home games. (Take
UNDER 45.5)(loss)
2. The Fighting Irish are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating
less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. (Take Uconn +6.5)(win)
3. The Arizona Wildcats are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 home games.
(Take Oregon -6)(loss)
4. The Kansas State Wildcats are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as
a road underdog. (Take Nebraska -16.5)(loss)
5. The Indiana Hoosiers are 8-17-1 ATS in their last 26 games in
November. (Take Indiana +2.5)(loss)
6. The Fresno State Bulldogs are 7-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning
record. (Take Louisiana Tech +9)(win)
Week 11 (11/10/09 through 11/15/09)
1. The North Carolina State Wolfpack are 12-3-1 ATS vs. a team with
a winning record. (Take Clemson -8)(win)
2. The Over is 28-11 in the Idaho Vandals last 39 road games. (Take
Idaho/Boise State UNDER 62.5)(loss)
3. Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between Florida/South Carolina.
(Take UNDER 43.5)(win)
4. The Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between Nebraska and Kansas.
(Take UNDER 43)(loss)
5. The Under is 28-6 in the Georgia Bulldogs last 34 games following
a SU win of more than 20 points. (Take OVER 54.5)(win)
Week 10 (11/3/09 through 11/8/09)
1. The Stanford Cardinal are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 home games.
(Take Oregon -7)(loss)
2. The Florida State Seminoles are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games
as an underdog of 3.5-10.0. (Take Clemson -9.5)(win)
3. The Cal Golden Bears are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games as a
home favorite. (Take Oregon State +7)(win)
4. The Arizona Wildcats are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 home games.
(Take Wash. St. +32)(loss)
5. The Penn State Nittany Lions are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games
overall. (Take Ohio St. +5.5)(win)
6. The Over is 7-1 in the Ohio State Buckeyes last 8 games in November.
(Take the UNDER 39)(win)
Week 9 (10/27/09 through 11/1/09)
1. South Florida Bulls are 3-11 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
(Take South Florida at +3)(win)
2. The Mississippi Rebels are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games after
accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. (Take Auburn
+5)(win)
3. The Texas Tech Red Raiders are 38-16 ATS in their last 54 games
following a S.U. loss. (Take Kansas +6.5)(loss)
4. The USC Trojans are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games after allowing
more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. (Take Oregon +3)(win)
5. The Over is 7-3 in Tigers last 10 games after allowing less than
275 total yards in their previous game. (Take UNDER 43.5)(win)
Week 8 (10/21/09 through 10/24/09)
1. The Arkansas Razorbacks are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as an
underdog. (Take Ole Miss at -6.5)(win)
2. The Ball State Cardinals are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 road games.
(Take Eastern Mich. +2.5)(win)
3. The Miami Hurricanes are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
(Take Clemson +4.5)(win)
4. The Arkansas State Under is 15-5-1 in Red Wolves last 21 games
overall. . (Take OVER 58.5)(loss)
5. The New Mexico Lobos are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
(Take New Mexico +1)(loss)
Week 7 (10/17/09 through 10/17/09)
1. The Iowa Hawkeyes are 7-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
(Take Wisconsin -2.5)(loss)
2. The Minnesota Golden Gophers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road
games. (Take Penn State -17.5)(win)
3. The Boston College Eagles are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after
allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. (Take NC State
+2.5)(loss)
4. The South Carolina Gamecocks are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games
after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. (Take
Alabama -18)(loss)
5. The Missouri Over is 12-3 in Tigers last 15 road games vs. a team
with a winning home record. (Take UNDER 55)(win)
Week 6 (10/5/09 through 10/10/09)
1. The Boston College Eagles are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games
as a road underdog. (Take Virginia Tech -14)(win)
2. The West Virginia Mountaineers are 11-0 ATS in their last 11 road
games vs. a team with a losing home record. (Take Syracuse +10)(loss)
3. The Minnesota Golden Gophers are 12-3 ATS vs. a team with a losing
record. (Take Purdue +3)(loss)
4. The Under is 12-5 in the Auburn Tigers last 17 games following
a ATS win. (Take the OVER 64.5)(win)
5. The Wisconsin Badgers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
(Take Ohio State -16)(win)
6. The San Jose State Spartans are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games
as a home favorite. (Take Idaho +4.5)(win).
Week 5 (9/30/09 through 10/3/09)
1. The Toledo Rockets are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games as a road
favorite of 3.5-10.0. (Take Ball State +5)(loss)
2. The East Carolina Pirates are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games in
October. (Take Marshall +2)(loss)
3. The Georgia Bulldogs are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
(Take Georgia -3.5)(loss)
4. The Under is 19-7 in Auburn Tigers last 26 games as an underdog.
(Take Auburn/Tennessee OVER 51.5)(loss)
5. The Idaho Vandals are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog
of 3.5-10.0. (Take Idaho +3.5)(win)
Week 4 (9/24/09 through 9/26/09)
1: The Buffalo Bulls are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games as a road
underdog. (Take Temple -3.5)(win)
2. The Florida State Seminoles are 24-10-1 ATS in their last 35 home
games vs. a team with a winning road record. (Take South Florida +14)(win)
3. The LSU Tigers are 15-7-1 ATS in their last 23 games as a road
favorite. (Take MSU +12)(win)
4. The Notre Dame Fighting Irish are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games
as a road favorite. (Take Purdue +6.5)(win)
5. The Under is 11-5 in Blazers last 16 games in September. (Take
OVER 64.5)(win)
Week 3 (9/17/09 through 9/19/09)
1. The Washington Huskies are 22-53-2 ATS in their last 77 conference
games. (Play Washington at +19)(pending)
2. The Maryland Terrapins are 16-6 ATS in their last 22 games as
a favorite of 3.5-10.0. (Play Midddle Tenn. St. at +7)(pending)
3. The Iowa Hawkeyes are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as a home
favorite of 3.5-10.0.(Play Arizona at +4)(pending)
4. The Cincinnati Bearcats are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games in
September. (Play Oregon State +1.5)(Pending)
Week 2 (9/9/09 through 9/12/09)
1. The Buffalo Bulls are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 vs. Big East. (Take Buffalo
+10.5)(loss)
2. The Army Black Knights are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 non-conference games.
(Take Duke -1)(win)
3. The Wake Forest Demon Deacons are 7-16 ATS in their last 23 games as
a home favorite. (Take Wake -2)(win)
4. The Iowa Hawkeyes are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games after scoring less
than 20 points in their previous game. (Take Iowa State +6)(loss)
5. The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games in September.
(Take Louisiana Tech +7)(loss)
6. The Memphis Tigers are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games following
a straight up loss. (Take Middle Tennessee State -1)(win)
7. The Auburn Tigers are 18-8 ATS in their last 26 games following
a ATS win. (Take Miss. St. +14)(loss)
8. The Purdue Boilermakers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a
road underdog of 10.5 or greater. (Take Oregon -13)(loss)
Week 1 (9/3/09 through 9/7/09)
1. The Ohio State Buckeyes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a fav. (Take
Navy +22)(win).
2. The Georgia Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog.
(Take Oklahoma State -5.5)(win)
3. The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as
an underdog. This is negative trend info so we play the opposite.(Take W.
Kentucky +29.5)(loss)
4. The Over is 6-1 in UL Monroe Warhawks last 7 games as an underdog.(Take
UNDER 61)(loss)
5. The Wisconsin Badgers are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 non-conference games.(Take
Northern Illinois at +16.5)(win)
PREVIOUS WEEK'S NCAA FOOTBALL TRENDS:
Week 14 College Football Trends: (11/29/08)
The Florida State Seminoles are 24-9-1 ATS in their last 34 home games vs.
a team with a winning road record.(Take Florida -16)(win)
The Oregon Ducks are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games on turf. (Take Oregon
State -3)(loss)
Week 13 College Football Trends: (11/22/08)
The Arizona Wildcats are 6-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. (Take
Oregon State +2.5)(win)
The Texas Tech Red Raiders are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after scoring
more than 40 points in their previous game. (Take Oklahoma -7)(win)
Week 12 College Football Trends: (11/15/08)
Passing.
Week 11 College Football Trends: (11/8/08)
Passing.
Week 10 College Football Trends: (11/1/08) .
Trend #1: The California Golden Bears are 5-0 ATS in their
last 5 home games. (Take Oregon +3)(loss)
Trend #2: The Texas Longhorns are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
(Take Texas Tech +3.5)(win)
Week 9 College Football Trends: (10/25/08)
Passing.
Trend #1: The Louisiville Cardinals are 4-9 ATS in their
last 13 games on grass. (Take Louisville +3.5)(win)
Trend #2: The Alabama Crimson Tide are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games following
a ATS loss. (Take Bama -5)(win)
Trend #3: The Georgia Bulldogs are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games following
a ATS loss. (Take Georgia +1)(win)
Week 8 College Football Trends: (10/18/08)
Passing.
Trend #1: The Texas Longhorns are 5-0 ATS in their last
5 games following a ATS win. (Take Missouri +4)(loss)
Trend #2: The Duke Blue Devils are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 home games.
(Take Duke +3)(loss)
Trend #3: The North Carolina Tar Heels are 13-6-1 ATS in their last 20 games
in October. (Take Virginia +4)(win)
Week 7 NCAA Foots Trends: PASSED!
Week 6 College Football Trends: (10/4/08)
Back att'em after a uneventful 1-1 week.
Trend #1: The Ohio State Buckeyes are 13-3 ATS in their
last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. (Take Wiscy +1)(loss)
Trend #2: The Stanford Cardinal are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 vs. Independent
Schools. (Take Stanford +6.5)(loss)
Trend #3: The Tennessee Volunteers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after
allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game. (Take NIU +16)(win)
Week 5 College Football Trends: (9/26/08)
Back att'em after a decent 2-1 week.
Trend #1: The Wisconsin Badgers are 20-6-1 ATS in their
last 27 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
(Take Michigan +5 (win)
Trend #2: The Texas Longhorns are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 non-conference
games. (Take Arkansas +27.5) (loss).
Week 4 College Football Trends: (9/19/08)
We passed last week after a crappy showing in week 2.
Trend #1: The Missouri Tigers are 13-3 ATS vs. non confernce
teams in their last 16 games.. This makes our play Buffalo +33 (win).
Trend #2: The Purdue Boilermakers are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games in
September. This makes our play on Central Michigan at +10.5 (win).
Trend #3: Bulldogs are 6-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. (Take Bama
+6.5)
Week 3: PASSED.
Week 2 College Football Trends: (9/4/08 through 9/6/08)
A good showing last week going 3-1 for a nice tidy profit. Back for week
2 college football and we've got some goodies this week!
Trend #1: The Oklahoma Sooners are 6-1 ATS in their last
7 games in September. This makes our play Cinci at +21.5. (loss)
Trend #2: The Penn State Nittany Lions are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 non-conference
games. This makes our play on Oregon State at +15.5. (loss)
Trend #3: The Over is 14-4 in the Nebraska Cornhuskers last 18 home games.
This makes our fade play UNDER 57.5. (win)
The Alabama Crimson Tide are 7-19-2 ATS in their last 28 home games. This
makes the fade play Bama at -30. (loss)
Week 1 College Football Trends: (8/30/08)
Trend #1: The Virginia Tech Hokies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games. This
makes our fade play East Carolina +9.5 (Winner).
Trend #2: Michigan is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games. Fade that and make
our play Utah +3 (Winner).
Trend #3: The Florida Gators OVERS are 7-1 in their last 8 games. This makes
our fade play on the UNDER 67.5 (Winner).
Trend #4: The favorite in the Washington/Oregon is 5-0 ATS in their last
5 matchups. Fade this and go with Washington at +13.5 (loss).
Editor's Picks - Each weekend our very own in-house All-American Editor makes his NCAA point spread predictions in an attempt to force fumbles, sack and intercept your bookie!
Expert Picks - Free premium college foots plays against the spread from expert handicappers from around the web from week 1 through the National Championship.
Underdog of the Week Pick - We sort through it all and find out which University is getting "too many points" this week. If there was a Heisman Trophy for picking underdogs, we'd be a frontrunner. Expect a 57%+ winning percentage with these picks as we've got a keen ear for loud barking dogs.
Favorite of the Week Pick - Giving points means we start the game down. We're not a real big fan of betting college football favorites as it's similar to trading field goals for touchdowns but stick with us as we buck the odds each week, selecting the favored team with the best chance of covering the spread.
Over/Under of the Week - Expect great value from this pick each week as we've cashed in big on betting over/unders over the years.
Line Movement - NCAA football lines open early in the week and often times move up or down based on wagering activity, injuries to key players and weather. We decipher whether it's square or wiseguy action and predict the point spread winner based on value.
College Football Consensus Picks - We assess the public perception each week and let them pick the winners for us as we fade their selections which provides us with many trips into our bookies endzone.
Computer Picks - We enter them into the computer and the machine makes it's picks. This is a great guide especially when betting totals! These are available after the first few weeks of the season.
Trends - Despite what you have been told or read on tout sites, the trend ain't your friend. We however turn the tables and fade the almighty trend for what should be some great profits over time.
2010 College Football Predictions - Badger breaks down the top teams and lists their odds to win the 2011 BCS Championship as well. At the end he gives his pick on who thinks will win the 2011 BCS National Championship game.
2010 Heisman Trophy Predictions - Reigning Heisman winner Mark Ingram (RB) looks to repeat his 2009 effort and defend his title against a respectable field of athletes. Ingram is the favorite at +380 with Ohio State QB Terrelle Pryor not far behind at +550. Check out Jay's predictions (with analysis) to win the coveted trophy this season.
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PlayersOnly - Their progressive parlays allow you to lose some games and still cash in your betting ticket!
Heisman Trophy Betting Odds - Tim Tebow, Sam Bradford, Colt McCoy or ? You make the call!
Odds to Win the 2010 BCS Championship - Florida heads up the list at 2-1 followed closely by the Oklahoma Sooners, Texas Longhorns and Ohio State Buckeyes.
Heisman Trophy Winners - A full list of college football quarterbacks, running backs and wide receivers who have made history on the field and won the prestigious award.
The Spread - Offers scores, odds, free game predictions, current news and more!
