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Tuesday Night College Football

Tuesday Night Two-Pack
by Badger of Predictem.com

Thanks to the four-letter word network ESPN and all of its various outlets, football fans and degenerate gamblers will be able to enjoy not one, but two stunningly mediocre college football games this Tuesday night.

Here’s a short preview of both games to help you decide which sides to put your wagers on, if you so choose. Play them separate, tease them, or put them in a parlay if you wish, either way here’s a quick rundown of tonight’s Tuesday two-pack.

Buffalo Bulls (3-4) +1.5, 50.5 O/U at Ohio Bobcats (2-6) -1.5, 50.5 O/U, Peden Stadium, Athens, Ohio, 7 PM Eastern, Tuesday, ESPNU

The Ohio Bobcats return to the airwaves again this Tuesday, this time as hosts as the Bobcats welcome the Buffalo Bulls into Peden Stadium for a mid-week MAC clash on ESPNU.

The Bobcats suffered a disheartening loss on ESPN last Tuesday, giving up the game-winning touchdown in the closing seconds of a 14-10 loss to the Temple Owls. The game was disheartening because the Bobcats clearly outplayed the Owls, only to fade at the tape.

The good news for Ohio is that they are finally back home in Peden Stadium this week after playing three consecutive games on the road. The Bobcats are 1-1 at home this season (0-1 ATS), with a win over VMI and a narrow loss to Central Michigan (31-28) as the results.

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Buffalo ended a three-game slide last week with a 27-24 victory over Army in overtime. It’s been a weird season for the Bulls, as four of their last five games (including the last three in a row) have all been decided on the game’s FINAL play. Unfortunately for bettors, the Bulls are 1-3 ATS in those four games, so the final play hasn’t translated into cash for those holding a ticket with Buffalo on it.

Offensively this game will feature two of the MAC’s top passing quarterbacks. They will be relied upon heavily too, as neither team has a running back with over 500 yards on the season.

Ohio’s Boo Jackson has thrown for 1,557 yards and nine touchdowns, it’s his eight interceptions that have hurt the Bobcats in the standings. Buffalo’s Drew Willy has enjoyed a strong senior season so far (1,735 yds., 14 TD) and only needs 399 yards to become the school’s career passing leader.

The Bobcats defense is slightly better overall than the Bulls (Ohio 50th – 341 ypg; Buffalo 92nd – 389.4 ypg), but they both allow over 300 yards plus per game so don’t expect too much defense. Ohio’s 24.9 ppg allowed is only slightly better than Buffalo’s 28.4 ppg average, so expect some points to go up on the scoreboard too.

Buffalo won last year’s game between the two at home, 31-10, and is 4-3 ATS this season. Ohio won the previous three meetings before last year’s loss though, and is 6-0 SU at home in Peden Stadium in the series.

Badger’s Pick: I expect the ball to be flying tonight, as both quarterbacks should be able to take advantage of weak defenses. Take the over of 50.5.

Houston Cougars (4-3) -7.5, 62.5 O/U at Marshall Thundering Herd (3-4) +7.5, 62.5 O/U, Joan C. Edwards Stadium, Huntington, W.Va., 8 PM Eastern, Tuesday, ESPN2

Conference USA gets a rare national showcase game Tuesday night on ESPN2, when the Houston Cougars travel to Joan C. Edwards Stadium to take on the Thundering Herd of Marshall.

The Cougars come into tonight’s game on a roll, winning three straight games including a 44-38 victory over SMU 10 days ago on the road. The Cougars starting the modest winning streak with a 41-24 upset victory over East Carolina back in September, and ironically have scored t least 41 points in each of the three victories.

Marshall enters the contest on the opposite side of a streak, losing three straight including a 23-21 decision to UAB last time out. The three game slide comes on the heels of a two-game win streak in September with victories over Memphis and Southern Mississippi to start the C-USA schedule.

Offensively the Cougars feature on of the country’s top passing offenses. Quarterback Case Keenum (2,691 yds., 24 TD) ranks second in the nation in passing yards per game (384.4 ypg) and third nationally in overall yards.

Marshall’s offense has struggled the past few years, mainly because other programs have raided previous offensive coordinators with promotions out of Huntington. Quarterback Mark Cann (1,358 yds. 8 TD, 8 INT) does have a nice weapon outside in receiver Darrius Passmore. Passmore has 724 yards and six touchdowns this season.

Don’t expect much defense out of either team tonight, as both teams allow 400 yards per game (Marshall 103rd – 427.6 ypg; Houston 97th – 399 ypg) and nearly four touchdowns a contest on defense (Marshall 75th – 26.7 ppg; Houston 85th – 28.6 ppg).

Houston won last year’s matchup between the two schools, 35-28, in the first-ever meeting head-to-head between the two squads.

Chances are you haven’t bet on either of these teams in 2008, but if you have, you’ve been a loser. Houston is 2-4 ATS on the season, while Marshall is just 1-5 ATS this year.

The one historical betting trend that stands out in this matchup is the under. The under is 6-2 in both Houston’s AND Marshall’s last eight C-USA games, including three in a row for Marshall and both home games at Joan C. Edwards Stadium in 2008.

Badger’s Pick: The ball should be flying in this game too, but Houston is just deeper and more talented than Marshall right now. Take the Cougars on the road in this one. Houston minus the 7.5 points.

Free Picks

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Underdog of the Week Pick - We sort through it all and find out which University is getting "too many points" this week. If there was a Heisman Trophy for picking underdogs, we'd be a frontrunner. Expect a 57%+ winning percentage with these picks as we've got a keen ear for loud barking dogs.

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Line Movement - NCAA football lines open early in the week and often times move up or down based on wagering activity, injuries to key players and weather. We decipher whether it's square or wiseguy action and predict the point spread winner based on value.

College Football Consensus Picks - We assess the public perception each week and let them pick the winners for us as we fade their selections which provides us with many trips into our bookies endzone.

Computer Picks - We enter them into the computer and the machine makes it's picks. This is a great guide especially when betting totals! These are available after the first few weeks of the season.

Trends - Despite what you have been told or read on tout sites, the trend ain't your friend. We however turn the tables and fade the almighty trend for what should be some great profits over time.

2013 College Football Predictions - Badger gives his picks to win each major conference. At the end, he gives his pick on who thinks will win the 2014 BCS National Championship game.

2013 Heisman Trophy Predictions - Will Johnny Football repeat? This year's list of "Heisman Hopefuls" is pretty balanced and the award is truly up for grabs. OSU Quarterback Braxton Miller is the favorite at +500 with South Carolina defensive stud JaDeveon Clowney not far behind at +700.

2014 BCS Championship Predictions - College football handicapper Jay Horne gives his picks on who he thinks will win the 2014 Bowl Championship Series (BCS) National Championship. Despite not liking to side with heavy favorites, he believes the Alabama Crimson Tide are unstoppable and has high expectations for them to cash his betting ticket at season's end!

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