UCLA Bruins 3-3 SU, 1-5 ATS) vs. Arizona Wildcats (1-5 SU, 2-4 ATS), 9:00 p.m. EST, College Football Week 8, Thursday, October 20, 2011, Arizona Stadium, Tucson, Arizona, TV: ESPN
by Scotty L, NCAA Football Handicapper, Predictem.com
Point Spread: University of Southern California Los Angeles +3/University of Arizona -3
Over/Under Total: OFF
Bet the Bruins/Wildcats game at a sportsbook where your credit card will work, you'll get a nice sign up bonus and where you're money is safe as they're the only sportsbook that can claim to be the first online back in the 90's: Intertops.
The UCLA Bruins travel to Tucson to take on the Arizona Wildcats on Thursday night in a Pac-12 matchup. Neither team is exactly cooking right now, but coming off a bye-week, each squad has been spending time ironing out the kinks. For the Wildcats, the situation is made a bit more difficult with the bye-week firing of head coach Mike Stoops.
The mid-season dismissal speaks volumes of the failure of a program that held so much promise merely a few years ago. With a game-one win over Northern Arizona, the Wildcats have not beaten a Division I team in nearly a year. Coincidentally, the last Division I team they beat was UCLA. But it has been a rocky road since then. They now sit at 1-5 with 5 straight defeats—the only cover being a 48-41 loss at USC as 12-point dogs.
UCLA isn’t exactly paying off this season either, with one cover in 6 games. At 3-3, however, they face a rosier picture than Arizona. They are without starting quarterback Richard Brehaut, paving the way for the return of Kevin Prince, the Bruins’ starter from two seasons ago. Prince was known for an exciting, though somewhat reckless style, which led to a string of injuries. He is now healthy and despite not having played much recently, he is an experienced QB who receives a lot of respect from teammates. He won’t be able to win it himself, but the Bruins are lucky to have him now.
QUIT WASTING YOUR MONEY BETTING AT -110 ODDS! BETTING IS CHEAPER AT 5DIMES WHERE YOU LAY -105 INSTEAD! THIS WILL SAVE YOU HUGE MONEY!!! MAKE THE SWITCH TODAY, YOU'LL BE GLAD YOU DID!
Teams have been beating up on the Arizona defense this year. They give up an average of 300 yards in the air and 200 on the ground per game. Strangely, their coordinator Tim Kish is now the head coach, with Stoops being shown the door. Mr. Kish is certainly a knowledgeable football coach, but it’s going to take a major change of form to turn this around. Maybe a new voice at the top will help.
It’s difficult to fathom how a team with a quarterback who has 2250 yards throwing through 6 games can only post such a record. But not even QB Nick Foles can bail them out when the Arizona defense is playing so ineptly. In addition, the offense lacks meaningful balance, with their leading rusher managing only 295 yards so far. Having the nation’s third-best passing offense has been of little help. They’ve been dangerous, but the defense has let them down every time.
Arizona mixing up the coaching staff and being at home after a bye-week could breathe some life into their sagging sails. Then again, they gave up a combined 93 points in their last two home games. Those two teams were the higher-powered Stanford and Oregon, however, so maybe they can keep a Bruins offense more in check—especially with their QB issues. If so, this is a track meet in which they can compete.
UCLA QB Kevin Prince will need to be smart. He’s already thrown 4 picks in only 23 attempts this season and has a flair for flying a little too close the flame. He uses his legs a lot, but leaves himself open for bad hits. It’s imperative for him to remain prudent, particularly with only an unproven freshman behind him in the QB rotation.
The Bruins were aided by this bye-week, allowing some players to lick their wounds so they can come out swinging for the second half of the season. Prince will be able to rely on some playmakers, who should romp against a borderline-slapstick Wildcats “D.” UCLA has a nice little 1-2 punch coming out of the backfield with Jonathan Franklin (509 yards) and Derrick Coleman (6 touchdowns). Prince also has a talented, though top-heavy receiving crew to rely upon.
Scotty L’s Pick to Cover the Point Spread: For UCLA, they need a win to get this season going in the right direction—to emerge a bit from mediocrity. Arizona is just trying to prevent their team from sinking into the abyss. Don’t expect the Wildcats to roll over, however. Both teams should play hard and close to their peaks. If that’s the case, look for the more balanced attack of the Bruins to create some separation late. Bet the UCLA Bruins plus the points.
Are you still betting with a corner bookie? Find out why online is the better choice by reading our piece titled Betting Online vs. The Corner Street Bookie.
Editor's Picks - Each weekend our very own in-house All-American Editor makes his NCAA point spread predictions in an attempt to force fumbles, sack and intercept your bookie!
Expert College Football Picks - Free premium college foots plays against the spread from expert handicappers from around the web from week 1 through the National Championship.
Underdog of the Week Pick - We sort through it all and find out which University is getting "too many points" this week. If there was a Heisman Trophy for picking underdogs, we'd be a frontrunner. Expect a 57%+ winning percentage with these picks as we've got a keen ear for loud barking dogs.
Line Movement - NCAA football lines open early in the week and often times move up or down based on wagering activity, injuries to key players and weather. We decipher whether it's square or wiseguy action and predict the point spread winner based on value.
College Football Consensus Picks - We assess the public perception each week and let them pick the winners for us as we fade their selections which provides us with many trips into our bookies endzone.
Computer Picks - We enter them into the computer and the machine makes it's picks. This is a great guide especially when betting totals! These are available after the first few weeks of the season.
Trends - Despite what you have been told or read on tout sites, the trend ain't your friend. We however turn the tables and fade the almighty trend for what should be some great profits over time.
2015 College Football Predictions - (2016 article coming soon!) Badger gives his picks to win each major conference. At the end, he gives his prediction on who thinks will win the 2016 National Championship game.
2016 Heisman Trophy Predictions - DeShaun Watson is favored to win the award at +575 with Stanford RB Christian McCaffrey (+575) and LSU RB Leonard Fournette (+850) close behind. However, the real value may be with Oregon Ducks RB Royce Freeman at 40/1.
2016 College Football Championship Predictions - NCAA football handicapper Bob gives his picks on who he thinks will win the 2016 National Championship. Despite not liking to side with heavy favorites, he believes the Alabama Crimson Tide (+950) are the team to beat.
MyBookie - Get a HUGE 50% bonus (up to $1000 FREE!) after making an initial deposit of $100 or more! Great at getting Visa cards to work for deposits.
Bovada - Boasts the highest credit card acceptance rate on the internet! HUGE menu of wagers for you to choose from! One of few online sportsbooks to offer Texas Hold'em! 50% bonus up to $250 in free cash!
5Dimes - 15 team parlays! 20 point teasers! Reduced juice betting odds! Buy up to 15 points! Most props on the web!
Bookmaker - Offers a HUGE 50% sign up bonus up to $300! Enjoy LIVE college football betting where you can jump into the action at any time during the game and place a bet! This gives you a huge advantage!
Heisman Trophy Betting Odds - Clemson QB DeShaun Watson will have the ball in his hands a TON and he plays on a good team so he's the obvious favorite to win the award this year at +575. Leonard Fournette at 8.5/1 looks like he could play in the NFL right now. Bama WR Calvin Ridley brings experience and big-time playmaking ability and will be featured on National TV a bunch, giving him a legit darkhorse shot. It's unlikely to happen as offensive players usually win this honor, but Michigan DB Jabrill Peppers (75-1) and Texas A&M DT Myles Garret (110-1) could be in the running as well. It might be a good year to bet more than one prediction!
Odds to Win the 2016 College Football Championship - The Alabama Crimson Tide are favored to be repeat winners of the National Championship this year at +700 followed by Ohio St. at +750 and Clemson at +800. Things drop off a bit with the Michigan Wolverines, LSU Tigers and Oklahoma Sooners all coming in at +1200. Check out your favorite school's odds here!