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Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Florida Gators Odds - Free Pick

Vanderbilt Commodores (3-1 SU, 2-2 ATS) vs. No. 21 Florida Gators (2-1 SU, 0-3 ATS)
College Football Week 5
Date/Time: Saturday September 30th, 2017. 12:30PM (EST)
Where: Ben Hill Griffin Stadium Gainesville, F.L.
TV: SECN
by Jay, NCAA Football Handicapper, Predictem.com

Point Spread: VAN +10/FLA -10
Over/Under Total: TBA

For the 2nd week in a row, the Florida Gators pulled out a miraculous win to move to 2-0 in the SEC and 3-1 overall. Two weeks ago, the Gators beat Tennessee on a 63 yard Hail Mary from Feleipe Franks to Tyrie Cleveland as the game clock expired. Last week, the Gators trailed Kentucky throughout the game yet rallied to score two late touchdowns and survived a failed game winning field goal attempt by Kentucky’s Austin MacGinnis. If you saw the game, you probably were not impressed as the Gators moved to 0-3 against the spread. However, the Gators are currently tied with Georgia for the lead in the SEC East and they will look to stay there this week when the Vanderbilt Commodores come into Gainesville.

Vanderbilt suffered an embarrassing beating to Alabama last week by a score of 59-0. Let me be the first to say, “I told you so” in regards to that victory. I warned everyone that Vanderbilt’s upset win over Kansas State had influenced the betting lines and that their matchup against Alabama was a complete disadvantage just based on the style of football both teams play. Fortunately for the Commodores, this week’s showdown with Florida presents a chance at redemption in a big way. I personally think this week’s meeting with Florida is a much better match-up for the Commodores based on a few important key factors.

Despite what the scoreboard stated last week, the Commodores have a pretty solid defense that plays disciplined football. Alabama simply had too many elite weapons to be contained whereas Florida is still searching for their playmakers. Despite the back to back wins, the quarterback situation has still not been determined in Gainesville. After Feleipe Franks led the Gators to the win against Tennessee, it was Luke Del Rio who took over in the 2nd half against Kentucky to lead the comeback efforts. While the quarterback carousel worked last week, it hardly presented any long term solutions as the Gators played sluggish throughout the first 45 minutes on the offensive side of the ball.

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If that happens again, Vanderbilt has enough defensive talent to stand with Florida if they continue to sputter offensively. Perhaps the most concerning aspect to Florida’s slow start has not even been the quarterback situation but rather the running game. After a miserable 2016 campaign where the Gators gained just 128 yards per game (110th in the FBS), they are struggling yet again averaging just 121 yards per game as a team. Tailback Malik Davis has shown potential but Florida has yet to find themselves in a position where they could rely on the ground game to move the football.

For everything that Florida has lacked offensively, you still must respect their defensive talent. In fact, this game will feature two defenses that are by all stretches of the imagination better than the offenses they will line up against. The team that can make a few plays is the team that is really going to shine. Last week, Vanderbilt could not get anything going in the blowout loss to Alabama. However, I still believe they have enough experience at the skill positions to challenge Florida this weekend. Quarterback Kyle Shurmur is solid completing 63% passing with 8 touchdowns and just 1 pick. Additionally, Vanderbilt has one of the most under rated rushers in the SEC by way of senior Ralph Webb. For the Commodores to compete, it is imperative that those guys play well because it may not take much scoring to win this game.

Jay's Pick to Cover the Point Spread: If this game were in Nashville, I would like Vanderbilt’s chances even more because I am not convinced Florida is a good football team. However, the Gators play much better at The Swamp. If I have to choose, I would lean towards Vanderbilt and the points. However, I think the best play will be the under when the total is released. Good luck! - Not all sportsbooks are created equal! Many are fly by night, poorly run and your loot is actually at risk. End that problem today by signing up at one of the web's oldest and most trusted sportsbooks! Online for over 15 years, your credit card will work and you'll also receive a 50% bonus up to $250 FREE at Bovada Sportsbook!

NCAA Football Week 8 Betting Previews

Here are some additional game previews from this week's college football card.

Free Picks

Editor's Picks - Each weekend our very own in-house All-American Editor makes his NCAA point spread predictions in an attempt to force fumbles, sack and intercept your bookie!

Expert College Football Picks - Free premium college foots plays against the spread from expert handicappers from around the web from week 1 through the National Championship.

Underdog of the Week Pick - We sort through it all and find out which University is getting "too many points" this week. If there was a Heisman Trophy for picking underdogs, we'd be a frontrunner. Expect a 57%+ winning percentage with these picks as we've got a keen ear for loud barking dogs.

Line Movement - NCAA football lines open early in the week and often times move up or down based on wagering activity, injuries to key players and weather. We decipher whether it's square or wiseguy action and predict the point spread winner based on value.

College Football Consensus Picks - We assess the public perception each week and let them pick the winners for us as we fade their selections which provides us with many trips into our bookies endzone.

Computer Picks - We enter them into the computer and the machine makes it's picks. This is a great guide especially when betting totals! These are available after the first few weeks of the season.

Trends - Despite what you have been told or read on tout sites, the trend ain't your friend. We however turn the tables and fade the almighty trend for what should be some great profits over time.

2017/2018 College Football Predictions - Bob gives his picks to win each major conference. At the end, he gives his prediction on who thinks will win the 2018 National Championship game at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on January 8th.

2017 Heisman Trophy Predictions - USC QB Sam Darnold is a heavy pre-season favorite to win college football's most coveted award, but Jay isn't buying it. In fact, he's passing up the top (3) favored players in favor of a QB who he's confident will be NCAA football's best player in 2017.

2017-2018 College Football Championship Predictions - NCAA football experts have the Alabama Crimson Tide running away with the National Championship this season and who can blame them? Roll Tide is LOADED! It never happens that easy though. The USC Trojans (+825), Florida St. Seminoles (+850) and Ohio St. Buckckeyes (+875) all have a legit shot. Oddsmakers have Oklahoma (+1300) on the bubble and everybody looking from the outside in at 20/1 or higher. Jay gives his pick to win it all along with how his top 15 rankings for season's end. Get your bets in early before your favorite team's line drops!

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Intertops - The safest place to bet on the web as they've been around over 20 years! Enjoy LIVE college football betting where you can jump into the action at any time during the game and place a bet! This gives you a huge advantage!

Heisman Trophy Betting Odds - USC QB Sam Darnold starts the season off as a heavy favorite at +350 odds. Sooners QB Baker Mayfield is second on the list at +700 but can he keep his nose clean? Louisville QB Lamar Jackson should dominate this season but will Louisville be taken seriously? Oregon Ducks RB Royce Freeman is worth a pop at 60/1 if he gets the carries. Bama WR Calvin Ridley brings experience and big-time playmaking ability and will be featured on National TV a bunch, giving him a legit darkhorse shot. But will they throw the ball enough with a QB who likes to run? Missing from this year's list of odds is a defensive player.

Odds to Win the 2017 College Football Championship - The Alabama Crimson Tide are heavy favorites to win the National Championship this year at 5/2 followed by Ohio St. at 13/5, USC at 7/1 and FSU at 17/2. Things drop off a bit with the Oklahoma Sooners coming in at 12/1, Auburn Tigers at 14/1 and Michigan Wolverines at 16/1. Check out your favorite school's odds here!

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