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Washington Huskies at California Golden Bears Odds - Prediction

No. 4 Washington Huskies (8-0 SU, 4-4 ATS) at California Golden Bears (4-4 SU, 4-4 ATS)
College Football Week 10
Date/Time: Saturday, November 5, 10:30PM EST (7:30PM PST)
Where: Memorial Stadium, Berkeley, CA.
TV: ESPN
by Wilson, NCAA Football Handicapper, Predictem.com

Point Spread: UW -17/CAL +17
Over/Under Total: OFF

The Washington Huskies survived at Utah last week 31-24 thanks to a late game punt return for a touchdown that propelled the dogs to their 8th consecutive win of this season. The Huskies also maintained their No. 4 ranking in the top 25. Despite the win, the Huskies will likely need to win-out the rest of their schedule to be considered for the BCS Championship game as they have arguably the easiest schedule of all other BCS contenders which include Alabama, Michigan, and Nebraska. This weekend the Huskies travel to Berkeley to take on the California Golden Bears who are recovering from a 45-24 beat down from USC last week. Both the Dogs and the Bears are averaging 40 plus points per game but it is the Husky’s defense that will be the huge difference in this contest—UW’s D only allows 15.8 points per game to Cal’s 41.8 per contest. Although Cal has shown signs of being a quality football team it is their defense that ultimately lets them down. If the Huskies are playing their type of football and remain healthy this week they should get their 9th win of the season in Berkeley. The sports books already have UW as 17 point road favorite.

If the Washington Huskies stick to protocol they should be just fine this week, but after a scare last weekend in Salt Lake City anything is possible—playing on the road back to back is tough. It will be the Husky’s defense that secures this game—they will need to address a couple of key game components—pressure Cal QB Davis Webb and plug the secondary to take away passing lanes. Webb is a dangerous QB if given enough time to dissect defenses. He has 29 TDs and 2,914 passing yards. If the Huskies can keep Webb in check they will cruise to a W. The Bears will have trouble running on the Huskies; even though the Bears are not a run-first squad they will need to establish some kind of run threat to keep the Dogs somewhat guessing.

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The Washington Huskies might be back as one the premier programs in the country but they still have a long ways to go. Head Coach Chris Petersen is as humble of a guy as you can know, and he knows all too well how quickly fans, media, and boosters can turn on you if the Ws don’t keep coming, that said, Petersen has his guys on a Vision Quest (Terry Davis, ’79) to make their mark on college football this season—so far, so good! Husky QB Jake browning is having a terrific season with 28 TDs, 1,895 passing yards to just 2 INTs. UW RB, Myles Gaskin, also has game-breaking speed and moves out of the backfield to make Cal respect the run as well as the pass. California is 2-2 ATS as the underdog and they have a 2-1-1 home ATS record. UW is 1-2 ATS on the road and they are 4-4 ATS as the favorite.

Injuries: Cal’s top wide receiver, Chad Hanson, who missed the USC game, has an ankle/foot injury and is listed as questionable as of this writing. Also, Cal’s OL Aaron Cochran is out due to a foot injury. Washington LB Joe Mathis is out with a foot injury but he hasn’t registered any stats in the last two games. These teams will get after it no doubt, but it will be extremely difficult for the California Bears to contain the Huskies balanced attack not to mention their special teams play. Husky’s sophomore QB Jake browning will be matched up against Cal’s senior QB Davis Webb which could make for a classic showdown between two of the Pac 12’s best QBs. However, it will be the Huskies who come out on top in this contest. Last weekend was a wakeup call for Washington as they barely hung on to beat Utah—that won’t happen this week—the Huskies show up and remind everyone in the country that they are for real! Huskies cover the points and down the Golden Bears 48-21.

I like the Huskies to win.

Wilson's Pick to Cover the Point Spread: The Huskies cover and win. Luck to ya.

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NCAA Football Week 5 Betting Previews

Here are some additional game previews from this week's college football card.

Free Picks

Editor's Picks - Each weekend our very own in-house All-American Editor makes his NCAA point spread predictions in an attempt to force fumbles, sack and intercept your bookie!

Expert College Football Picks - Free premium college foots plays against the spread from expert handicappers from around the web from week 1 through the National Championship.

Underdog of the Week Pick - We sort through it all and find out which University is getting "too many points" this week. If there was a Heisman Trophy for picking underdogs, we'd be a frontrunner. Expect a 57%+ winning percentage with these picks as we've got a keen ear for loud barking dogs.

Line Movement - NCAA football lines open early in the week and often times move up or down based on wagering activity, injuries to key players and weather. We decipher whether it's square or wiseguy action and predict the point spread winner based on value.

College Football Consensus Picks - We assess the public perception each week and let them pick the winners for us as we fade their selections which provides us with many trips into our bookies endzone.

Computer Picks - We enter them into the computer and the machine makes it's picks. This is a great guide especially when betting totals! These are available after the first few weeks of the season.

Trends - Despite what you have been told or read on tout sites, the trend ain't your friend. We however turn the tables and fade the almighty trend for what should be some great profits over time.

2017/2018 College Football Predictions - Bob gives his picks to win each major conference. At the end, he gives his prediction on who thinks will win the 2018 National Championship game at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on January 8th.

2017 Heisman Trophy Predictions - USC QB Sam Darnold is a heavy pre-season favorite to win college football's most coveted award, but Jay isn't buying it. In fact, he's passing up the top (3) favored players in favor of a QB who he's confident will be NCAA football's best player in 2017.

2017-2018 College Football Championship Predictions - NCAA football experts have the Alabama Crimson Tide running away with the National Championship this season and who can blame them? Roll Tide is LOADED! It never happens that easy though. The USC Trojans (+825), Florida St. Seminoles (+850) and Ohio St. Buckckeyes (+875) all have a legit shot. Oddsmakers have Oklahoma (+1300) on the bubble and everybody looking from the outside in at 20/1 or higher. Jay gives his pick to win it all along with how his top 15 rankings for season's end. Get your bets in early before your favorite team's line drops!

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Heisman Trophy Betting Odds - USC QB Sam Darnold starts the season off as a heavy favorite at +350 odds. Sooners QB Baker Mayfield is second on the list at +700 but can he keep his nose clean? Louisville QB Lamar Jackson should dominate this season but will Louisville be taken seriously? Oregon Ducks RB Royce Freeman is worth a pop at 60/1 if he gets the carries. Bama WR Calvin Ridley brings experience and big-time playmaking ability and will be featured on National TV a bunch, giving him a legit darkhorse shot. But will they throw the ball enough with a QB who likes to run? Missing from this year's list of odds is a defensive player.

Odds to Win the 2017 College Football Championship - The Alabama Crimson Tide are heavy favorites to win the National Championship this year at 5/2 followed by Ohio St. at 13/5, USC at 7/1 and FSU at 17/2. Things drop off a bit with the Oklahoma Sooners coming in at 12/1, Auburn Tigers at 14/1 and Michigan Wolverines at 16/1. Check out your favorite school's odds here!

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