More Sports Sections: NFL Football NBA Basketball College Basketball Baseball NHL Hockey Soccer MMA Boxing Nascar Golf Horse Racing

20 Point Football Teasers!

Handicapping

Other Great Sites

Bet on College Football Games at 5Dimes

Wisconsin Badgers vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers Odds - Free Pick

Wisconsin Badgers(11-0 SU, 7-4 ATS) vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers (5-6 SU, 4-6-1 ATS)
College Football Week 13
Date and Time: Saturday, November 25 at 3:30pm ET
Where: TCF Bank Stadium
TV: ABC
by Evergreen, Football Handicapper, Predictem.com

Point Spread: WISC -17/MINN +17
Over/Under Total: 43

It is rivalry week in the Big Ten and while MIchigan v. Ohio State is the matchup everyone likes to talk about, the most played rivalry in all of college football is Wisconsin v. Minnesota. The Badgers and Gophers will tangle for the 127th time this weekend and they battle for one of coolest trophies in all of sports, Paul Bunyanís axe. The series is tied at 59-59-8 overall but Wisconsin has won the last thirteen meetings and eighteen of the last twenty. Wisconsin has failed to reach 31 points just once in the last ten between these teams and Minnesota is in trouble if they give up that many Saturday as the Badger defense isnít likely to be as accomodating.

Wisconsin has won just three of the last ten ATS against the Gophers despite a spotless straight up record over that span and they have a lot of points to overcome this Saturday with Minnesota listed as 17-point dogs. The favorite is just 2-7-1 in the last ten in this series but Wisconsin is 9-1 against the spread in their last ten as visitors. The over has hit in 15 of the last 17 games between these teams. Wisconsin is the 3rd ranked team by the Sagarin metrics with Minnesota at 56th. Those computers are modeling a 30-12 Badger win. The football outsiders run a different metric that ignores the schedule and focuses on offensive and defensive efficiencies. That S&P+ ratings has Wisconsin at 4th, Minnesota at 85th and has the Badgers 19.9 points better.

For most of the season, Wisconsin has fought a nationwide perception that they were benefitting from an overly soft schedule but consecutive wins against Iowa and Michigan have the Badgers on the doorstep of the College Football Playoff. A win this weekend plus a win over Ohio State in Indy would give Wisconsin a 99% chance of making the final four according to Nate Silver. One could assume that the Badgers would be looking past the 5-6 Gophers but that isnít likely for a team that is as blue-collar as their coach, Paul Chryst. The Wisconsin defense has been the showstopper all season and enters the week 2nd in the country in total yards allowed and surrenders just 13.1 points per game. They are top-5 with 37 sacks and hold opponents to less than 30% on third down. Minnesota has struggled for much of the year on offense but they have a legit running game that ranks 41st in the nation. Wisconsin is #1 against the run and allows 79 yard per game on the ground. It could be a very long day for the Gophers if they canít find a way into third and short scenarios.

TIRED OF YOUR CREDIT CARD NOT WORKING AT SPORTSBOOKS? END THAT PROBLEM TODAY BY SIGNING UP AT BOVADA! GET A 50% BONUS TOO!

The Wisconsin offense is powered by the 21st ranked rushing game and Jonathan Taylor enters the weekend as the 3rd leading rusher in the nation. At 1,657 rushing yards, Taylor has a shot to get to 2,000 by the time bowl season comes around and his 7.0 yards per carry is a big reason why Wisconsin is at 50% in third down conversions. Alex Hornibrook has been mercurial at QB for Wisconsin as he has thrown baffling interceptions followed by NFL-level throws all season. He has at least one interception in every conference game this season and he likely holds the key to Wisconsin beating the likes of Ohio State or anyone they would potentially face in a playoff game. The Badgers have been beat up at wide receiver but have covered the injuries nicely with A.J. Taylor (4 TD) and Danny Davis both over 17.5 yards per catch since leading receiver Quintez Cephus was lost for the season. Tight end Troy Fumagalli remains the reception leader on the team with Hornibrook looking to him on third down and in play action. Wisconsin is not flashy on offense as usual but they have been efficient in racking up 35.2 points per game. Minnesota ranks 27th in total yards allowed but is weaker against the run and slips to 36th in points per game allowed at 22.1 per contest.

The Minnesota offense in really in hot water this weekend. The Gophers are ranked 121st out of 130 Division I programs in total offense and 121st in passing yards per game. No one has been able to run the ball against Wisconsin with any kind of regularity and that puts a ton of pressure on the arm of Demry Croft. The scrambling QB is 2-3 as a starter but he has thrown for just four touchdowns against seven interceptions while averaging 5.6 yards per attempt. For comparison, Alex Hornibrook is averaging 8.9 yards per attempt and he is the weak spot on the Badger offense. Croft can certainly extend plays with his legs and even crease the defense with designed runs but Minnesota will have to air it out if they fall behind and that looks to be a big advantage for a Wisconsin team that can get after the quarterback. Most troubling is potential loss of leading receiver Tyler Lawson who is questionable with a wrist injury. Lawson missed last week and it showed in a 39-0 loss against Northwestern. He is virtually the only receiving threat on the team and a hard climb gets tougher without him Saturday. Rodney Smith leads Minnesota with 895 rushing yards and has found the endzone three times. He is one of four Gophers with at least three rushing scores so there is no doubt they can finish when they get down close, but can they get there against the Badgers?

The biggest knock on Minnesota this week is actually more about three other teams in the Big Ten and what they have done against Wisconsin. Nebraska, Iowa and Michigan have tried to ďout-WisconsinĒ the Badgers to less than successful results. Minnesota is cut from the same, run-first and play defense mold that all of the above teams are cut from but Wisconsin is doing it better than anyone right now. Going back to last season, Wisconsin handled LSU using the same formula so they are on another level at the moment. The three Wisconsin losses over the last two seasons have come because either Wisconsin could not score (Michigan) or they couldnít stop top-end playmakers (OSU, PSU). Minnesota is missing next-level playmakers on offense and Wisconsin is improved on offense over last season. There have been plenty of close games in this rivalry over the years but most of those have been when the teams were much closer in the rankings. Wisconsin has had a relatively easy go of as they have ascended in recent years and there is little to suggest that will change this weekend. Too much Badger O-Line and too much Taylor will have Wisconsin controlling the clock and that stranglehold defense will keep Minnesota under wraps. It feels like a lot to lay but take the Badgers and look for a 31-13 win.

Evergreen's Pick to Cover the Point Spread: WISCONSIN. - If you went to the store and on the shelf was the exact same product, one for $110 and one for $105 which would you buy? The cheaper one of course! So why would you pay -110 odds on your bets instead of -105? Start betting at discounted odds today at 5Dimes!

Additonal College Bowl Betting Previews

Free Picks

Editor's Picks - Each weekend our very own in-house All-American Editor makes his NCAA point spread predictions in an attempt to force fumbles, sack and intercept your bookie!

Expert College Football Picks - Free premium college foots plays against the spread from expert handicappers from around the web from week 1 through the National Championship.

Underdog of the Week Pick - We sort through it all and find out which University is getting "too many points" this week. If there was a Heisman Trophy for picking underdogs, we'd be a frontrunner. Expect a 57%+ winning percentage with these picks as we've got a keen ear for loud barking dogs.

Line Movement - NCAA football lines open early in the week and often times move up or down based on wagering activity, injuries to key players and weather. We decipher whether it's square or wiseguy action and predict the point spread winner based on value.

College Football Consensus Picks - We assess the public perception each week and let them pick the winners for us as we fade their selections which provides us with many trips into our bookies endzone.

Computer Picks - We enter them into the computer and the machine makes it's picks. This is a great guide especially when betting totals! These are available after the first few weeks of the season.

Trends - Despite what you have been told or read on tout sites, the trend ain't your friend. We however turn the tables and fade the almighty trend for what should be some great profits over time.

2017/2018 College Football Predictions - Bob gives his picks to win each major conference. At the end, he gives his prediction on who thinks will win the 2018 National Championship game at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on January 8th.

2017 Heisman Trophy Predictions - USC QB Sam Darnold is a heavy pre-season favorite to win college football's most coveted award, but Jay isn't buying it. In fact, he's passing up the top (3) favored players in favor of a QB who he's confident will be NCAA football's best player in 2017.

2017-2018 College Football Championship Predictions - NCAA football experts have the Alabama Crimson Tide running away with the National Championship this season and who can blame them? Roll Tide is LOADED! It never happens that easy though. The USC Trojans (+825), Florida St. Seminoles (+850) and Ohio St. Buckckeyes (+875) all have a legit shot. Oddsmakers have Oklahoma (+1300) on the bubble and everybody looking from the outside in at 20/1 or higher. Jay gives his pick to win it all along with how his top 15 rankings for season's end. Get your bets in early before your favorite team's line drops!

Betting

MyBookie - Get a HUGE 50% bonus (up to $1000 FREE!) after making an initial deposit of $100 or more! Great at getting Visa cards to work for deposits.

Bovada - Boasts the highest credit card acceptance rate on the internet! HUGE menu of wagers for you to choose from! One of few online sportsbooks to offer Texas Hold'em! 50% bonus up to $250 in free cash!

5Dimes - 15 team parlays! 20 point teasers! Reduced juice betting odds! Buy up to 15 points! Most props on the web!

Intertops - The safest place to bet on the web as they've been around over 20 years! Enjoy LIVE college football betting where you can jump into the action at any time during the game and place a bet! This gives you a huge advantage!

Heisman Trophy Betting Odds - USC QB Sam Darnold starts the season off as a heavy favorite at +350 odds. Sooners QB Baker Mayfield is second on the list at +700 but can he keep his nose clean? Louisville QB Lamar Jackson should dominate this season but will Louisville be taken seriously? Oregon Ducks RB Royce Freeman is worth a pop at 60/1 if he gets the carries. Bama WR Calvin Ridley brings experience and big-time playmaking ability and will be featured on National TV a bunch, giving him a legit darkhorse shot. But will they throw the ball enough with a QB who likes to run? Missing from this year's list of odds is a defensive player.

Odds to Win the 2017 College Football Championship - The Alabama Crimson Tide are heavy favorites to win the National Championship this year at 5/2 followed by Ohio St. at 13/5, USC at 7/1 and FSU at 17/2. Things drop off a bit with the Oklahoma Sooners coming in at 12/1, Auburn Tigers at 14/1 and Michigan Wolverines at 16/1. Check out your favorite school's odds here!

Bet on College Football at BetOnline

Featured Articles

Heisman Trophy Winners - A full list of college football quarterbacks, running backs and wide receivers who have made history on the field and won the prestigious award.

The Spread - Who will cover the spread? They will! Offers scores, odds, free game predictions, current news and more!