Quote:
Originally Posted by wsox08
and I like the Jazz because they normally play well vs. ATL, but should they just be avoided until they break out of their slump?
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I really don't like that game. I've pretty much sworn off road faves, especially ones like the Jazz that have been slumping recently. Laying chalk with a team that is 2-8 in their last 10 road games doesn't really peak my interest. Lean to the under, as just 1 of the Hawk's last 14 games have gone over 190 total pts. If you like Utah, maybe the Hawks team total would be the better option. In the Hawk's home losses 4 of 6 have been by less than 91 pts. The 2 taht were over? 1 was a double ot loss to Seattle, a faster paced team. The other was to detroit who shot 51%.
Heat/Wolves- Regarding the side, the fact that Miami is favored by 9 pts is downright laughable. Minnesota has more road wins than the Heat have home wins. Even if the Heat were up by DD the whole game, I doubt they can play a full 4 quarters on defense. The Wolves are 6-2 ats in their last 8 road games, so throwing the 9 out there looks too easy to me. I opted for the over instead. The Heat have allowed 104 or more pts in 6 of their last 7 games. The sole game they didn't? 94 pts allowed to the Clips. I think this is another game where both teams should be able to get to the century mark, as neither will be too involved defensively. Linesmakers have this set higher than I expected, & we have some reverse line movement, which makes me like the play even more.
Blazers- Really this isn't the best of spots for the Blazers, & I don't recommend anyone to tail this play. They are on a b2b coming off a blowout win in Denver. There could be a fatigue factor, as they are playing their 5th in 7 games. As Wsox pointed out, the Hornets are also playing their 3rd in 4, & they are generally a slower paced, defensive team to begin with. This is a play that's based on a couple things. First, the Blazers are streaking, & have won me loot & pretty much singlehandedly got me out of my slump. Roy has been playing great, & NO is in letdown mode after a road win vs. the Suns. Also this is a series where the home team is generally the winner, 2 times already this season. I expect a slower paced, closely played game here. Also on the under, as just 4 of the Hornet's 13 road games have gone over a total of 183....