[Stanley]

Round 4 plays (1pt unless stated)

Jim Furyk to beat Stephen Ames -149 @ Pinnacle [1.5pts] LOST by 2
Furyk's record when within 5 shots of the lead entering the final round is phenomenal: in 14/19 occasions in the last two years, he has shot at least one shot better than the average score of all players within 5 shots of the lead that day; in only 2/19 occasions did he shoot worse than the average of all those in contention. Quite a different story for Ames

Jim Furyk to beat Vijay Singh -120 @ Five Dimes [1.5pts] WON by 2
Vijay is very hit and miss in these 'within 5 shots of the lead' situations, so I'll take my chances with the more player in contention

Brandt Snedeker +0.5 to beat Vijay Singh +109 @ Five Dimes WON by 0.5
Snedeker also has a very good record in these situations, but I'll take the safety option of earning the win even if Snedeker and Singh tie

Nick Watney to beat Mike Weir +118 @ Pinnacle LOST by 1
Weir has held the lead heading into the final round only once in the last three years - 2006 AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am - and he shot 78 that day. That was a poor performance and just once in three years is not a lot of practice in these situations. He'll face pressure from a lot of players in contention and the impressive Watney should be able to take advantage

Justin Leonard to beat Mike Weir +100 @ Five Dimes WON by 1
Similar story here, backing the Leonard at worse odds than Watney, but he does have more experience in these situations

Jonathan Byrd to beat Daniel Chopra +120 @ Unibet [0.5pts] LOST by 8
A small play on Byrd against the inconsistent Chopra and which is available at very attractive odds ... Pinnacle make Byrd a strong -113 favourite in this pairing

Overall: 7-11; -5.83pts