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Old 04-20-2008, 07:47 AM
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Biff_Tannen Biff_Tannen is offline
Think McFly, Think!
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: The Future
Posts: 1,567
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Thanks Daws! Trying to help out who wants to be helped.


** 4/19 UPDATE **

I'm changing the name of this list from DO NOT BET to BULLPEN FADE. I realize this system is much more profitable if you just fade the teams instead of avoiding betting on them.

The two teams that were on the list last week from 4/12-4/19 went a combined (5-8) this past week. They were the Giants and Astros. That makes 2 for 2 in terms of profitable weeks fading the teams on this list.

If you base bet $100 against both teams this past week in each game they played you would have made $212. I'll keep track of the combined W-L records of the teams as well as the units won/lost week by week based on the teams that were on this list retrospective to the dates listed. Here's the updated results including Week 2.

4/06 - 4/12 => (8-15) -6.40 Units
4/13 - 4/19 => (5-8) -2.12 Units

4/20 - 4/26 => ??


Good News Action Seekers! Both the Pirates and the Tigers bullpens have slipped back on the list. This week there will be four teams to fade. They are Houston, San Francisco, Detroit, and Pittsburgh. You'll notice that all four of these teams are having losing seasons and have lost bettors money. Coincidence? I think not.

(The records listed below are their season records.)

BULLPEN FADE LIST
(Active 4/20 - 4/26)

1) HOUSTON ASTROS (6-17) -6.28 Units
2) SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS (7-12) -2.97 Units
3) PITTSBURGH PIRATES (7-10) -1.61 Units
4) DETROIT TIGERS (6-12) -9.95 Units



Tampa Bay and Baltimore don't seem to be joining the list anytime soon. They've got two of the top pens so far this year. O's seem to be more reliable with Sherrill closing things down... and the Rays name change is obviously the reason for their early success. Not really any border teams of the other 6 possible fade teams. As of now, they've turned the corner this year... good for them. I don't expect the list to ever be bigger than 5 teams, but if I had to guess which of the remaining 6 teams would be next to join the list I'd say either the Reds or Yankees.

Back with another update after the games on the 26th. I will start keeping track on this system in my signature. I will not post these plays in my thread, but if there is one more week of profits, I will start blind betting this system with $100 units. I invite you to join me. Good Luck!

Last edited by Biff_Tannen : 04-20-2008 at 08:04 AM.
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