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Old 05-11-2008, 05:38 PM
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cavorca12 cavorca12 is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2007
Location: Memphis
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Honestly, not very certain about the SA/NO game. Looking back at the Dal series, gm3 went very similar to that in this series. Dal got big games from Nowitzki, Terry, and Howard, and SA got huge games from Parker and Manu. One difference is that CP3 and West struggled in gm3 vs Dal, but they played fine vs SA. In the first 2 games of the series, SA took a ton of 3's and didn't shoot a great %, but they were 44% in gm3. NO was only 2-11 on 3P's in gm3, and their 2 wings, Peja and MoPete, both struggled similar to gm3 vs Dal. Besides CP3 and West, Chandler was the only guy in dd's with 12 pts. NO's bench struggled, 8-24 (33%) on FG's and no one topped 6 pts, but they haven't scored much the whole series really. Peja and MoPete played great in gm1 & 2, and IMO NO can win if those 2 bounce back like they did in gm4 vs Dal and play a little better on D vs Parker and Manu (or if they're just off). Still haven't seen a huge game from Duncan, which is somewhat worrisome, but IMO NO has enough value for a play. But like I said, I'm not as confident in this one as I have been on several of their previous games.

New Orleans +5 ... 1.25 Units

New Orleans ML +200 ... 0.5 Unit

GL!
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