Thread: Wednesday
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Old 12-18-2008, 03:38 PM
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Stifler's Mom Stifler's Mom is offline
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I agree completely, and it's worse in hoops, and even more specifically college hoops. I hate when I get a bad line, and I've been working lately to be more selective. There have been a bunch of games lately where I laid off because the line moved 1.5 points, and often more, against me, and i felt it took away from my chances of winning too much for that certain play to be a profitable one anymore.

One example was the Clippers last night. Moved from +5.5 to +3 (some +2.5's till tip), and I laid off. As the game played out, it was still the right side at +3, even though it ended up failing to cash because of Eric Gordon being a moron..

Another example was Memphis +6.5 @ G'town last Sat. That opened at Memphis +3, and hit as much as +6.5 at some books. I doubt I would have played Memphis at +3 (and looking back would have saved myself from probably the worst ass-boning in the history of sports betting), but at +6.5, it provided a whole hell of a lot of a better chance of cashing, in what I felt would be a close game, and ended up being just that.

A last example was Memphis +7.5 on Tuesday night in NBA. They ended up losing by 7, and I cashed because I got a great line, even though they were in it till the end, and it probably never should have even come to that. Probably should have been a 3 pt game either way, but they crapped on themselves in the final 2 mins or so. Most people on Memphis either lost or pushed on that one though....and vice versa, if they were on New Orleans, they cashed.

I did see though, a ton of people grabbing -6's and even -6.5's on that G'town game....even though they were getting a line of 3+ points worse than the opener.....

Last edited by Stifler's Mom; 12-18-2008 at 03:41 PM..
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