sometimes i frequently like to bet the young prospects hard early on in the year (like liriano last year). Every once and a while, you'll see a guy with dynamite stuff but vegas doesn't inflate the line fully until some sort of track record is established. It doesn't always have to be a phenom like liriano though, there are always your chuck jameses who emerge ever year. Also, I don't know how much carlos lee helps, but THE ASTROS CANNOT HANDLE FAST PITCHING. Biggio, burke, everett, ausmus, the pitcher, and ensberg all have slow bats (biggio used to be quick) and I did well last year hammering unders and opponents sides' with a starting pitcher throwing in the 92+ mph range. No stats to back this up though!!!