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Old 11-03-2009, 12:20 PM
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GMoney GMoney is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: new york, ny
Posts: 290
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I think this is starting to shift...and kind of like the stock market, when everyone is talking about something, that is usually the best time to abandon that strategy.

This weekend we saw 2 average teams, not the dregs of the league like STL, CLE or TB, cover as DD dogs: SF and ATL. We're going to see teams like Indy, NE, N.O be DD favorites no matter who they play as the Public is cleaning house, and will continue to back these teams.

I also read something that said this time last year (after 7 or 8 weeks) Double Digit Dogs were 17-1 ATS.

I'd look for some reversion to the mean in the second half of the season, espeically with the "average" teams as double digit dogs. No way I back teams like STL, CLE or TB even if they are getting spreads similar to C-USA teams playing at the Flordia Gators.

In my opinion its time to start siding with the books and the big Dogs
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