Quote:
Originally Posted by Badger
Since the coach gave his two cents about his local team, I'll give you a few about my hometown Packers.
1. Isn't Tampa starting the rookie QB from K-State Freeman in this game? Sorry, but I like Woodson/Al Harris against the rook in this spot.
2. Yes, the Packers have issues on the O-line. But I would argue the Bucs don't have anyone near the likes of the Vikes Jared Allen as a pass rusher. Plus, the Pack is set to get Clifton back at LT, Spitz back at C, and possibly the old-boy Tauscher back at RT. No more rookies (Lang) or 2nd-stringers (Wells) perfecting lookout blocks. So take that for what its worth.
I'm not saying I'd lay the heavy wood on the Pack (as a policy I NEVER bet on my favorite team, too biased to keep it in perspective). All I'm saying is don't look at the two turds they laid at the hands of Brent Favre as the basis of your decision.
Good Luck though!
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Good rule not to bet on the hometown team. I try to do the same with the Steelers although I will bet against them if I feel the spot is right, like this week.
Agree the Packers are the better team, I also agree that a rookie quarterback against the Packers corners is a dangerous proposition. The issue I see here is more can Green Bay pressure him into mistakes? They are near the bottom of the league in sacks(as is Tampa).
My main reasoning here is can Green Bay recover from an emotional loss to Minnesota go on the road as a double digit favorite and cover while not overlooking winless Tampa Bay when they have the Cowboys up next.
Not a big trends or systems guy but there is a real consistent system for home dogs off a bye and for winless teams off a bye. Tampa also has had their number although this is a different Tampa team.
Would I take Tampa Bay straight up? Hell no and I may not take them at all but right now they are one of the teams on my radar.
Good luck with your plays Badger. Thanks for the feedback and great job on the game previews.
Boy you NFC North guys are ready to kill me already!!!