Yeah, I agree. Picking winners isn't the problem for most sports gamblers, its the money management that'll get them.
I always try to think to myself "Don't be a hero, just try to make money"-- meaning stay away from the betting the whole board just for action, don't risk a huge % of your bankroll on one bet, stay away from the low risk/high reward exotic little chance of winning ****, etc. And not ever be under the illusion that I am going to double and triple my bankroll in one day. The obvious stuff that can sometimes be difficult to avoid, especially when the losses start piling up.
I always try to set little goals for myself. "Ok, this is my bankroll at the beginning of the season or month or year, where do I want to be by the end?" Or even small goals like "what's my worst case scenario at the end of this day, week, etc." Hell, if my plan fails, I can learn from my losses and try to come up with a better strategy, the following month, season, year, whatever.
