Atlanta Falcons @ New York Giants
QB Matt Ryan despite the good weapons at his disposal on his offense, is going through a rough patch, suffering 11 interceptions on his last 6 games, which has cost his team several wins. Falcons D has has been bad, very bad against the opponent's passing game and their secondary has been completely outplayed by good opponents' passing games. They are also having troubles to defend against the rushing game and for today, that might be problematic when you face the Giants ground offense.
Falcons offense is one of the best and powerful in the NFL, having WR Michael Jenkins, WR Roddy White and for me the best Tight End of the NFL, Tony Gonzalez, so, for the passing game, they have a lot of solutions, but Matt Ryan lately has not been able to make it work for the Falcons passing game. The rushing game has been completely on fire but with the injury of RB Michael Turner who was in great shape and not been able to practice, we will have an important missing player for the Falcons and it is to RB Jason Snelling to step up and carry the ball down the field.
We can say that the Giants' Bye Week was right on target, the New York team started with a 5-0 record to go 0-4 on the last 4 games, so this Bye Week was providential to recover some players and have some time to think about the future games after the last minute loss against the Chargers. The Giants' major issue has been their secondary, completely outplayed on the last games and they need to improve that, they can't always concede a 30 points average and I think that the Bye Week was important to improve that unit and to practice in order to correct their previous mistakes and with some important players returning after injury, they will have an improved passing game defense.
Giants rushing defense has been playing good and with Michael Turner absent, they will have an easier task today. QB Eli Manning is an excellent quarterback who has been not that good lately, despite his good game against San Diego. He has good tools for his job like WR Mario Manningham, WR Steve Smith and TE Kevin Boss, whom despite their youth, have great talent and quality. Giants rushing game counts with two good rushers, RB Brandon Jacobs and RB Ahmad Bradshaw, very powerful and capable of withstanding the hits and tackles and to win a few more extra yards, so I think that the Giants should use more this option today instead of using only their passing game.
The Falcons are having a lot of troubles playing in the road and they will play in very complicated field against a great team and the way they are defending against the rush and the way their secondary is playing, the Giants will be able to do a good offensive game throughout the field, causing a lot of problems against Atlanta, and I believe they will be able to win this game by more than 1 touchdown.
Pick: New York Giants -7 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker
P.S.: I'm adding San Diego Chargers @ Denver Broncos: San Diego Chargers -6.5 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker as my final pick for Week 11. :)
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