Sorry guys, I was looking from my phone earlier and didn't wanna type from that. Seems like we got some pretty good lines out there.
GB @ Pitt -2
Earliest line I see out was the Hilton having Pitt opening at -3, goes immediately down to PK, then back up to -2. Public appears to be hitting GB, which makes me like this play just that much more. GB's road wins consist of STL, Cle, Det, Chi. I pretty much stated what they've done on the road in last week's discussion. Make no mistake about it, beating a sorry-ass Chicago squad impresses me none. The GB d has improved, but I'm not about to back them going into Pitt with this low of a line. Pitt has losses this year to Chicago, KC, Oak, and Cle. They also have a loss @ Balt w/o Ben and two losses to Cinci in tight games. They also have quality wins over SD, Minny, and Den. My thoughts are that Tomlin can't get these guys up for letdown games, so ultimately, they let down. Even if Oak and Cle are must win games, they still are crap opponents. GB is perceived as a solid ballclub, and I think we see the good Pitt here, not the bad Pitt. At risk of saying anything to jinx this, lets just say I really like Pitt at home with such a small spread against a team that hasn't proven that they can get a QUALITY roadwin.
Chi @ Balt -11
Chicago is a dead f*cking dog. The offense can't score more than 14-17 points in any game against a respectable team, and the defense contrary to so-called EXPERTS, actually overachieves imo. They play hard, but they're undersized on the front line, the LB's are slow as dirt outside of Briggs, and the secondary is brutal outside of Tillman, who doesn't exactly lock people down. Backing Balt to score 27 is a little scary, b/c that's what it's gonna take at most to cover, but the offense did come alive last wknd albeit against Det. I would say under here, but it wouldn't surprise me to see Balt get in the 30's. Chi just can't sustain drives and the defense has been and will be on the field all day long.
Is there a dog I like on the board outside of Car and Wash??
TB @ Sea -6.5
It's moved down from -7 which means the line might be begging for Sea money, which is a little scary. Does anyone really think TB can go across country and win in a place that's historically tough to play? Sea isn't very good either, but they're respectable at home. Mora has come out to the press about how soft the front lines are for Sea. I think they respond here, and in a pick the winner situation they get it done.
Why is Dallas in a pick the winner @ NO, who's been dominant at home?
Is Moss gonna silence critics this weekend, cuz if he does I don't think Buf can keep up.
Indy/Jax looks like a flip, probably not the smartest play in the world, why try and guess if Indy shows up?
That's my 2 cents. I'll probably put most of my focus and bankroll this weekend on Pitt, unless someone wants to play devil's advocate with me and talk me out of it.
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