Quote:
Originally Posted by hodown
TB @ Sea -6.5
It's moved down from -7 which means the line might be begging for Sea money, which is a little scary. Does anyone really think TB can go across country and win in a place that's historically tough to play? Sea isn't very good either, but they're respectable at home. Mora has come out to the press about how soft the front lines are for Sea. I think they respond here, and in a pick the winner situation they get it done.
Why is Dallas in a pick the winner @ NO, who's been dominant at home?
Is Moss gonna silence critics this weekend, cuz if he does I don't think Buf can keep up.
|
My thoughts exactly on the Seattle game. Liked Seattle at first, but the line going down to 6.5 does look to be begging for Seattle money. I don't like Seattle as a team though. Whenever I get a shady Seattle line, they still usually don't cover.
Dallas is in a Pick the winner, cuz Dallas is America's Team. A public favorite. Dallas is my favorite football team, but I don't let it skew my capping. I usually bet against them actually. The fact that I know for a fact they are probably the most popular franchise in the NFL makes it hard to read their lines sometimes. As my father told me, the SB champs always have inflated lines the season after (i.e. Pittsburgh), Dallas' lines seem to always be inflated. That is probably why they were -3.5 last week against SD, regardless of the Romo December troubles.
As an additional note to my NE/Buffalo pick, I remember last year. NE had gone 1-3 ATS in their last 4 coming into week 15. There was a SHADY line of -6.5 @ Oakland and they completely destroyed them. What do you know, NE is 1-3 ATS in their last 4, coming into week 15, and is a 7 point road favorite again. With all the questions surrounding Moss this week, I think it's a good spot to take em.