Damn udog, I wish you would've posted for someone else's advice....
Martin at +140 is good, he has great punching power, very strong, etc. Salaverry has very slick bjj but is old and is far undersized in my opinion. (good pick here)
Starnes... I really do not see him winning. Leben knows he HAS to win, is FAR better at striking. THe only advantage starnes has is jiu jitsu, but Chris should be skilled enough to not get submitted.
Burkman - I'll be INCREDIBLY surprised if he beats karo. Karo basically wants to put on a highlight clip this fight, expect to see some SICK judo throws.
Houston Alexander - Yes there is value here, yes he came into the weighins looking liek a freakin monster. But with all that muscle mass, he will probably get tired fast. Jardine is from one of the best camps and has one of the most knowledgable and smart game plan/cornermen (Greg Jackson). Expect Jardine to throw some heavy kicks, and if hes getting beat with punches, He'll take Houston down (where houston is prettttttty BAD).
These would've been my picks for you...
1 unit
Irvin at +200 is great value. Thiago silva sounds tough since hes from Chute Boxe academy, but he really is not great, his standup sucks... and he said he wants to duke it out. I expect Irvin to have more technical striking and go for the KO. THis fight will be nuts either way.
1 unit
Terry Martin +140 (already explained this).
3-5 units
Rampage +150 or so... depends on when you bet on him. I've gone in depth why I think this is the pick of the night.
Good luck though Udog!
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