Thanks Beholdah, Birds, Wonkaford
Beholdah- added K state spread in, was gonna wait to try & get 14, but I'm not sure it gets there...
Also took the Vols off the radar- I think I would need 8 to reall consider it, which won't happen. Mia OH will likely get the boot too, just don't think they have enough to pull it out. Still weighing the options in the Zona game.
Utah St+6.5/UNLV is an interesting line. UNLV has has 2 straight seasons in which they didn't win a road game. They have an 0-14 road run going, & haven't won away since Oct. 8 2004! 4 of their 6 road games last year were losses of 21 or more. How can this team be favored on the road? Don't get me wrong, I know Utah ST is horrible, but they did pull out 1 win last year @ home vs. Fresno St. Getting better than 2:1 on a team that can't win on the road? Thinking about it....
Texas- I think this is about the 3rd or 4th time in my life where I layed chalk higher than 21 pts. I know 2 for sure were Texas, & they treated me well. I'm sure Texas will look to open strong this year, & I think 51+ will be on the scoreboard for the Horns by the end of the game. Colt will play the whole 1sth, & with TCU on deck I'm sure they will look to put this away early. Will look to add Texas 1sth when it becomes available for these reasons.
TTech- #1 passing attack in 4 of the last 6 yrs facing a SMU defense that was 110th vs the pass? 9 pts may look like a bunch, but TTech has won the last 4x they faced SMU by DD. Last year they won 35-3. This is a game where I feel people will be lining up to play the over 59, when they are missing out on the stronger play in TTech. Harrel seemingly got much better as the season went on last year, & with SMU adding 3 new defensive lineman, I don't think they will get enough pressure on him to hinder the passing attack. Would like to hear Q-Units thoughts on this one.
Oregon St- Yes they have a new QB, but he's behind a solid line & facing the 80th ranked pass D last year. Utah still has a bit too much respect from a couple years ago, & I think they are outmatched vs. the Pac10. In last year's opener they lost 31-10 @ UCLA, & let's not forget what Oregon St. did @ home last year... (USC). I will gladly lay under a TD for Oregon St @ home.
New Mexico- Taking the better team here to grab the road win. 10 returners on D, facing a new QB for UTEP who also lost their top 3 wide receivers. Ferguson should provide steady offensive output this season, as he came on pretty strong late last season. Last season he rushed for 162 yds in a 26-13 win vs. UTEP.....
ULM- They are returning their whole offense, & are 11-4 ats last 15 as dogs...however I'm throwing away the 3 pts as I think they win this su.
I am waiting for the total to come out for WV/WMU. Hopefully it's around 54, I will be playing the over big up to 58. Even though WMU has a solid D, Slaton & that WV backfield will be able to move the ball. The WRs also have an advantage....but I also like WMU to put up some points. I don't think WV's D is going to be all that dominant. Last year 5 of their 7 home games went over 55 total points. I think WV puts up 42+, & WMU put up the rest.....