[flmmkrz]

Originally Posted by JoeStriker

All signs point to USC. And if the line moved to -12.5 tommorow morning, I would be all over USC. But right now I'd be whilling to take Neb at +7. I have had lots of success recently betting on what the bookies know that I have no clue on.

Example:

Baseball game opened at 7.5 (total), good pitchers, bad hitters, etc. I bet the Under. Line moves to 7.5 -120, I will bet even more on the under. But if the line moved to, God forbit, 8.0, heck the Over 7.5 becomes solid and that means Over 8.0 is intact. I wouldn't be happy about that. And usually it's a horrible beat that occurs... eg: It's 5-1 for the home team in the 9th with 2 Outs, nobody on... Walk, Error, strike 1, strike 2, HOME RUN. One way or another, the books are always right.

I won't touch this game money wise but I would advise everyone on the forums to lay off USC. I GUARANTEE YOU Nebraska will cover in a dirty way (USC will fumble inside the 5, miss a 20 Yard FG, have a TD overturned by a penalty or some gay **** like that and win by 6).

following the line movement isn't a new concept but if you're going to do it don't bet till late when you can confirm which line movements legit. I know at least a couple cappers personally who got to the usc line when it opened and got it at -4. Imagine the big money coming to push the line to where it currently sits, a buy back at -10 or wherever its been the last couple days is hardly reason to believe the trojans dont cover it, it could just as easily been big or smart money buying a middle opportunity or a blip and the line takes off again once the thursday games get done or whatever. Line movement should just be another tool in your capping repetoire not the sole reason to make a play.