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Cotto vs Mayorga
Over 8.5 (+120) Under 8.5 (-150) The under is the public play. I think it should be more of a -110 either way at 8.5, but I'll play the -150. Just going for a half as well. I don't see a reason to go big on either of these fights Saturday night. Throw a little around just for fun. .75 to pay .5 |
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I completely forgot about these two fights. Hoping the Mayorga of past can take a few punches. I've got the over +145
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MMA: 41-53-1 // 43.62% // -2.88 units MLB: 13-23-0 // 36.11% // -2.35 units MLB Underdog System: 32-3 // 91.43% // +28.66 units Updated on 05/14/12 --- One of my 2012 resolutions: no more action gambling. NFL 11: 49-42-4 // 53.84% // +7.40 units NCAAB 11: 25-21-0 // 54.35% // +1.90 units NHL 11: 122-118-0 // 50.83% // +14.98 units NCAAF 10-11: 78-81-2 // 49.06% // -27.00 units MLB 10: 148-126-1 // 54.01% // +25.43 units NBA 10: 130-120-3 // 52.00% // +15.31 units |
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I was on the Over at first, but changed my mind. My reasoning was that Cotto was going to play it cautious for the first 4 rounds and weather Mayorga's storm, because more than likely Moyorga is going to come out swinging. I'm expecting Cotto to step inside and between Mayroga's punches to get his own punches in.
If Mayorga plays it safe then the Over should be fine, Cotto will box and go for solid shots here and there. Cotto won't go for the kill for no reason. He isn't that type of fighter and has nothing to prove. If Mayorga plays it wild then he will get countered into oblivion. Plus Cotto seems pretty pissed off. The over is a good play too. 8.5 is a little too close for me. I would have liked a 9.5 at a -110 split. |
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Martinez KO8
Very impressive. I was way off, but no way I thought he would win by KO. Looks like you are going to get the Over on the Cotto fight. Good call. Both fighters are taking each others punches very well. None of them are even dazed. I really didn't expect Mayorga to take those shots, but he took them like nothing. |
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I really only remember Mayorga being someone who had a rock-solid jaw. I got into boxing (not that avid even) when Arturo Gotta turned into a decent boxer... circa 2005 or so. I remember watching Mayorga stick his chin out and bait the other guy into hitting him. Forget the other fighter's name, but hey the bet worked out for me!
__________________
MMA: 41-53-1 // 43.62% // -2.88 units MLB: 13-23-0 // 36.11% // -2.35 units MLB Underdog System: 32-3 // 91.43% // +28.66 units Updated on 05/14/12 --- One of my 2012 resolutions: no more action gambling. NFL 11: 49-42-4 // 53.84% // +7.40 units NCAAB 11: 25-21-0 // 54.35% // +1.90 units NHL 11: 122-118-0 // 50.83% // +14.98 units NCAAF 10-11: 78-81-2 // 49.06% // -27.00 units MLB 10: 148-126-1 // 54.01% // +25.43 units NBA 10: 130-120-3 // 52.00% // +15.31 units |
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