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Boxing - UFC - Pride Fighting - MMA Forum Post your Boxing, UFC, MMA, Pride Fighting, MMA, Strikeforce and all other "fight" related picks here!

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Old 04-09-2011, 10:35 AM
akatdrake's Avatar
akatdrake akatdrake is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2007
Posts: 4,328
Default Strikeforce: Daley vs Diaz

Saturday, April 9
Valley View Casino Center, San Diego CA

Welterweight Championship
Nick Diaz -220 vs. Paul Daley +175

Lightweight Championship
Gilbert Melendez -240 vs. Tatsuya Kawajiri +190

Keith Jardine +350 vs. Gegard Mousasi -500 DRAW
Shinya Aoki -230 vs. Lyle Beerbohm +180

Robert Peralta +220 vs. Hiroyuki Takaya -300
Brett Albee vs. Virgil Zwicker
Saad Awad +115 vs. Joe Duarte -145
A.J. Matthews vs. Herman Terrado
Edgar Cardenas vs. Rolando Perez
Casey Ryan vs. Paul Song

Posting this late, but the main card will hopefully be worth a ppv buy.

Because of the recent purchase of Strikeforce by the UFC - all scheduled Strikeforce events will be conducted with UFC rules... this means, elbows are allowed!!

The only reason Nick Diaz loses this title is if his ego gets so damn big that he wants to trade with Daley. Daley has all the power in the world to knock someone out, and Diaz has just enough power to allow himself to want to stand. This would be a big mistake. Diaz has a significant advantage on the ground with his jiu-jitsu, and would be smart to go there. If you have a prop of Diaz by submission, do it. Again, yes, it's hard to get Daley to the ground, but that's the way to win - I can see Diaz getting frustrated if he shoots or trips and fails right away, and just resorts to standing... if that happens, bam, gone. THere was a ton of tension in the weigh-ins and this is going to be some serious fun.

Other... I know I am absolutely terrible at picking Asian fighters coming into America to fight, but this Kajawiri is a gift at these prices. I'm not a huge fan of Melendez at all. Keith Jardine hasn't fought and beaten anyone with relevance in a long time, but at those long odds, maybe he's not just looking for a paycheck - even though he takes fight on short notice as well...

Confirmed bets later today.
__________________
MMA: 41-53-1 // 43.62% // -2.88 units
MLB: 13-23-0 // 36.11% // -2.35 units
MLB Underdog System: 32-3 // 91.43% // +28.66 units
Updated on 05/14/12
---
One of my 2012 resolutions: no more action gambling.

NFL 11: 49-42-4 // 53.84% // +7.40 units
NCAAB 11: 25-21-0 // 54.35% // +1.90 units
NHL 11: 122-118-0 // 50.83% // +14.98 units
NCAAF 10-11: 78-81-2 // 49.06% // -27.00 units
MLB 10: 148-126-1 // 54.01% // +25.43 units
NBA 10: 130-120-3 // 52.00% // +15.31 units

Last edited by akatdrake; 04-09-2011 at 11:20 PM.. Reason: winners in bold
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  #2 (permalink)  
Old 04-09-2011, 11:22 PM
akatdrake's Avatar
akatdrake akatdrake is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2007
Posts: 4,328
Default

As you can see, favorites had a great time today - I didn't end up making a play either way, but this is the third consecutive MMA card where favorites have dominated... not sure on the odds of a draw for that Jardine fight...
__________________
MMA: 41-53-1 // 43.62% // -2.88 units
MLB: 13-23-0 // 36.11% // -2.35 units
MLB Underdog System: 32-3 // 91.43% // +28.66 units
Updated on 05/14/12
---
One of my 2012 resolutions: no more action gambling.

NFL 11: 49-42-4 // 53.84% // +7.40 units
NCAAB 11: 25-21-0 // 54.35% // +1.90 units
NHL 11: 122-118-0 // 50.83% // +14.98 units
NCAAF 10-11: 78-81-2 // 49.06% // -27.00 units
MLB 10: 148-126-1 // 54.01% // +25.43 units
NBA 10: 130-120-3 // 52.00% // +15.31 units
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