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| Boxing - UFC - Pride Fighting - MMA Forum Post your Boxing, UFC, MMA, Pride Fighting, MMA, Strikeforce and all other "fight" related picks here! |
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Fight Lines
Sat, Jul 30, 2011 EST Time Rot Team Handicap Moneyline Total Team Total 11:00p 2301 Dan Henderson +180 2302 Fedor Emelianenko -230 Heavyweight 3 rounds - Sears Centre - Hoffman Estates, Illinois PROCESSING... 10:30p 2303 Meisha Tate +100 2304 Marloes Coenen -130 Women's Welterweight Championship 5 rounds - Sears Centre - Hoffman Estates, Illinois PROCESSING... 10:00p 2305 Robbie Lawler +175 2306 Tim Kennedy -220 Heavyweight 3 rounds - Sears Centre - Hoffman Estates, Illinois PROCESSING... 10:00p 2307 Paul Daley +190 2308 Tyron Woodley -240 Welterweight 3 rounds - Sears Centre - Hoffman Estates, Illinois PROCESSING... 10:00p 2309 Scott Smith +200 2310 Tarec Saffiedine -260 Welterweight 3 rounds - Sears Centre - Hoffman Estates, Illinois
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MMA: 41-53-1 // 43.62% // -2.88 units MLB: 13-23-0 // 36.11% // -2.35 units MLB Underdog System: 32-3 // 91.43% // +28.66 units Updated on 05/14/12 --- One of my 2012 resolutions: no more action gambling. NFL 11: 49-42-4 // 53.84% // +7.40 units NCAAB 11: 25-21-0 // 54.35% // +1.90 units NHL 11: 122-118-0 // 50.83% // +14.98 units NCAAF 10-11: 78-81-2 // 49.06% // -27.00 units MLB 10: 148-126-1 // 54.01% // +25.43 units NBA 10: 130-120-3 // 52.00% // +15.31 units |
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Here's what I'm thinking... the odds on Hendo are huge, and I'm a huge Hendo fan, so I'll be backing him no matter what... Fedor lost last two, has been "overrated" when fighting decent opponents as of late, two in a row from being caught by Werdum and the doggy barked around the world, and really just got outfought by Bigfoot.
Finally Fedor has a size advantage, and Hendo is old. Hendo known for one thing - don't circle into his right. H-bomb. Fedor will try the clench and out-quick the smaller guy by getting in fast. Like Meisha Tate, Paul Daley as well but haven't put much thought into those as of late - except that Woodley is too big of a fave taking the fight on short-notice...
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MMA: 41-53-1 // 43.62% // -2.88 units MLB: 13-23-0 // 36.11% // -2.35 units MLB Underdog System: 32-3 // 91.43% // +28.66 units Updated on 05/14/12 --- One of my 2012 resolutions: no more action gambling. NFL 11: 49-42-4 // 53.84% // +7.40 units NCAAB 11: 25-21-0 // 54.35% // +1.90 units NHL 11: 122-118-0 // 50.83% // +14.98 units NCAAF 10-11: 78-81-2 // 49.06% // -27.00 units MLB 10: 148-126-1 // 54.01% // +25.43 units NBA 10: 130-120-3 // 52.00% // +15.31 units |
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Fedor will be the biggest play for me of the month, year, and my life.
I have spent the last 2 months getting as much down on this as I possibly could. Which is close to my yearly winnings in total. I'm also flying down to Illinois, to watch this live. I have always felt uncomfortable wagering a good step higher than my max play, but not here. I know a lot of things here, that put me at ease. If you play Hendo, I would very much advise you to keep it small.
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2010 NFL Football 1-0 +$1,000 2010 NCAA Football 1-0 +$1,500 Soccer 68-16 +$18,429.12 2010 WORLD CUP 25-10 +$17,964.62 |
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Wow... no sh9t. I spent the last 45 minutes on a write it, and after I hit "submit", it asks me to log in, and my write up is gone. LMAO... whewwwwwwwwww.
Bottom line: This isn't going to be close. Not in Henderson's fu9king dreams. Not in his dreams....
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2010 NFL Football 1-0 +$1,000 2010 NCAA Football 1-0 +$1,500 Soccer 68-16 +$18,429.12 2010 WORLD CUP 25-10 +$17,964.62 |
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Quote:
I am doing the same as you, a friend and i have been creating our fedor bank roll just for this fight, we have been taking 20% of our winnings and putting it aside, i would be nervous if this fight taken place maybe 2-3 years ago, but this fight means something to fedor, and for henderson its a big check... big big check... I will be laying 2nd most wood i have ever laid on a fight, only fight i layed more was GSP vs Serra 2 GSP pummeling serra with those knees to the body... i might be too confident in this fight, but no way in hell will i not bet fedor!
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NCAAF YTD Overall 27-22-3 +8.19 units ------------------- NFL YTD Overall 20-19-2 -4.76 units |
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You're not too confident. I don't agree with anyone betting over their head, nor will I ever recommend someone to bet such a ridiculous amount... but this is a special circumstance. Fedor's 2 losses affect the line much more than they should. From a pure financial perspective, the last year has been a blessing for both fights to make this such an amazing line. At the end of the day... Dan Henderson, who lost to Jack fu9king Shields, needs to beat this guy: The Greatest Fighter to have Ever Lived 2.0 (Fedor / Фëдор) - YouTube Okay.
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2010 NFL Football 1-0 +$1,000 2010 NCAA Football 1-0 +$1,500 Soccer 68-16 +$18,429.12 2010 WORLD CUP 25-10 +$17,964.62 Last edited by xHeroOfTheDayx; 07-28-2011 at 07:16 AM.. |
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LOL ![]() i love how u put it... okay. ![]()
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NCAAF YTD Overall 27-22-3 +8.19 units ------------------- NFL YTD Overall 20-19-2 -4.76 units |
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Well said Hero, I think you may have convinced me enough to tail. I was only going to put one unit on Hendo just because he's my favorite fighter...
Tomorrow I plan on having a few after work, so maybe I'll reserve the decision after I knock a few back :)
__________________
MMA: 41-53-1 // 43.62% // -2.88 units MLB: 13-23-0 // 36.11% // -2.35 units MLB Underdog System: 32-3 // 91.43% // +28.66 units Updated on 05/14/12 --- One of my 2012 resolutions: no more action gambling. NFL 11: 49-42-4 // 53.84% // +7.40 units NCAAB 11: 25-21-0 // 54.35% // +1.90 units NHL 11: 122-118-0 // 50.83% // +14.98 units NCAAF 10-11: 78-81-2 // 49.06% // -27.00 units MLB 10: 148-126-1 // 54.01% // +25.43 units NBA 10: 130-120-3 // 52.00% // +15.31 units |
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Fedor is going to destory Hendo. Never been as sure as a thing in betting as this.
See you guys after the fight.
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2010 NFL Football 1-0 +$1,000 2010 NCAA Football 1-0 +$1,500 Soccer 68-16 +$18,429.12 2010 WORLD CUP 25-10 +$17,964.62 |
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I'm not even playing. Just giving my unbiased opinion. Not a big fan of either... |
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Paul Daley +200 for one unit. As explosive as Woodley is, his wild style might leave him to be caught by Daley. Also, Woodley taking this fight on about a month's notice.
Fedor -260 for two units. Going to tail Hero here...
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MMA: 41-53-1 // 43.62% // -2.88 units MLB: 13-23-0 // 36.11% // -2.35 units MLB Underdog System: 32-3 // 91.43% // +28.66 units Updated on 05/14/12 --- One of my 2012 resolutions: no more action gambling. NFL 11: 49-42-4 // 53.84% // +7.40 units NCAAB 11: 25-21-0 // 54.35% // +1.90 units NHL 11: 122-118-0 // 50.83% // +14.98 units NCAAF 10-11: 78-81-2 // 49.06% // -27.00 units MLB 10: 148-126-1 // 54.01% // +25.43 units NBA 10: 130-120-3 // 52.00% // +15.31 units |
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Adding:
Miesha Tate -125 for two units
__________________
MMA: 41-53-1 // 43.62% // -2.88 units MLB: 13-23-0 // 36.11% // -2.35 units MLB Underdog System: 32-3 // 91.43% // +28.66 units Updated on 05/14/12 --- One of my 2012 resolutions: no more action gambling. NFL 11: 49-42-4 // 53.84% // +7.40 units NCAAB 11: 25-21-0 // 54.35% // +1.90 units NHL 11: 122-118-0 // 50.83% // +14.98 units NCAAF 10-11: 78-81-2 // 49.06% // -27.00 units MLB 10: 148-126-1 // 54.01% // +25.43 units NBA 10: 130-120-3 // 52.00% // +15.31 units |
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