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UFC on FOX 14: Gustaffson vs Johnson Picks and Predictions!!!

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  • UFC on FOX 14: Gustaffson vs Johnson Picks and Predictions!!!

    UFC on FOX 14, January 24th, Stockholm, Sweden

    Fight Card
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Alexander Gustafsson vs. Anthony Johnson
    Dan Henderson vs. Gegard Mousasi
    Ryan Bader vs. Phil Davis
    Akira Corassani vs. Sam Sicilia
    Nico Musoke vs. Albert Tumenov
    Sultan Aliev vs. Kenny Robertson
    Makwan Amirkhani vs. Andy Ogle
    Nikita Krylov vs. Stanislav Nedkov
    Anthony Christodoulou vs. Mairbek Taisumov
    Mirsad Bektic vs. Paul Redmond
    Konstantin Erokhin vs. Viktor Pesta
    Chris Beal vs. Neil Seery


    Several threads online with people taking a lot of dogs. Should be interesting since faves have been ruling the last few cards that I can remember (thanks a lot Cathal Pendred :()

    Anthony Johnson +230 over Alexander Gustaffson - I don't want to bet against Gustaffson, but you cannot ignore Johnson's meteoric rise in the LHW division. Guy finally has his issues, found his weight class, and looks massive even for 205. Gus presents a huge problem, has a chin, probably better cardio and uses his range well. Probably something tiny on Johnson because idk there's value on Gus...

    Anthony Johnson +230 for 0.5 units

    Dan Henderson +350 over Gegard Mousasi - I'm the biggest Hendo fan out there, but sigh... he's off TRT, looks like he's only headhunting for the right hand. Been talking this week that it would be really fun to see him mix in some actual takedowns and have Mousasi be aware of other things than just the H-bomb. He still looks in great shape. What to say here other than we hope Hendo has something more... don't think there is any value here at all for me personally, on either side. But, since I'm a huge HENDO fan...

    Dan Henderson +350 for 0.5 units

    Ryan Bader +175 over Phil Davis - Two pretty elite wrestlers, with Bader's fight IQ being less than average. I think Davis is a better wrestler and his striking has been getting better over the last few years. Don't think Bader can do much here honestly.

    Phil Davis -230 to win 0.5 units

    Don't have much read on the rest of the other fighters.
    NFL 17: 45-47-2 // 48.91% // -10.12
    MMA: 247-332-2 // 42.66% // -6.04
    MLB 17: 151-140-8 // 51.89% // +5.65 ROR // +42.13
    NCAAF 17: 63-49-2 // 56.25% // +6.80
    Updated on 01/13/18
    ---
    One of my 2018 resolutions: no more action gambling.
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