Wimbledon with flmmkrz

[flmmkrz]

should be a fun fortnight as always

units are different than I normally bet on other sports

1 unit = 100

1 unit min
5 unit max

finding most of the value in the womens matches today but here's what I got for day 1:

Kerber x K. Bondarenko x Serena @ -144 to win 1 unit

Kerber and Bondarenko should outclass their opponents and serenas a throw in to get it under -150

Zheng x Stosur @ + 157 x 1 unit

Zhengs already + odds but I threw in Stosur cause shes playing great right now and she bumps up the odds even further. Zhengs tough and Cibulkova seems more adept on slower surfaces.

Vesnina x Kuznetsova @ - 196 to win 1 unit

LLagostera Vives is a dirtballer who should get blown off the court and kuznetsova just keeps this under -200, she'll steamroll the hottie Mathilde.

Cornet x Na Li x Chakvetadze @ -120 to win 1 unit

Li and Chak have cakewalk first rounds while Cornet gets a young up and comer who could be tough but as yet hasnt beaten a top 25 player so taking the good odds here.

Mattek x Pascual x Alona Bondarenko x Radwanska @ + 149 x 1 unit

Alona and Radwanska should cruise. Mattek draws Bremond who can be tough but Matteks been in form as of late and is coming off a nice showing on grass. Her games well suited to the grass so I'll take a shot. Ruano Pascual has played Sequera a couple times and handled her opponent comfortably a couple times, no reason for it to be different this time around.

Dushevina @ + 188 x 1 unit

Nicelescu @ + 150 x 1 unit

Lisicki @ +300 x 1 unit

Kvitova @ -150 to win 1 unit

will come back with my mens in a bit

[flmmkrz]

Guccione +3.5 @ +102 x 1 unit

Monfils could barely serve last week and Gooch is always tough on his serve. Hopefully tiebreaks or the shoulder probs lead to a gooch win.

Sela + 126 x 1 unit

50-50 match, better than 50-50 odds.

Gonzo x Hewitt @ -196 to win 1 unit

Ginepri can be tough but gonzo seems to like the match up and hewitt is money on grass as long as the opponent isn't top 5

Andreev x Safin x Ancic @ -140 to win 1 unit

Ancic has the toughest match up with LLodra but he should be able to pull thru it.

[coreyschucky]

Good Luck!!!!

[Stu Gotts]

this Chakvetadze is a fvkin joke..going down to the wire with a stiff like Dubois

[flmmkrz]

thx corey.

Adding:

Domachowska @ -167 to win 1 unit

[flmmkrz]

Originally Posted by Stu Gotts

this Chakvetadze is a fvkin joke..going down to the wire with a stiff like Dubois

Dubois can play but Anna should be beating her no question. Thankfully I put her with Cornet who already bricked so I dont need to sweat that one out.

[flmmkrz]

ugh I do gotta sweat out Hewitt tho. Haase is good on grass but come on

[flmmkrz]

live betting

Fat Dave @ + 333 to win match down 2 sets to 0. x 1 unit

dave lives for this shyt and while the price isn't great it's enough for me to take a shot.

[flmmkrz]

well that last bets not going well he's down a break already lol and its up to +600

[flmmkrz]

what the hell +800 x .5 unit on fat dave again

[flmmkrz]

kerber loss -1.44 units
zheng x stosur win + 1.57 units
vesnina win + 1 unit
cornet loss -1.2 units
mattek win + 1.49 units
dushevina + 1.88 units
lisicki - 1 unit
kvitova -1.5 units
domachowska + 1 unit

pending nicelescu (suspended due to darkness)

gooch voided
sela -1 unit
gonzo + 1 unit
andreev + 1 unit

fat dave -1.5 units

big card and all I have to show for it is + 1.3 units with 1 game pending, oh well as long as its a + day. Hopefully another + day tomorrow.

be back shortly with plays.

[flmmkrz]

alright got a huge card for tuesday:

wta

Muller +310 x 1 unit

Vakulenko +208 x 1 unit

Wickmayer x Mirza x Wozniacki @ -135 to win 1 unit

Kutuzova +110 x 1 unit

Cetkovska +160 x 1 unit

Makarova x Cirstea x zvonareva @ -110 to win 1 unit

Goerges +610 x .5 unit

Erakovic x Petrova @ -119 to win 1 unit

Hsieh @ +138 x 2 units

Kleybanova x Safarova x Hantuchova @ + 108 x 1 unit

Voskoboeva x Jankovic x Youzhny x Murray (last 2 atp) @ +102 x 1 unit


ATP:

Nieminen x Grosjean x Malisse @ +123 x 1 unit

Haas -175 to win 1 unit

Kiefer -260 to win 1 unit

Clement -200 to win 1 unit

Melzer +138 x 1 unit

Young -125 to win 1 unit

Anderson -188 to win 1 unit

[flmmkrz]

damn safarovas such a twat, she's got major game but comes up lame way more often than she should.

[flmmkrz]

Originally Posted by flmmkrz

alright got a huge card for tuesday:

wta

Muller +310 x 1 unit LOSS -1

Vakulenko +208 x 1 unit LOSS -1

Wickmayer x Mirza x Wozniacki @ -135 to win 1 unit LOSS -1.35

Kutuzova +110 x 1 unit LOSS -1 unit

Cetkovska +160 x 1 unit LOSS -1 unit

Makarova x Cirstea x zvonareva @ -110 to win 1 unit LOSS -1.1 units

Goerges +610 x .5 unit WIN +3.05 units

Erakovic x Petrova @ -119 to win 1 unit WIN + 1 unit

Hsieh @ +138 x 2 units WIN +2.76

Kleybanova x Safarova x Hantuchova @ + 108 x 1 unit LOSS -1 unit

Voskoboeva x Jankovic x Youzhny x Murray (last 2 atp) @ +102 x 1 unit LOSS -1 unit


ATP:

Nieminen x Grosjean x Malisse @ +123 x 1 unit WIN + 1 unit (niem voided)

Haas -175 to win 1 unit WIN + 1 unit

Kiefer -260 to win 1 unit WIN + 1 unit

Clement -200 to win 1 unit WIN + 1 unit

Melzer +138 x 1 unit WIN + 1.38 units

Young -125 to win 1 unit LOSS -1.25 units

Anderson -188 to win 1 unit LOSS -1.88 units

+.61 units for the day.

well at least its + again. Got no luck on the womens side today but the men bounced back for me.

[flmmkrz]

ATP:

Andreev @ +300 x 1 unit

for whatever reason he matches up well with Ferrer so I'm not fighting it.

Safin @ +850 x 1 unit

it's a reach but the big guys got game and I love to gamble.

Gicquel x Berdych x Baghdatis @ -158 to win 1 unit

Seen a lot of people on Ilia but this kids been around for a bit and he hasn't broken thru, GIcquels a tough player and should cruise thru imo. The other 2 to bring down the price but shouldn't face any problems.


WTA:

Baltacha +260 x 1 unit

Vesnina -152 to win 1 unit

Dellaqua x Bartoli x Szavay @ -150 to win 1 unit

Alona Bondarenko x Na Li @ -140 to win 1 unit


and for fun a lottery ticket:

hewitt x ferrero x baghdatis x gicquel x ancic x andreev +6 x balatcha x dellaqua x bartoli x szavay x alona B x mauresmo x radwanska x vesnina x li @ 20 bucks pays out 1448