On The 2009 NCAAW Tournament Hardwood

[EveryGamblersDream]

Keeping everything in one thread for the tournament like past years. I pretty much bet this tournament exclusively & ignore the men's game other than a play here or there. The wagering options are not what they once were so I doubt I'll get 800+ wagers down & kill them like I did a few years ago. Either way it will be another profitable tournament! Anyhow...........

Texas -5 2nd H

u72.5 Lehigh-Auburn 2nd H

[EveryGamblersDream]

VCU +12.5 -107
o114 VCU-Rutgers
VCU +725
VCU +6.5 1st H
VCU +3.5 1st 10mins 1st H -105

Charlotte +8 -105
o125 Charlotte-Notre Dame -105
Charlotte +327
Charlotte +4.5 1st H
Charlotte +2 +100 1st 10 mins

Sacred Heart +23
u132 Sacred Heart-Ohio State
Sacred Heart +2300
Sacred Heart +12.5
Sacred Heart +7 1st 10mins 1st H

Florida State -15.5
o144 North Carolina A&T-Florida State
Florida State -8.5 1st H -115
Florida State -5 1st 10mins 1st H

[EveryGamblersDream]

Charlotte +3 2nd H

Charlotte +2 1st 10mins 2nd H -115

[EveryGamblersDream]

Sacred Heart +5 1st 10mins 2nd H -115

They took OSU's big punches & hung around after starting out well. If they do end up losing by 20+, it will be from wearing down in the 2nd part of the 2nd H. I think they can keep this within 15 easily for the 1st 10 mins.

I am not completely giving up on the outright but they will have to stay within 5-10 at the halfway point to really have a strong chance.

No plays on the other 2nd halves.

[EveryGamblersDream]

Vanderbilt -18.5 -105
o137 Western Carolina-Vanderbilt -105
Vanderbilt -10 1st H
o64 Western Carolina-Vanderbilt 1st H
Vanderbilt -5.5 1st 10mins 1st H -115
o31.5 Western Carolina-Vanderbilt 1st 10mins 1st H

California -12.5 -105
o122 Fresno State-California -105
California -6.5 1st H
California -3.5 1st 10mins 1st H

Depaul -3.5 -105
Depaul -2 1st H -105
Depaul -1 1st 10mins 1st H -115

Montana +12.5 -105
o127 Montana-Pittsburgh -105
Montana +610
Montana +7 1st H
o58.5 Montana-Pittsburgh 1st H
Montana +3.5 1st 10mins 1st H

Marist +125 (wrong team favored, should be laying 6)

[EveryGamblersDream]

Montana +7.5 2nd H

Montana +350 2nd H

Montana +4 1st 10mins 2nd H -115

I see this as a good time to take a stand on a good opportunity. Over the years one of the biggest sucker bets in basketball is betting on a big favorite in the 2nd H at a # that lets you win without them having to cover the full game #.

This is the case as at -7.5, Pittsburgh is asked to win by 9 when the spread is 3.5 points higher. I have seen many get taken in by it. I've made nice bank over the years jumping on the opposite side here. It is not a lock by any means but I have won much more than I have lost.

Plus the fact that Montana is not the least bit intimidated by Pitt, have not played their best, & still only down 1. They were very live to me going into the game & still are as I expect them to win outright.

Nothing on the other 2nd H's.

[EveryGamblersDream]

Kansas State -9.5 -105
o112 Drexel-Kansas State -105
Kansas State -500
Kansas State -5.5 1st H
Kansas State -3.5 1st 10mins 1st H

UC Santa Barbara +23
UC Santa Barbara +12.5 1st H
UC Santa Barbara +6.5 1at 10mins 1st H

Gonzaga +5
o129 Gonzaga-Xavier -105
Gonzaga +186
Gonzaga +2.5 1st H -105
o60 Gonzaga-Xavier 1st H

I apologize about Montana, I did not see an almost 30-3 type run coming on. As far as Kansas State goes, laying -500 might sound risky but in this case it is not. Drexel has played nobody & will get exposed for that by a battle tested Big 12 team in Kansas State. The Big 12 is arguably the toughest conference from top to bottom in terms of the tough games to be had especially on the road. They have more talent across all 5 positions than Drexel is used to seeing. This should be a wire to wire win for the Wildcats. If this game is even remotely close at HT, I will probably go heavy on Kansas State in the 2nd H.

[EveryGamblersDream]

Kansas State -240 2nd H

Gonzaga +160 2nd H

Shady line on Xavier as the 5 point favorite just has to win by 1 to push & 2 to cover. Besides that, I think Gonzaga is the better team & is playing much closer to home. They are playing at their tempo & keeping the Musketeers in check. I think they pull away & win by 10-12.

I am looking to go heavy on Marist in the 2nd H. They are not nearly playing as good as they could & are still up by 5 as I type this. Virginia already came into the game with depth issues due to their Senior PG being suspended. Now they are dealing with foul troubles as well.

While they have the size advantage over Marist at most spots, they do not have the bodies to take advantage. Marist will win this game by double digits unless they totally tank. They should have been laying at least 6 as I said prior.

[EveryGamblersDream]

Marist +155 2nd H

Yet another shady line as the small favorite in Virginia does not even have to win to cover. Those types of lines usually do not pan out for the favorite. I will pass on the +3 & just take the ML as I think they win by double digits as I just mentioned.

[EveryGamblersDream]

UC Santa Barbara +7 2nd H -105

UC Santa Barbara +350 2nd H

Strict principal wagers here for the most part. UC Santa Barbara could not have played any worse in the 1st H shooting an abysmal 19.4%. The books are making the 22 point dog +35 for the game with this #.

Stanford tends to coast after getting big leads. They have proven their point as UCSB is not winning this game. They will take it easy in the 2nd H & be comfortable with a 18-20 point win here. So of course I am loving the +350.

[EveryGamblersDream]

adding some more:

UC Santa Barbara +400 2nd H

[EveryGamblersDream]

Villanova +2.5
o106 Utah-Villanova -105
Villanova +1.5 1st H
Villanova +.5 1st 10mins 1st H -105

Middle Tennessee State +5.5 -105 (should be laying points)
Middle Tennessee State +210
Middle Tennessee State +2.5 1st H
Middle Tennessee State +1.5 1st 10mins 1st H

Vermont +47.5 -105
Vermont +27.5 1st H
o134 Vermont-Connecticut -105
Vermont +14.5 1st 10mins 1st H

Evansville +29
Evansville +15.5 1st H

[EveryGamblersDream]

Florida -3.5 +102
Florida -2 1st H
Florida -1 1st 10mins 1st H

Austin Peay +31.5
Austin Peay +17 1st H
Austin Peay +9.5 1st 10mins 1st H

Minnesota +7.5 -105
Minnesota +310
Minnesota +3.5 1st H
Minnesota +2 1st 10mins 1st H -115

[EveryGamblersDream]

Wisconsin Green Bay +7 +100
o109 Wisconsin Green Bay-LSU -105
Wisconsin Green Bay +270
Wisconsin Green Bay +3.5 1st H -105
Wisconsin Green Bay +2 1st 10mins 1st H

Liberty +21
o122 Liberty-Louisville -105
Liberty +2250
Liberty +12 1st H
Liberty +6.5 1st 10mins 1st H

East Tennessee State +21 -105
u132.5 East Tennessee State-Iowa State -105
East Tennessee State +2250
East Tennessee State +11.5 1st H
East Tennessee State +6.5 1st 10mins 1st H

Oklahoma -31 -108
o135 Prairie View-Oklahoma
Oklahoma -17 1st H
Oklahoma -9 1st 10mins 1st H

South Dakota State -240

[EveryGamblersDream]

East Tennessee State +7.5 2nd H
East Tennessee State +3.5 1st 10mins 2nd H -115
East Tennessee State +360 2nd H

TCU -2.5 2nd H
TCU -1 1st 10mins 2nd H -115

Both teams being blown out due to turnovers & shooting a low percentage. I think both teams make a game of it in the 2nd H, especially TCU who will not lose by more than 25 in this game. I think it will end within 15-18 points when all is said & done.