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[TheBeholdah]

78-63-2: +20.2

OLE MISS at lsu = it bothers me that i havent capitalized on the terribleness of lsu this year, but may get a chance here, i really have no idea how high this line will be. 7 or less is worth a shot.

This lsu team is just awful. their 4th leading scorer averages less than 5 ppgs.
they rely on 3 players for most of the scoring, and one of those is bo spencer, their only big scoring threat from the guard position who is shooting 33% on the year and 27% from 3. tas mitchell is a really solid player, and they are pretty solid inside with storm warren, they combine for 18 boards a game, but there isnt too much else impressive about this team. they are just so weak on the perimeter, ole miss is a tough team to figure out, but they should have too much offense for lsu to keep up with.

MARSHALL vs. uab= marshall had played a bunch of nobody's for the most part prior to the west virg game, but they did at least take them down to the wire. i think they win at least one of these 2 tough home games (vs memph next), i still think uab is a little overrated as they havent played the toughest schedule either and this will be a tough road game for them. if marshall loses ill take them vs memphis, gotta think the great start can at least culminate in a home split here.

DENVER vs. South alabama= back denver at home, fade them on the road. thats how it was last year and how it is this year so far. they've won 11 straight at home, 6 str8 on the road. the extra travel and the altitude is tough on the sun belt athletes it seems. a much better south bama team lost at denver last year to a not as good denver team.
not sure what line we get here but hopefully relatively low.

DUQUESNE vs. st bonnies= spoke on this game in another thread, tihnk duquese gets on track here.

NORTHWESTERN vs. illinois= revenge spot for northwestern, i was hoping illinois would be coming off a win over purdue but they really just arent that good right now. i think theyll struggle on the road here.

PURDUE vs. michigan

VANDERBILT vs. AUBURN: OVER= auburn allowed lsu to reach 80 points which has only happened two other times all year. vandy has a great shot to get to 90 here, they hung 95 on florida and auburn is top 30 in tempo, shouold get a lot of possessions. may lay chalk here as well

TEXAS at uconn= i initially loved texas in this spot, but im still trying to figure out how confident i am in them. they havent given too much reason to believe in them the way they played last handful of games. i cant see uconn being able to hang in there for 40 minues, but it wouldnt surprise me to see them trailing at halftime like they usually are.

[TheBeholdah]

greek put lines out, will add as i lock them in

1 unit each

Texas-2

Ohio-3

[TheBeholdah]

ohio went up 1/2 point after i played it, may go up more

waiting to see if any of these move back half point b4 putting them in

Nwest-1.5, Duquense-4.5, Purdue-10.5, Denver-7.5. im going to play nwestern for 2 units so mite as well see if it goes to -1

Ole Miss is still -6 at the greek, looks like its -6.5 everywhere else, i cant bring myself to lock it now for some reason. any top 25 team should handle lsu without much trouble, but i dont think ole miss is really top 25 team

im not laying the 14 with vandy, i got the total number i hoped for but trying to figure out if auburn really cant get in the 70s.

also, marshall at -6 is a damn sharp number

[FlyersFan]

you better hope AUB is hitting some of their 4900 3's they are going to put up because they aren't getting **** inside IMO against Vandy.

I agree on VANDY in the mid 80's or very low 90's is a good possibility. But if you pencil in Vandy for say 87....you still need AUB to hit 70+ and that is a crap shoot. The game won't be close, also, IMO so you won't have the benefit of a parade to the FT line at the end.

[TheBeholdah]

Originally Posted by FlyersFan

you better hope AUB is hitting some of their 4900 3's they are going to put up because they aren't getting **** inside IMO against Vandy.

I agree on VANDY in the mid 80's or very low 90's is a good possibility. But if you pencil in Vandy for say 87....you still need AUB to hit 70+ and that is a crap shoot. The game won't be close, also, IMO so you won't have the benefit of a parade to the FT line at the end.

you going to lay the 14? i tihnk i may be underestimating how bad auburn is, will likely lay off the total .

any input for me on the ole miss game? they had a great chance for a conference win the other day but couldnt even beat auburn at home. lsu is REALLY bad. its not often you see a team rely for all its offense on 3 players and only one of them is consistently above average (mitchell)

[FlyersFan]

Originally Posted by TheBeholdah

you going to lay the 14? i tihnk i may be underestimating how bad auburn is, will likely lay off the total .

any input for me on the ole miss game? they had a great chance for a conference win the other day but couldnt even beat auburn at home. lsu is REALLY bad. its not often you see a team rely for all its offense on 3 players and only one of them is consistently above average (mitchell)

I would say yes to OlePiss on paper. My problem with them is that they never do what you think they will do. They lose at home to MISSST and blow a lead, then go on the road where you're thinking they lose to TENN and should by all rights have won at Tennessee after leading a lot of the game.....then they struggle with UGA. Looked OK versus SCAR. I don't know. I am not taking LSU but i wish OlePiss was a little more consistent i guess is my point.

And AUB isn't horrible, they just take everything from the perimeter for the most part and lack an inside game. That game could soar over but only if AUB hits some 3's. They won't get much inside versus Vandy. But JMO.

[FlyersFan]

Boiler likes PUR 1H

I played WEBST -500/MAN +7 -190 (-120) tonight.

I actually like both teams to win outright but bought some insurance with MANH

[TheBeholdah]

Originally Posted by FlyersFan

I would say yes to OlePiss on paper. My problem with them is that they never do what you think they will do. They lose at home to MISSST and blow a lead, then go on the road where you're thinking they lose to TENN and should by all rights have won at Tennessee after leading a lot of the game.....then they struggle with UGA. Looked OK versus SCAR. I don't know. I am not taking LSU but i wish OlePiss was a little more consistent i guess is my point.

And AUB isn't horrible, they just take everything from the perimeter for the most part and lack an inside game. That game could soar over but only if AUB hits some 3's. They won't get much inside versus Vandy. But JMO.

thanks for the opinions, gotta keep mulling these over i guess, i hate ole piss haha for some reason they are ALWAYS inconsistent. they deserve the piss nickname

[TheBeholdah]

Originally Posted by FlyersFan

Boiler likes PUR 1H

I played WEBST -500/MAN +7 -190 (-120) tonight.

I actually like both teams to win outright but bought some insurance with MANH

good luck the action tonight. he likes them first half more than full game? i just locked them in at -11 . last time i played a first half nc state got blown out first half and ended up covering 2nd half.

[TheBeholdah]

1 unit

Purdue-11

[FlyersFan]

Originally Posted by FlyersFan

I played WEBST -500/MAN +7 -190 (-120) tonight.

I actually like both teams to win outright but bought some insurance with MANH

winner winner chicken dinner.....

[TheBeholdah]

^^nice hit

1 unit

DuQuesne-4 (-120)

[TheBeholdah]

1 unit

Northwestern-1.5

[TheBeholdah]

1 unit

RUTGERS+20

gtown off the pitt win with the road game at cuse looming monday, lot of points to catch in a major sandwich spot even tho rutgers is bad team. ive gotta think if gtown gets up big they rest guys for the cuse game and gtowns bench hasnt done much this year so backdoor will be live

will make decision on piss and vandy game tomorrow

the more ive looked into the tennessee game the more i think georgia has great chance to win. georgia's last 4 games have been impressive against good competition, they shou;d have won that game at miss st.



sleep

[irishmike]

Good luck today!!!