Lang Thursday

[deadheadct]

BRANDON LANG
Thursday's selection

20 DIME - VALPARAISO

This team is playing some basketball.

Off their hard fought loss on the road at Wisconsin/Milwaukee 85-82 as a 7 1/2 point dog, they roll into Wisconsin Green Bay and win outright 84-79 as a 5 1/2 point dog.

In fact, since losing at Wright State 59-57 as a 16-point underdog, this team has gone on a 6-1 run both SU and ATS.

The only non-cover was a 4 point home win over Youngstown State as a 4 1/2 point favorite.

This game will be a battle and with Valpo playing with more confidence now than at anytime this entire year and catching points at home, it wouldn't suprise me if they won the game outright.($$ Yes, you heard me: I wouldn't be surprised if they won it outright; that's how much I like them tonight and it's why they're a 20 dime play.

Wright State has been no bargain on the road over its last 5 games going 2-3 SU and 1-3-1 ATS.

At Detroit they were laying 2 and won right on the number 61-59. At Wisc/Milwaukee they lost outright 67-61 in OT laying 3 1/2.

At Wisc/Green Bay they lost outright 68-66 as a 5 point chalk and they split in Chicago beating Ill/Chicago by 17 as a 8 point favorite while losing at Loyola/Chicago 53-52 as an 8 1/2 point choice.

As you can see, Wright State is all about close games on the road as evidenced by their 1-6-1 ATS run on the highway over the last 8 games.

I feel we are in for another close one here in Valpo because not only is Valpo on a run of 5 straight covers but they are on a 9-1-1 ATS run as an underdog anywhere.

I look for Valpo to take this team down to the wire and possibly steal one outright.

[joepa66]

That's great because I am actually considering the Raiders.....!

But now I don't like that the line has jumped to -6...that may well be a wager killer for me.....