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Georgia @ Vandy
Vanderbilt is definitely a good team, but they aren’t particularly big or tough. They also have a tendency to not bring their ‘A Game’ against weaker opponents, as evidenced by a 0-3-1 ATS mark against teams with losing records. These two teams played in early February, with Georgia winning outright by 14. In theory, you might suggest this is a ‘revenge spot’ but the Commodores are only 3-3 ATS in ‘payback’ situations this year. Vanderbilt is off a tough game against Kentucky where they played well but lost by 2 and there’s a potential they’ll come out flat here.The rest of their schedule is tricky–a good Florida team, a capable Arkansas team and an enigmatic South Carolina team–further increasing the possibility of a flat effort here.Vandy has failed to cover in 5 of their L7 games, while Georgia has been a veritable ATM machine of late–13 pointspread covers in their L17 games. Georgia may not get another SU win, but they’ll make life difficult enough for Vandy’s less physical forwards and keep this within the number. Georgia+12 Murry St-1.5 over Morehead St Arizona+11.5 North Texas-6 S Carolina/Kentuck under 146.5 Last edited by The Wiz; 02-25-2010 at 06:40 PM.. |
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That's an astute take. Teams that play down to opponents is a tremendous angle.
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