Thursday Night Football Picks (I done changed muh' pick again)

[Kevin]

YTD 15-11-1 +2.90 Units

Favorites: 1-2 -1.20
Underdogs 11-5-1 +5.50
Overs: 1-1 -0.10
Unders: 1-2 -1.20
First Half Favs:
First Half Dogs:
Second Half Favs: 1-0 +1.00
Second Half Dogs: 0-1 -1.1

Changed pick. See below

Good luck to all!

[gladgarbage]

Actually they looked pretty good in the first 3 minutes of the OU game.

[Stifler's Mom]

I agree about Miami looking bad, but I sure can't say as though Texas A&M has looked good, lol.

I mean really, the one even halfway decent opponent they played (Fresno) took them to triple OT on their home field, and really SHOULD have probably won the game in the first OT. They also proceeded to beat up on the likes of Montana St and Louisiana Monroe (all at home also). Like I said, less than thrilling.

Should also be noted that Fresno went to Oregon and got the crapola kicked out of em the very next week 52-21.

A&M is far from a top 25 team IMO, yet they are ranked #20. Which brings me to that MIA is unranked, yet favored over the ranked Aggies. Usually spells trouble for the ranked away dog.

A team who has yet to play a road game this year, and hasn't really played anyone even in their home games...now has to head to Miami and play on a short week on Thurs night?

Either Miami is REALLY bad, or this spells a recipe for disaster for A&M from where I stand.

I'm leaning Miami or no play....but again, what the hell do I know at this point??

GL with it.

Oh yea, tell that blackjack dealer lady from 2 years ago I said "me love you long time"

[Kevin]

I must be losing it.

For the third time in the last 3 days I am changing my pick.

Ive come to find out that when I select something early I end up finding out more info later in the week and often times feel stupid for getting down too early trying to get the "good line"

Scratching my original pick and taking Miami at -2.5 despite the line move.

Everytime I take a dog that the public is on it's like taboo. Their starting to hit A&M real hard too.

Gimme the Hurricanes at -2.5 and I'll live with the result either way.

[Delta00]

Kevin, when is the college football trend page going to be updated for this week? It is by far my favorite feature of this site, I love it!!! Exact sort of things I like to look for

Link added by admin

[Kevin]

Thursday night.

Im diggin on it too. Some great fades.

Check out the NFL Line Movement page too. It's 4-0.

[Meestermike]

Kevin, I know trends are a fade right now on the Trend page, but here's some from my database; some are at 80% or more which IMO you can't overlook...
BLUE = 80% or > ; GREEN = 60 to 79% ; Red = < or = 35%
When Miami played as a Home team - Playing on grass surface - Coming off a win on grass ATS = 27-12-1 SU = 33-7-0 O\U = 13-20-0
When Miami played as a Home team - Playing on grass surface - Coming off a 1 under ATS = 9-4-0 SU = 11-2-0 O\U = 2-9-0
When Texas A&M played as Road team as a Underdog - Last 5 years - Coming off a Win over Sun Belt opponent ATS = 2-13-0 SU = 3-12-0 O\U = 13-2-0
When Miami played as a Home team - Last 4 years - Coming off a win on grass ATS = 11-3-1 SU = 13-2-0 O\U = 5-9-0
When Miami played as a Home team - After a non division game - Scored 21 points or more FOR in their last game ATS = 11-1-0 SU = 10-2-0 O\U = 2-7-0
When Miami team played as a Home team - Last 5 years - Vs Non Conference Opponent ATS = 13-4-0 SU = 15-2-0 O\U = 4-12-0
When Miami team played as a Home team - Vs Non Division Opponent - After a non conference game ATS = 11-4-0 SU = 12-3-0 O\U = 4-8-0

Miami ~ When ANY NCAA-F Team played as Home team as a Favorite - Vs Non Division Opponent - During the month of September - Coming off a win on grass - vs. opponent who is 2-0 on season ATS = 8-7-0 SU = 14-1-0

Miami ~ When ANY NCAA-F Team played as Home team as a Favorite - Last 4 years - Playing on grass surface - Coming off a Home win as a Favorite - Coming off 1 under ATS = 21-31-1 SU = 43-10-0 O/U 19-30-1

[Bbaked]

Originally Posted by Meestermike

Kevin, I know trends are a fade right now on the Trend page, but here's some from my database; some are at 80% or more which IMO you can't overlook...
BLUE = 80% or > ; GREEN = 60 to 79% ; Red = < or = 35%
When Miami played as a Home team - Playing on grass surface - Coming off a win on grass ATS = 27-12-1 SU = 33-7-0 O\U = 13-20-0
When Miami played as a Home team - Playing on grass surface - Coming off a 1 under ATS = 9-4-0 SU = 11-2-0 O\U = 2-9-0
When Texas A&M played as Road team as a Underdog - Last 5 years - Coming off a Win over Sun Belt opponent ATS = 2-13-0 SU = 3-12-0 O\U = 13-2-0
When Miami played as a Home team - Last 4 years - Coming off a win on grass ATS = 11-3-1 SU = 13-2-0 O\U = 5-9-0
When Miami played as a Home team - After a non division game - Scored 21 points or more FOR in their last game ATS = 11-1-0 SU = 10-2-0 O\U = 2-7-0
When Miami team played as a Home team - Last 5 years - Vs Non Conference Opponent ATS = 13-4-0 SU = 15-2-0 O\U = 4-12-0
When Miami team played as a Home team - Vs Non Division Opponent - After a non conference game ATS = 11-4-0 SU = 12-3-0 O\U = 4-8-0

Miami ~ When ANY NCAA-F Team played as Home team as a Favorite - Vs Non Division Opponent - During the month of September - Coming off a win on grass - vs. opponent who is 2-0 on season ATS = 8-7-0 SU = 14-1-0

Miami ~ When ANY NCAA-F Team played as Home team as a Favorite - Last 4 years - Playing on grass surface - Coming off a Home win as a Favorite - Coming off 1 under ATS = 21-31-1 SU = 43-10-0 O/U 19-30-1

WOW, I'm not much on trends but this is too hard not to pay attention to and thinking I might back off the OVER after seeing some of these results. Thanks for the info, GL to all

[joepa66]

GL with the Aggies Kevin.....LOL
Just because you might change your mind again.....

[homedawg]

GL Kevin.... It looks like the books are sending out invitations to the miami bettors...

[Meestermike]

Betting #'s from Carib Sports
# 301 09/20 7:50pm Texas A&M vs Miami Florida (ESPN)
Texas A&M 57.17%
Miami Florida 42.83%
2120 Bets

[birdsfan5]

GL Kevin

[gadfly36]

gl kevin, i think im with you on miami, or is it a&m? whatever you settle on, good luck.

[NCSUWolfpack]

GL Kevin. Will you make up your mind.

[PIRATE]

Gl Kevin....