***The Knuckleballers Computer Based System Tracking Thread***

[The Knuckleballer]

Good Luck to everyone today!!!

-The Knuckleballer

[Nicky Santoro]

Nice plays

[The Knuckleballer]

Yesterday (4-6) -4.9 Units
Overall Record (11-8) +1.8 Units
Top Plays (4-4) -.8 Units
Regular Plays (7-4) +2.6 Units

**Top Plays** (2 Units)
Boston College +3.5 Win +2 Units
Air Force +2.5 Loss -2.2 Units
Cal +4 Loss -2.2 Units
Mississippi State +5 Loss -2.2 Units

*Regular Plays* (1 Unit)
Marshall +2.5 Loss -1.1 Units
LSU +3.5 Win +1 Unit
Northwestern +8 Win +1 Unit
UNLV +5.5 Loss -1.1 Units
Vandy +10 Loss -1.1 Units
Kent State +21 Win +1 Unit

Yesterday was a tough day. Two close losses prevented me from having a winning day. I encourage everyone to remember that this is a marathon not a sprint. I will be back later this week with some winners to help get us back on track. GL and enjoy the NFL today!!!

[The Knuckleballer]

Overall Record (11-8) +1.8 Units
Top Plays (4-4) -.8 Units
Regular Plays (7-4) +2.6 Units

Last weekend was tough. The weekday games went well, but the success game to an abrupt halt when Saturday rolled around. Fortunately, it's a long season, and I don't expect many Saturdays like the last one. I've moved on, and I'm ready to pick some winners this week. GL and I have one regular play for tonight that looks pretty solid!!

*Regular Pick* (1 Unit)
MTSU +7

[joepa66]

Mr. Neikro, er, Mr. Wakefield.....at any rate GL to you this week!

[The Knuckleballer]

Overall Record (11-9) +.7 Units
Top Plays (4-4) -.8 Units
Regular Plays (7-5) +1.5 Units

Tonight is the start to a great weekend of football!! The original line is correct on this one. The line moves solely b/c the public is on Nevada. Take the points and enjoy the victory. Don't touch the total. The total is correct. GL!!!

*Regular Play* (1 Unit)
LA Tech +10.5

[The Knuckleballer]

Friday (0-1) -1.1 Units
Overall Record (11-10) -.4 Units
Top Plays (4-4) -.8 Units
Regular Plays (7-6) +.4 Units

*Regular Play* (1 Unit)
LA Tech +10.5 Loss -1.1 Units

As you have seen, I have been ice cold since last Saturday, but that is no reason to panic. I'm in it for the long haul, and I fully expect to see this streak turn around at any moment. As I always say, this is a marathon not a sprint. Below are tomorrows play. GL and enjoy the football!!!

**Top Plays** (2 Units)
Tennessee -1.5
UCLA +3.5

*Regular Plays* (1 Unit)
Boston College +14 (buy the point or half point if necessary)
Syracuse +10
Wisconsin +16

(Roll Tide!!)

[FlyersFan]

GL!...with your plays....never been a fan of systems......they fail just as much as we do...lol...you'll hit a good streak again...

[The Knuckleballer]

Thus far, today has been terrible. Wisconsin dominated the game and had an opportunity to cover, but the coach made what was in my mind a questionable decision. Down by 18 w/ 4th and Goal from the 15 he chose to go for a TD rather than a Field Goal. Why?? As for my two morning losses, it's tough to account for that level of poor play. To say the least, today has been very frustrating. Here are two plays that have developed over the day due to line movement, etc... I really like Air Force to keep this game close. In fact, I I think there is a good chance that Air Force pulls the upset in this position. GL and keep following!! As I have already said, I'm not going anywhere.

Added Picks:

**Top Plays** (2 Units)
Air Force +10

*Regular Plays* (1 Unit)
BYU/UNLV Under 64

[The Knuckleballer]

Overall Record (13-15) -3 Units
Top Plays (6-5) +1 Unit
Regular Plays (7-10) -4 Units

**Top Plays** (2 Units)
Tennessee -1.5 Win +2 Units
UCLA +3.5 Loss -2.2 Units
Air Force +10 Win +2 Units

*Regular Plays* (1 Unit)
Boston College +14 Loss -1.1 Units
Syracuse +10 Loss -1.1 Units
Wisconsin +16 Loss -1.1 Units
BYU/UNLV Under 64 Loss -1.1 Units

[The Knuckleballer]

Overall Record (13-15) -3 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (0-0)
****4 Unit Picks**** (0-0)
***3 Unit Picks*** (0-0)
**2 Unit Picks** (6-5) +1 Unit
*1 Unit Picks* (7-10) -4 Units

I have one total tonight that I believe is being overlooked and improperly bet down due to heavy rain. UL Monroe has a synthetic field that drains well, which should bode well for a high scoring affair. I have this total at 59 and the downward line movement makes the Over a play. Also, starting tonight I will be changing my money management strategy. It has become obvious to me that I need to move to a unit based system that allows me the flexibility to bet more than 2 Units on my strongest plays. Thus, I will be moving to a 1 to 5 Unit system. This means that for recordkeeping purposes my Regular Plays will be recorded as 1 Unit Picks and my Top Plays will be recorded as 2 Unit Picks. Going forward this will allow me to better exploit lines that are way off. Don't expect to see many 3, 4, and 5 Unit Plays, but I will have the option if an opportunity presents itself. GL and get ready for a big week!! I have had tomorrows game highlighted for a long time!!!

**2 Unit Pick**
Ark. State/UL Monroe Over 51

[rawhide]

Hi Kunuckle...

Hate to be ticky tacky but your YTD Units is off. I assume your plays are posted @
-110 and your 2 unit plays would incur more juice than a 1 unit play as well so its more like -4 or -5 ....right?

[The Knuckleballer]

Overall Record (13-16) -5.2 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (0-0)
****4 Unit Picks**** (0-0)
***3 Unit Picks*** (0-0)
**2 Unit Picks** (6-6) -1.2 Unit
*1 Unit Picks* (7-10) -4 Units

Rawhide, if you add up the units it is correct. 6*2.2=13.2, and 12-13.2=-1.2

Tonight, I have my largest play of the season. I have waited for this game for quite some time now. I truly believe that Tulsa has a good chance to win this game. I am slightly concerned about their ability to protect Kinne. This is an opportunity to pick up a much needed victory. GL and enjoy!!

****4 Unit Pick****
Tulsa +9

[ncsucharlie]

lol

this thread is a train wreck so far. Hope you get your shit together man. Best of luck.

[The Knuckleballer]

Last Night (1-0) +4 Units
Overall Record (14-16) -1.2 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (0-0)
****4 Unit Picks**** (1-0) +4 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (0-0)
**2 Unit Picks** (6-6) -1.2 Unit
*1 Unit Picks* (7-10) -4 Units

Last night was a big step in the right direction. My system has produced another big play for tonight with a high probability of winning. I have this game capped at -7 in favor of South Florida. Home field advantage should account for about 6 points tonight. In addition, after evaluating line movement and public betting percentages it obvious that the "squares" are taking Top 10 Cinci in this matchup. Does that alone mean that USF will cover? The answer is "No!", but that combined with my mathematical model and key situational and statistical analysis means that they have a high probability of winning and covering. GL and enjoy the 3 Unit Winner!!!

***3 Unit Pick***
USF '+2