***The Knuckleballers Computer Based System Tracking Thread***

[The Knuckleballer]

Last Night (0-1) -3.3 Units
Overall Record (14-17) -4.5 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (0-0)
****4 Unit Picks**** (1-0) +4 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (0-1) -3.3
**2 Unit Picks** (6-6) -1.2 Unit
*1 Unit Picks* (7-10) -4 Units

Nothing I can say about last night except that Cinci is the better team. They pulled away even after Pike left the game. You can't win them all. Tonight, I have a small 1 Unit play to get the weekend kicked off. I have this game capped as Rutgers edging out Pitt for the victory. Home field advantage should play a big roll in this game tonight. GL and enjoy the win tonight!!!

*1 Unit Pick*
Rutgers +6.5

[The Knuckleballer]

Last Night (0-1) -1.1 Units
Overall Record (14-18) -5.6 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (0-0)
****4 Unit Picks**** (1-0) +4 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (0-1) -3.3
**2 Unit Picks** (6-6) -1.2 Unit
*1 Unit Picks* (7-11) -5.1 Units

I keep saying this is a marathon not a sprint, but there comes a point when you just have to win. Today is that day. I have my early picks capped, and there are some plays I really like. My top play for the morning is Vandy at +7.5. Their defense is underated. This line is wrong!! Public perception is playing a major role in this line. People have this perception that Vandy is an easy game, while people seem to think that this a Georgia team of years past. With more than 70% of the public on Georgia, I love this pick. Look for Georgia to get upset and Richt to get run out of Athens. GL and watch for my afternoon picks!!

***3 Unit Picks***
Vandy +7.5

**2 Unit Picks**
MTSU +4.5
Notre Dame +10

*1 Unit Picks*
Northwestern +14
Iowa +3

(Carpe Diem!!)

[The Knuckleballer]

Afternoon Games:

***3 Unit Picks***
Utah State '+7.5

**2 Unit Picks**
Nebraska -10.5
UCLA +3.5

*1 Unit Picks*
Minnesota +17
Boston College -2

[The Knuckleballer]

Tonight's Games:

***3 Unit Picks***
UCF +13

**2 Unit Picks**
Indiana +3

[The Knuckleballer]

Late Night Games:

**2 Unit Picks**
Mizzou +7
UNLV +15

[The Knuckleballer]

*****Big Pac-10 Winner*****
This is my largest pick of the season. It should cap off a long day of ups and downs with a nice 5 Unit Winner. Arizona State's defense is very stingy. This is a "sharp" play with heavy line movement in favor of the Sundevils. The game will be on Locker's shoulders due to the Sundevil's ability to shut down the run game. Allowing just under 50 yards per game rushing. The Huskies have failed to get it done on the road this season, and I don't think tonight will be any different. This stingy D will shut down this overated Washington team. People forget that this team did not win a game last year. Yes they upset USC, but that was an upset. It doesn't mean they are an elite college footballl team. Enjoy the big WINNER!!!! GL!!!!

*****5 Unit Pick*****
Arizona State -6.5

[maddoggie]

...what an ending, huh? Probably not the way you scripted it....

nice call....thanks for the winner.....love the exciting finish...

~md

[The Knuckleballer]

Last Week (7-8) -3.7 Units
Overall Record (21-26) -9.3 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (1-0) +5 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (1-0) +4 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (1-3) -6.9
**2 Unit Picks** (8-11) -8.2 Unit
*1 Unit Picks* (10-12) -3.2 Units

So far, this has been embarrasing, but unlike many cappers that hide when they are on a cold streak, I'm still here. I am confident in my system and its ability to pick winners on a long term, continual basis. To the doubters, just keep following until the end of the season. To the believers, thanks for the support. I encourage everyone to check out my NFL thread as well. I went 4-1 last week hitting my ***3 Unit Pick*** with the Texans. I have capped this weeks college football games and will have the picks to you soon. Unfortunately, none of the weekday games fit my system. I see no value in any of the weekday lines. Gun to my head, I have a slight lean on UNC tonight, but nothing more than a lean. I have the game capped at -5 for UNC, due in large part to their defense. GL this weekend!!

[akatdrake]

Keep it going Wakefield!

[The Knuckleballer]

Below are Saturday's winning picks. I love the Ole Miss game tomorrow morning. This game sets up perfect for a nice double digit victory for the Rebels. I have this game capped at Ole Miss -12. Arkansas has played 4 of their last 5 games on the road. Ole Miss is allowing just 13 PPG. Also, I believe a key stat is that Arkansas is only converting 27% of their 3rd Downs this season. Look for Arkansas to be tired and Ole Miss to have their way with this Razorback team after a tough loss last week to Florida. Much of the attention this week has been on last weeks questionable officiating, which may prove to be a distraction. Great game for the Razorbacks last week, but Ole Miss gets a 10+ victory tomorrow in Oxford. GL and enjoy the winners!!!

****4 Unit Picks****
Ole Miss -6.5

***3 Unit Picks***
USF '+6.5
Kansas State -4.5

**2 Unit Picks**
Minnesota +16
Iowa State +20
Kansas +7.5
Air Force +9.5
Vandy +13.5
Arizona State +6.5

*1 Unit Picks*
Duke -4
Navy +2.5
Idaho +15.5
Washington State +35.5
Mississippi State +22.5
Oregon State +21

[Kevin]

I really like Ole Miss as well. Arky defense is weak.

[The Knuckleballer]

Last Week (9-6) +5.9 Units
Overall Record (30-32) -3.4 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (1-0) +5 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (2-0) +8 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (2-4) -7.2
**2 Unit Picks** (11-14) -8.8 Unit
*1 Unit Picks* (14-14) -1.4 Units

Finally, last week got me back on track and put me close to even for the season. This week looks like it should be a good week. Tonight's game presents a nice opportunity to pick up a unit. I believe that the line is close to being correct, but with the "squares" heavy on ECU this becomes a small play on Memphis. I have ECU winning this game 26-24, so as you can see there is very little line discrepancy in this game. That being said one of my models has Memphis winning this game outright by 4 points due to home field advantage, while none of my models have ECU winning by more than 5 points. As the public pounds ECU and the line moves in favor of the Pirates, I feel confident enough to make Memphis +6 a small 1 Unit pick. GL and enjoy the game!! Get ready for a big week!!

*1 Unit Pick*
Memphis +6

[The Knuckleballer]

Overall Record (30-33) -4.5 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (1-0) +5 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (2-0) +8 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (2-4) -7.2
**2 Unit Picks** (11-14) -8.8 Unit
*1 Unit Picks* (14-15) -2.5 Units

Time to kick off the weekend with a big Friday night winner. I have a three unit pick for tonight. I have this game capped at USF -6.5. The line opened at USF +3.5 and has moved to USF +2.5 at many books. I expect USF's defense to perform well at home tonight against West Virginia's explosive running game. USF is allowing just 13.7 PPG at home. Watch and enjoy as The Bulls of South Florida pull the upset tonight!! The public loves the Mountaineers, but the public is often wrong. "Sharp" money is coming in on the Bulls. Saturday's picks will be up later this evening. GL!!!

***3 Unit Pick***
USF +3

[The Knuckleballer]

Friday Night (1-0) +3 Units
Overall Record (31-33) -1.5 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (1-0) +5 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (2-0) +8 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (3-4) -4.2
**2 Unit Picks** (11-14) -8.8 Unit
*1 Unit Picks* (14-15) -2.5 Units

Below are Saturday's winners. Suprisingly, the entire card is dogs, but I think there is some serious value out there tomorrow. It always helps to get the weekend started off right w/ a big Friday night upset. Hopefully, we can carry that momentum into tomorrow and pick up some much needed units. My two big 4 Unit picks are in the Pac-10, where I have seen some success lately. Just two weeks ago Arizona State was my big 5 Unit winner. I have Arizona State pulling an upset tomorrow over Cal. They allow just 2.65 YPR and 280 YPG. I have the game capped at Arizona State -4 with the total at 51.5. I also have Oregon upseting USC. In my opinion, the line should read Oregon -3 rather than USC -3. On a neutral site this game would be a PK, but home field advantage should be enough for Oregon to win by 3+ points tomorrow night. GL and enjoy the winners!!!

****4 Unit Picks****
Arizona State +6.5
Oregon +3

***3 Unit Picks***
Rutgers +7
Duke +7

**2 Unit Picks**
Indiana +17
Wake Forest +6.5
Vandy +11.5

*1 Unit Picks*
NC State +10
Baylor +13
UCLA +9
Northwestern +17
Kansas State +27.5
Washington State +27.5

[HoosierDaddy]

Hey, looking like a very solid day man. Pulling for Oregon for you