***The Knuckleballers Computer Based System Tracking Thread***

[joepa66]

BOL to ya Knucksey!

[sdyarnell]

so do you base your model off of stats or strictly game scores?

[tdawgmd]

He's been pretty successful this season. I think there's a little more to it than that.

[The Knuckleballer]

Overall Record (77-67-2) +29 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (1-0) +5 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (8-0) +32 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (10-9-1) 0 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (31-30-1) -4.2 Unit
*1 Unit Picks* (27-28) -3.8 Units

Total Unit Based Record (156-115-5) +29 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (56.52%)

I love Bowl Season, and I have a 3 Unit Pick for tonight's game that I feel very strongly about. In my opinion the wrong team is favored. I have this game capped at BYU -6.5. BYU should be able to get pressure on Canfield tonight. Thus far, BYU has forced 28 sacks this season. Also, the Beavers should have trouble getting BYU off the field on 3rd down. BYU has converted 55.5% of their 3rd downs this season. GL and enjoy the game!!

sdyarnell- No, I use more statistics than just game scores. Using game scores alone is too simplistic to produce long term results. GL tonight!

***3 Unit Picks***
BYU +2.5

[sdyarnell]

thats wasup.

[LLXC]

Computer Based System seems to be working. GJ.

[The Knuckleballer]

Overall Record (78-67-2) +32 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (1-0) +5 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (8-0) +32 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (11-9-1) +3 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (31-30-1) -4.2 Unit
*1 Unit Picks* (27-28) -3.8 Units

Total Unit Based Record (159-115-5) +32 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (56.99%)

Thanks for all the support this season. Tonight, I have a small 1 Unit Pick for everyone. I have this game capped at Cal +2.5, as opposed to Cal -3. Cal is a different team without Best. Utah is riding an 8 game bowl winning streak into this matchup, and I fully expect Utah to keep it going with another solid bowl outing tonight. The Mountain West came to play last night, and I expect the same tonight. GL to everyone and Merry Christmas!! Please have fun and enjoy this wonderful time of year with family and friends. GL!!

LLXC- Thanks and GL this bowl season!

sdyarnell- Thanks to you as well, and I appreciate the season long support you've shown. GL tonight!

*1 Unit Picks*
Utah +3

[The Knuckleballer]

Overall Record (79-67-2) +33 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (1-0) +5 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (8-0) +32 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (11-9-1) +3 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (31-30-1) -4.2 Unit
*1 Unit Picks* (28-28) -2.8 Units

Total Unit Based Record (160-115-5) +33 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (57.14%)

We are now 3-0 this bowl season after last nights cover. I like the dog again tonight, as well as the under. I have this game capped at Nevada -7 (not taking into account Nevada's two key players that are doubtful) with the total at 61.5. This game likely stays within a touchdown tonight. Enjoy the game and Merry Christmas to all!! GL!!

***3 Unit Picks***
SMU +11

*1 Unit Picks*
SMU/Nevada Under 71.5

[The Knuckleballer]

Overall Record (81-67-2) +37 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (1-0) +5 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (8-0) +32 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (12-9-1) +6 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (31-30-1) -4.2 Unit
*1 Unit Picks* (29-28) -1.8 Units

Total Unit Based Record (164-115-5) +37 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (57.75%)

I hope everyone had a Merry Christmas. I am now 5-0 this Bowl Season, and I look to move to 6-0 with one 3 Unit Pick tomorrow night. I have the BC/USC game capped at USC -3. In my opinion, Boston College is a solid play tomorrow night. USC is used to playing in BCS games, not playing in games that air before New Years. Yes, they are playing close to home, but this may be more of a distraction than a benefit. I think this game will be within a TD. In fact, I would not be suprised to see BC walk away with a victory in this matchup. GL and enjoy the winners!!

***3 Unit Picks***
Boston College +7

[The Knuckleballer]

Overall Record (81-68-2) +33.7 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (1-0) +5 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (8-0) +32 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (12-10-1) +2.7 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (31-30-1) -4.2 Unit
*1 Unit Picks* (29-28) -1.8 Units

Total Unit Based Record (164-115-5) +33.7 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (57.14%)

Thus far, we are 5-1 this bowl season, which is hard to complain about. I love Kentucky tonight against the spread. I have this game capped at PK. My one concern is Spiller and Kentucky's lack luster rush defense this season. Kentucky has allowed 4.62 YPR this season. Should be a good SEC/ACC matchup tonight. GL and enjoy the football!!

***3 Unit Picks***
Kentucky +6.5

[jpix]

GL on that pick....

[The Knuckleballer]

Overall Record (81-69-2) +30.4 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (1-0) +5 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (8-0) +32 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (12-11-1) -.6 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (31-30-1) -4.2 Unit
*1 Unit Picks* (29-28) -1.8 Units

Total Unit Based Record (164-121-5) +30.4 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (56.55%)

I have my largest pick of the Bowl Season this afternoon with Temple at +4.5. Temple wins this game outright. I have this game capped at Temple -3.5. The running game should be the deciding factor in this matchup. Temple averages 4.53 YPR, while UCLA gives up 4.06 YPR. Also, Temple should have a great deal of success getting after the QB this afternoon. UCLA has allowed 27 sacks, while Temple's defense has forced 33 sacks this season. Temple's offense is far more efficient than UCLA's offense, and I expect them to have no trouble moving the ball today. GL and enjoy the matchup!!

****4 Unit Picks****
Temple +4.5

[RamPride]

GL Knuckle Baller!!!! on the opposite side!! one of us wins!!

[The Knuckleballer]

So far, so good, but we still have a half to play. I like Wisconsin to pull off the upset tonight. Much like this afternoons matchup, all stats point to a dominating performance by Wisconsin on the ground tonight. Wisconsin averages 4.6 YPR, while Miami allows 3.47 YPR. Also, Wisconsin should put a lot of pressure on Harris tonight (Wisconsin forced 32 sacks this season). Should be a good matchup, but I like Wisconsin to shock the experts and make a statement for the Big 10 tonight. GL and enjoy!!

**2 Unit Picks**
Wisconsin +3.5

[jpix]

GL with Wisky....