GT v. FSU

[Jackets_Fan]

I've been pretty good historically picking Georgia Tech games, although I'm only 2-2 this year (no posts to validate).

The FSU game this weekend scares the hell out of me. FSU is in a good spot playing a night game at home and coming off two embarrassing losses. Also consider the revenge factor (GT beat FSU last year on a last second fumble in the endzone). Ponders is a pretty good QB, and despite the team's up-and-down nature, FSU has racked up some serious passing yards this season with the lone exception against BYU (when they ran at will).

GT's defense has been horrible to date. The one game GT's defense has played well in was against UNC - which has proven to be a miserable team offensively. Disregarding the first half of the Clemson game, GT hasn't been able to put any pressure on the opposing QB. Additionally, GT had trouble playing against an athletic QB last week, and Ponders continues to surprise people with his legs.

Conversely, GT had a lot of success running the option last year against FSU (until Nesbit got hurt) and should have won that game by 2 scores (I don't think GT got a first down in the last 20 minutes with its backup QB). GT's offense has been productive the last two games, and I do think they'll be able to score on FSU.

I know this isn't the old FSU, but I've seen too many GT/FSU to think the Noles will rollover. I'd expect Bowden's player to rally around him this week too as the media turns up the heat. Therefore, I'll unfortunately have to play the Noles -2.5. I'll also be looking at the over when it comes out.

NCAA Football YTD
0-0

(around 50% on un-posted plays)

[bookiekilla]

no, but seriously, I agree not a good spot for the Jackets, but no better than the spot they were in last week vs Miss State...all I heard all week was how that was a trap game...I know FSU is coming off two bad losses, but this ain't your daddy's FSU team...this team is a mess, and I think it's gonna be real long year for them. Also, if this were Chan Gailey's Jackets, I'd say there's not way they win this one. I believe the coaching edge here goes to GT in a big way, and I don't think the Jackets are going to be looking ahead to VT the following week just because, this is still at FSU in primetime, and you can't help but get up for this game. I realize FSU might 'rally' after two bad losses, but those losses were no fluke...that team is a mess, and I just don't see how someone can back them....especially a 'Jackets Fan'! lol...just messin with ya bro...

Yeah I'm sure this was a very 'homer' assessment of the game, but I seriously don't see how anyone can back FSU at all right now, doesn't matter who they were playing. I could be wrong and the Jackets get blown out, but it's either the Jackets or no play for me...which means, it's the Jackets..lol

[FlyersFan]

old gambling saying is that you may not want one side for sure, but it doesn't mean that the other side is automatically a good play. line is really begging for FSU money IMO and the oddsmaker is obviously expecting a close game. Im sure FSU will be a public play based on the name and the fact that you are laying less than a FG which makes it relatively close to a pick the winner game. Unfortunately for GTECH, FSU has been getting torched in the passing game, not the run game. 280 YPG through the air and a D1 WORST 10+ YPA for the FSU D. Run D has been relatively good at 3.7YPC and about 125 YPG. Not sure GTECH as the right offense to exploit the FSU D.

believe it or not YPG wise offensively the teams are almost identical. FSU has had a hard time converting Yards to points, though. Probably a game similar to last season. It's really hard to believe FSU is struggling so bad with some of the weapons they have on offense and at WR.

Not sure i want either team in this game honestly. GL!..to your team, though...

[DukiesBaby]

According to this phil steele magizine I got bobby bowden was 12-0 vs georgia tech dating back to 1975 until last year which I thought they had that game too... But anyways food for thought some coaches just own certain teams.

[joepa66]

But remember them players plays them games.......

[Daws1089]

That may be true about Bowden, but he really isn't the true coach of this team anymore so I'm not sure if the players are really motivated by him. I saw him speak at a coaches clinic last year and the guy is getting a little spaced out in the head. Jimbo Fisher and Mickey are the brains here. Anyway, I think this contributes to the up and down play of FSU over the last few years.

[bookiekilla]

You really can't compare Bowden's numbers against the GT teams of the past..different players and more importantly different coach for GT....they aren't Chan Gailey's Yellow Jackets

On the flip side you can say Paul Johnson's Jackets haven't lost to FSU ever

[DukiesBaby]

Originally Posted by bookiekilla

On the flip side you can say Paul Johnson's Jackets haven't lost to FSU ever

Honest opinion g-tech qb can't throw the ball into the ocean if he was standing in it... And florida state is just awful... But the byu game is still fresh in my head, so I say go with purdue/minn over 85.5

[Jackets_Fan]

You obviously didn't watch the GT v. Miss St. game. Nesbitt was 11/14 for 266 and 1 TD/0 INT. Nesbitt can throw. I've made this point before, but his completion % is distorted because the a large proportion of our passes are 20+ yds because they're meant to stretch the field which will subsequently open up the run game. Throwing high percentage 5 yard outs does nothing to punish the defense's safeties for creeping up into the box. Anyways, I'm not worried about GT scoring. I'm worried we won't be able to stop their offense.

[DukiesBaby]

And obviously you didn't watch the clemson game where ur QB went 3 for 14 83yards.... Oh and 2 int no td's... The guy has 6 tds in his whole career, he has a completion percentage on season right at 50%, g-tech is a running offense, if he could throw the football in a running offense with the little amounts of passes they put up he should have a way better completion percentage!

[DukiesBaby]

Also to make myself clear I'm not a fan of either of these teams and I'm not trying to attack u, just I watched the g-tech game vs clemson on a thursday night from start to finish and he looked as good as middle tennessee's QB did last night had wide open recievers and just blew it...
The guy is not that good, and let's just agree byu's qb is better than g-tech and florida state handled him pretty well...