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College Football Make your NCAA football picks against the spread and share regional tips and info with others from around the world. Get more free picks and info in our college football betting section as well!

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Old 10-15-2009, 09:38 AM
Jackets_Fan Jackets_Fan is offline
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Default Virginia Tech v. Georgia Tech

I generally tail, so I'm not much value-add posting my regular plays, but I do think I can provide insight into Tech's games (although I'm 2-3 when betting on Tech this year (including last week's shameful FSU pick) - historically I've been better).

Both teams come in this week off big victories, GT's more so than VT's in terms of importance. GT proved again it's 'high school' offense is for real and QB Nesbitt is playing lights out right now and might be the toughest player I've ever seen. The run game has been there, but we're finally clicking on the passing game and are currently first in the ACC in passing efficiency. GT's defense again played miserably, but did make a stop or two when it mattered most in the 4th against FSU.

VT looked great all around against BC and similar to the Jackets, Taylor is really developing his passing game.

On paper, especially considering both teams' Miami game, this looks like a big VT victory; however, I think VT is a little overrated. To illustrate, look at VT's last four games:

- Nebraska (W 16-15) - Nebraska is a good team, but VT needed a miracle in Blacksburg to win.

- Miami (W 31-7) - Yes, they beat the hell out of Miami, but it was absolutely the perfect spot for VT. Miami was coming off a big victory against GT on Thursday night. They were on the cover of every magazine and being told they were the greatest Miami team ever. VT was getting no respect and it was raining in Blacksburg for a night game - perfect spot.

- @ Duke (W 34-26) - Duke was in this game until the end. Yes a let-down game for VT, but they didn't impress.

- BC (W 48-14) - Again, PERFECT spot for VT. BC was coming off the biggest game of their season - beating FSU while Gameday was live on campus and it was the cancer benefit night for the LB. And BC is just not that good. Same team that had 54 total yards against Clemson.

Now the press is building for VT and there are talks about them sneaking into the NC. This is homecoming for GT and their first home game in three weeks - it's also at night. This is the game every Tech fan has had circled since the schedules were released, and the game is being billed as the biggest home conference game this decade. If there's one game for the team (defense) to step up, it's this.

Additionally, last year VT caught GT early in the season before our offense was fully developed. VT hung on to a 3 pt win thanks in large part by a late hit on Taylor. Point being, they still haven't really seen our offense in full gear.

Finally, the line seems a little odd as well considering the Miami games. Clearly, this is a line that will draw public money on VT.

VT may be the better team, but not on Saturday.

GT +3.5
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Old 10-15-2009, 10:49 AM
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Daws1089 Daws1089 is offline
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you bring up some valid points, however VT's defense is athletic enough to matchup with the option and smart enough to play the option assignments. VT won't be overlooking anyone now that they are in the top 5. I do expect GT to give everything they have. I lean under in this game more than anything else.
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