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College Football Make your NCAA football picks against the spread and share regional tips and info with others from around the world. Get more free picks and info in our college football betting section as well!

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Old 10-15-2009, 02:01 PM
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matt71211 matt71211 is offline
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Location: Chicago, IL
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Default Over/Under Trends

I havent posted on this forum in quite some time, but I felt the need to share a few total trends that I have not only noticed, but have been quite unnerving to me lately.

Weeknight games(most nationally televised) are a rediculous 1-11 (O/U) in the last twelve games. (With the only over coming on a hail mary pass with seconds left in the West Virginia game a few weeks ago, the same pass that blew West Virginia's cover.) On the year weekday games are an astonishing 5-17 (O/U)

Also, most of the headline matchups between highly ranked foes.. Most nationally televised games.

USC vs. Ohio State (U)
Georgia vs. Oklahoma State (U)
BYU vs. Oklahoma (U)
Virginia Tech vs. Alabama (O)
California vs. Oregon (U)
Miamia-FL vs. Virginia Tech (U)
Iowa vs. Penn State (U)
Florida State vs. BYU (O)
Alabama vs. Ole Miss (U)
Florida vs. LSU (U)
LSU vs. Georgia (U)
Oklahoma vs. Miami-FL (U)
USC vs. California (U)

2-11 O-U

And while it is early into the season, these trends are rediculously unbalanced.. and I'd expect this to have to balance out at some point in the season.

I think i'm done ranting for now. GL to all here and I hope I can provide something useful to the forum in the future.
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Old 10-15-2009, 04:36 PM
Jackets_Fan Jackets_Fan is offline
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Interesting that you predict a convergence to the mean as opposed to an ongoing trend.
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Old 10-15-2009, 04:47 PM
sk35 sk35 is offline
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Every trend tends to break. The question is WHEN?
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