College Foots Week 7

[matt71211]

Friday

Cincinnati (-2) @ South Florida 1 UNIT

My biggest reason for picking the small road favorite here was what will probably be the biggest deciding factor in this game, Turnovers. South Florida has lived off of the turnover this year, forcing 16 in 5 games. Two large reasons for this number... 7 Turnovers forced in a 14 point win last week @ Syracuse. Also, in their only real test this year, they forced 4 turnovers at Florida State. While I will stop short of calling the Florida State win a fluke their two touchdowns in that game were to wide open receivers, apparently on missed assignments, and the +2 TO ratio certainly helped. Cincinnati comes into this game protecting the ball well, with only 3 TO's in 5 games. Cincinnati also comes in with a better offensive attack averaging 468 offensive yards per game. South Florida rushing stats are skewed by their early schedule and have been much more down to earth in their last two games. While the Bulls boast a good defense I expect Cincy will eventually wear them down and South Florida's offense will have a hard time keeping up. South Florida will have a raucous home crowd tonight, but they will need much more then that to keep up. GL

[Daws1089]

gl

[matt71211]

Wisconsin -2.5 (1 UNIT)
I watched Iowa's game against Michigan and it was quite an unimpressive showing. I'm not convinced their QB can win a big road game in the Big 10. This line would be somewhere between 7-10 if Iowa wasn't so far up in the ranks.

Arkansas +24.5 (1 Unit)
This appears to be a nice spot for a small Florida letdown. Arkansas boasts a very very good passing attack, and if nothing else Florida is going to have to put up half a dozen touchdowns to cover this large number.

Houston/Tulane Over 67.5 (1 Unit)
BYU 54 Pts @ Tulane, Tulsa 37 pts @ Tulane..
Mcneese State.. in an unlined game.. 32 pts @ Tulane..
Houston is averaging 560+ yards per game including 440 ypg through the air.
While I'd generally just lay the large number here, Houston's defense has repeatedly proved it cant stop anybody. 67.5 is a lot, but with a QB seeking more Heisman recognition.. Tulane is a good recipe for success.

[matt71211]

Disappointing start.

Add:

Arizona State -6.5 (1 Unit)
Alabama -18 (1 Unit)