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Spread is UL -6.5 and I can't find an total yet (LOVE Kentucky). I understand it won't be set in the 90's cause the UNDER would get hammered, but my point is that it wouldn't be out of the question, IMHO at all. If I had to guess, I'd guess 78.5.
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Louisville fan here:
Kentucky has 2 DT out for this game and their D Line was already a weakness. Add the fact that Kragthorpe has shown that he likes to sit on the ball all 4th quarter. The first half should be a shootout, but I think things will slow way down in the second half. If Louisville has a lead, the 4th will fly by. I'm very worried about this game and won't be betting on it, but thought I might be able to be of some service to you guys. First half OVER Second half UNDER Could be a good strategy. |
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Appreciate the suggestions but I don't really see how one can think to play the 2H UNDER without seeing the 1H played. I also don't think Kragthorpe can "sit on the ball" if Woodson, Little and Burton are still going nuts (As we assume they will be).
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Kentucky is coming in to this game with some serious momentum
First of all the bowl win carry over from last year and the back to back 50 point offensive outputs in games 1 and 2 of this year Not to mention this is a rival game .. GIVE WILLI THE POINTS
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Keep em in the hole, Down in the hole |
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Ahhhhhhh the 2004 AutoZone Liberty Bowl... best day of my life! Louisville/Boise-St OV 82.5, final leg on 3-play parlay, 5-play parlay, 8-play parlay, for a total profit of +133 Units! Ran a chunk on a 2-game basketball parlay later on that night for an additional 80 Units. Changed my life for a whole year. Best New Year of my life! Of course, being my first year as a university student, that win amount meant a lot back then and the same amount wouldn't come near the number of units from then. Now if I win that much, it would equate to maybe 100 units total.
Anyways, the toal will be set HIGH. Louisville can score at will and has no defence, that's pretty much all you need to know. Even if KY tries to run the ball as much as they can for the heck of time of posession, they won't be able to once Louisville gets 3 quick TDs. And why should they? The pathetic Mid-Tenn came so close to getting an upset against this joke of a defence. Will the total be set higher than the Hawai'i game? |
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My thought is Kentucky will answer most of Louisville's scores therefore the Cardinals will have to "out score" the Cats. This would (IMO) push both into the high 30's or above. With that said it could be a low scoring struggle LOL.
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_________________________________________ Record is unit for unit... Book is 5-Dimes (reduced juice)... NCAA: 38-44-3 NFL: 5-2-2 |
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When I say "sit on the ball" I just meant run the ball 90% of the time. Louisville could very well keep scoring while just running the ball. This exactly what Kragthorpe did against MTSU.
Kentucky has major talent at QB, RB, TE and WR. They are however outclassed on the O Line and D Line. I think UK has a decent chance to win this game. But they haven't beaten a ranked team in a long time and there is little reason to believe they can stop Brohm. Is see it as a 28-21 UL lead at the half. And a 42-31 Louisville win. |
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Should be an extremely entertaining game to watch. WATCH IT BE 10-9, HAHAHA... |
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