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IP's Week 2

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  • IP's Week 2

    Already? As Ricky Bobby reminds us - "If you're not first, you're last!" So Let's get started on Week 2.

    NFL YTD
    Sides 3-3-0 (-0.3)
    Teasers: 2-7-0 (-4.3)


    Cowboys @ Seahawks

    I scooped up the early week Cowboys -3 (1 unit) in anticipation of the spread increasing by Saturday. I think the Cowboys finally have a balanced offense with D. Murray and then the receiving core. I know the Seahawks almost pinched out a Week 1 win in AZ, but come on it's AZ! I think R. Wilson has talent, but it was the Seattle Defense that kept them in that game. M. Lynch still does not look 100% and the Cowboys defense is looking hungrier than ever. I see this game being a defensive 1st half, but the Dallas deep threats opened up by production of Murray scoring, or at least providing good field position for Dallas to win by more than 2 field goals. Oh not to mention Romo looks like a top 5 QB again this season.



    Bears @ Packers

    I'm leaning home chalk right now, but I really want to see what happens with Chicago's defensive injuries. If they get a healthy Tillman back and a comfortable looking Urlacher in practice tomorrow, then I might lean the other way. GB's has lots of WR threats even if G. Jennings (groin) doesn't make it back or is limited Thursday. Admittedly they haven't shown much with the ground game and the way the Bears Def. likes to poke and strip RBs I'm not comfortable with Benson getting a lot of carries. Look for A. Rodgers to find a mismatch in the banged up Urlacher with Finely getting consistent looks all game. Now the Bears are no slouch on offense either. They have a double deep threat in B. Marshall and A. Jeffery. A lot is being said with the physical mismatch Jeffery presents to the Packers secondary. If Cutler can limit his picks and the defense in J. Peppers and company can keep the game close, the Bears might just cover. I'm liking the overs right now too due to the likely air battle, but also because of the explosive returners in Hester for the Bears and Cobb for the Packers - they should help set up good field positions all game long.
    I'll look to make my pick early Thursday keeping an eye on Bears Defense and to see if the Packers make any adjustments to the run game with RBs or OL changes.


    More to come later this week.

    Iron Protocol
    Last edited by Iron Protocol; 09-11-2012, 01:04 PM.

  • #2
    Adding:

    Ravens @ Eagles
    Ravens ML (+115) (1unit) The line dropped quickly in less than a day from 3 to 2.5 and I wanted this early week grab before the ML all but disappeared for the Ravens who I think are not the statistical dogs in this fight. Ray Rice is consistent and Flacco is a strong no huddle commander. I think the Ravens are the total package. I won't deny that Vick is probably the most talented athlete on the field that day, but he is not instilling much confidence in fans or cappers right now. I like McCoy to have upwards of a century mark rushing, but the Ravens win this comfortably by air and land with Rice leading the charge. Some have questioned the "aging" Ravens defense, but as week 1 has shown, they still got it. As far as homefield advantage - Eagles fans can be as fickle as the come, if Vick and the offense get behind early don't expect the 12th man to help rally the team to a comeback victory. I know, right now you're saying "but Ed Reed". I hear ya - I'm hoping for the best, but I still think the Ravens win the match on defense the way Vick has started his season.

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    • #3
      Ended up taking Packers @-4.5. (1 unit)

      Jumped on Raiders @ -2.5. More favorites than I like to pick in one weekend, but a healthy McFadden lights up defenses. I'm not sure the dolphins deserve the line they were given. Most of the other factors are net positive for Oakland. They should win by around a TD.

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      • #4
        Post GB win: NFL YTD 4-3-0 (+0.7)

        Good thing I gave up o/u last year. I like to talk about my leans on overs, but I'm wrong most of the time. I'll take the ugly win for GB, but I'm taking a big hit in fantasy this week courtesy of Rodgers and Finley.

        I'm looking favorably at Titans to cover and I'm going to run them through my sim and head-to-head checklist and see if I find value in the line...I'll let you know tomorrow.

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        • #5
          NFL 4-3-0 (+0.7)

          Week 2 Pending (1 unit each):
          Ravens ML (+115)
          Raiders -2.5
          Cowboys -3
          Titans +6.5
          Falcons -3

          Titans @ Chargers
          I like Jake Locker to bounce back despite a little shoulder trouble to his non-throwing arm and have a good game. I am a small believer in Kenny Britt having an impact even with a limited snap quantity. Chargers were blessed with good field position with the Raiders and really weren't too impressive on offense. They have above average skill position players, but I don't see them firing on all cylinders yet. Lots of folks here like the Titans to cover as well, which I like to see.

          Falcons hosting Broncos
          The Falcons look solid and on Monday night at home I think they're the clear winner. There's no telling how well Peyton will do in his second game, but he certainly has the ability to keep it close. I'll settle for the push on this one, but I believe Atlanta should be able to distance themselves a little more.

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