why does vegas set 7.5 total run lines??

[Personified]

In a sport where almost all games go over, why does vegas set 7.5 run lines, even if penny is pitching or zito or peavy...and why dont most people take advantage of this instead of wasting money taking a side? Totals are alot easier than sides. After this season, I am going to look at what Ive done to see if I can improve. One of the things I need to do is stop betting unders, trying to find that one or 2 games that actually go under is not worth it. Unless a game involves Toronto, there is no value in taking an under, toronto has been an under team for the first half of a game atleast all season. Next season after the cooler months past around june I will be betting all overs. Thats it, no sides all overs!

[Personified]

Take a look at tonight:

SANDIEGOSF GIANTS

TOTAL SET AT 8 HALF SET AT 4

OVER FIRST HALF PUSHED( 4 RUNS), OVER FULL GAME WON (10 RUNS)

COLO/LADODGERS TOTAL AT 7.5 HALF SET AT 3.5

OVER FIRST HALF WON (9 RUNS), OVER FULL GAME WON (16 RUNS)

ST LOUIS/MILWAUKEE TOTAL AT 9 HALF AT 5

OVER FIRST HALF WON (8 runs) OVER FULL GAME WON (10 RUNS)

HOUSTON/CINCI

TOTAL SET AT 10 HALF SET AT 5.5

OVER FIRST HALF WON (9 RUNS) OVER FULL GAME WON (13 RUNS)

WASHINGTON/NYMETS

TOTAL SET AT 8.5 HALF SET at 4.5

OVER FIRST HALF WON (9 RUNS) OVER FULL GAME WON (19 RUNS)

ATLANTA/PHILLY

TOTAL SET AT 11 FIRST HALF SET AT 6

OVER FIRST HALF WON (9 RUNS) OVER FULL GAME WON (16 RUNS)

TORONTO/ BALTIMORE

TOTAL SET AT 8.5 HALF SET AT 4.5

OVER FIRST HALF WON (10 RUNS) OVER FULL GAME WON (15 RUNS)

KC/CHICAGO WHITE SOX

TOTAL SET AT 9 HALF AT 5

OVER FIRST HALF WON (7 RUNS) OVER FULL GAME WON( 14 RUNS)

OTHER GAMES

YANKS - FIRST HALF lost FULL GAME WON

OAKLAND FIRST HALF LOST FULL GAME PUSHED


ONLY 3 games stayed under - CUBS/FLOR, TEXAS/LA, MINN/DET

[V3r1f13d]

That's just today though. I dont have stats, but in my life 7.5 (I've seen 6.5 before) usually stays Under.

If you have 2 solid pitchers going at it and they have a "solid outing" meaning they give up 2 runs in 6 innings, a piece. You have 3 runs to go for 3 more innings.

Two aces have a really good chance of a solid outing, if not better.

I'm on the Minny vs Det Under 8 tommorow. Lets say Santana has a solid outing (which he may even do better) and gives up 2 runs, then for Detroit has hit Minny for 3 more to make up more than their half. Then also taking into consideration that Detoirt may only be up for another 2 innings if they are up (wont hit the 9th). Minny can't hit a 30MPH nerf ball right now, so I'm cool with the Under 8. Over 8 would be a lot more riskier in my point of view.

That's how I see it anyways. Not saying I'm right, but 7.5 makes sense to me. 6.5 is scary, but I've seen it and it didn't go over.

[Personified]

You are right, I have seen 7 run games earlier on in the season go under. But I think they are making a mistake given the circumstances of these games. I have been very successful backin my man Harang as well as CC sebathia for first half unders, made me alot of $$$. Other than those two, and a few Toronto pitchers, I dont think I can back an under.

[Personified]

In september lines set at 7 - 7.5 are 13 overs 6 unders very profitable if you took every over.

[V3r1f13d]

Oswalt was bank for me last year.