Cavorca MLB Fri

[cavorca12]

5/9:

MLB YTD: 115-135-1 (-4.71 Units)

Chicago Cubs -110 ... 1 Unit


AZ has done ok vs lefties, but they're only hitting .235 on the road. Haren has 2 road starts, compared to his 5 at home, and he gave up 6 R (5 ER) in 4.2 IP at LAD and 3 ER in 6 IP at Cin. Haren also typically allows a decent number of fly balls. Lilly seems to have figured things out and has pitched well his last 3 starts, so hopefully that trend continues.

Also like TB and Minn, and still have some more to check out. GL!

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Tampa Bay RL +130 ... 0.75 Unit
Shields has done better at home than away the last 2 years. TB coming off extras W to win series over Tor. Garland off a great start allowing just 1 run, but he is inconsistent. In his other 2 starts after giving up 1 and 2 R, he's allowed 7 and 4 runs, and he appears to also be alternating b/t good and bad starts to some extent. The LAA ended their last series with an L, and of the 3 times they've done that this year, they've lost game 1 of the next series twice (the 2 most recent times). That might not matter much since both were only 1 run L's, but still might be something worth noting.

Oakland -117 ... 1.05 Unit
Basically just backing the lefty Smith (but not just b/c he's an LSU guy, lol) against so-so lefty hitting Tex, despite them returning home after some W's over Sea. Smith has done very well and Oak has done well away, so I'll take what is IMO the better SP and team as a short fav vs Feldman and Tex.

Florida at Washington Over 9.5 (-105) ... 1 Unit
Redding has thrown well this year and last but really isn’t more than a 5-6 IP and 3-4 R guy. Nolasco isn't anything special, has made it past 5 IP in 1 start (6 IP, wohoo), and opponents have scored 6+ R in 4 of 6 games he started. Hopefully the pens give up a couple as well. IMO both teams are hitting well enough for a play.

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New York +125 ... 0.75 Unit
Igawa wasn't very good last year but did ok in the minors (3.86 ERA and 12 BB's in 39.2 IP), and even though the Yanks aren't at full strength, they have hit well vs Rogers. Det just really hasn't gotten everything together. Det also swept in NY 2 series ago, hopefully NY remembers that and start this series with a W.