~~ BIFF'S BASES - MAY 14th ~~

[Biff_Tannen]

Ok boys, back for Wednesday baseball. Here's what I like out of the box tonight.

Arroyo has a high 7+ ERA, but one thing I like about him is that the Ks have been there the whole year. Close to 9Ks per 9 IP. The gopher balls he was giving up have seemed to dissapate as he's getting the ball lower in the zone. He's given up 8 HRs this year in 8 starts, but 4 of them came in one game early in the year against Philly. The Marlins on the other hand are flying high with that offense... but looking at that lineup, for some reason doesn't scare me. One reason I think is the Marlins are playing way over their head. They own the lowest payroll in MLB but yet are sitting atop the NL East. Now, I'm not one to say they can't win... but C. Ross at leadoff and J. Cantu in the 4 hole seems weak. Amazingly I like Patterson and Phillips better.

The tide is clearly changing for the Fins, who have lost two after winning 7 in a row (the last 4 as an underdog). The books have had to lower the price today. I like the fact that the Marlins are 0-4 after losing the first two games of a series in their last 4 attempts. Also, the Fish have lost their last 6 games at the GAB. Nolasco is a flyball pitcher who lacks consistency and is coming off a QS. Arroyo has won all three of his starts with Vanover behind the plate, so he knows what to expect. Reds are 1-4 in Arroyos last 5 home starts... but are 5-1 in Arroyos last 6 starts as a home favorite. You see where I'm going with this one. A little chalky for my tastes, but I think it's worth it tonight. Good Luck.


MAY 14th

CINCINNATI REDS -130

*RISKING $390 to win $300


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May ML = (11-11) +$30
May RL = (0-1) -$345
May O/U = (1-1) +$0
May H+R+E = (1-0) +$300
May Parlays = (1-2) -$135


--

Starting Bankroll = $30,000

Current Bankroll = $31,695


1% Bet Amount = $300

Bet Change @ $33,000 / $27,000

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[ALMOST1]

Hey Biff, long time no talk.

GL tonight with Cinci

Go Reds!

[Biff_Tannen]

I like this Over a lot and it's gotten too cheap for me to lay off. The Under numbers on Parra are 100% due to a lack of offense. I don't think the Brewers bats will be cold at home tonight (they average 5 runs). Also, I feel better taking an Over with the Brewers now that Gagne is back. Dodgers have been knocking lefties on the road, and I think Parra should be good for 4-5 himself. At the start of this season an arguement could be made that these two offenses were in the TOP 5 in the NL. Milwaukee has been struggling, but I think this is a bad spot for Lowe coming off two bad outtings, cause most of this Brewers lineups have had success against him. Good Luck.



DODGERS/BREWERS - OVER 9 (-105)

*RISKING $315 to win $300

[Biff_Tannen]

Couldn't believe the implosion that happened in Cincy, 6 runs in the 9th?? C'mon... glad the rook was able to make his debut a memorable one... couldn't script it better.

Glad the Dodgers finnaly got off the schnide and made something happen. Seems the closer role is just jinxed in Milwaukee.

Wasn't easy, but I was able to get away with a couple winners tonight. Makes 2 winning days in a row for me... hope I can keep rolling. Back tomorrow.


--

May ML = (12-11) +$330
May RL = (0-1) -$345
May O/U = (2-1) +$300
May H+R+E = (1-0) +$300
May Parlays = (1-2) -$135


--

Starting Bankroll = $30,000

Current Bankroll = $32,295


1% Bet Amount = $300

Bet Change @ $33,000 / $27,000

--

[wsox08]

nice biff, I was on both.. won one that we got fortunate to win and won one that we almost lost..

[FlushingHearts]

Nice hits Biff.

Got my ass handed to me today.... brutal games....

Keep up the great work!