MLB World Series Series Play and Gm 1

[BoilerBacker]

268-265-1 +44.02 units

Playoffs (included above)

12-9-1 +10.22 units

Series play on

Philadelphia +131 .......................................2*

This line is obviously inflated, probably because books are on the hook for a huge payout to Tampa Bay preseason wagers at 200:1 payouts and higher. I would give TB a slight edge in the series due to starting pitching and home field advantage, but to me, there is an extra 20-25 cents of juice on TB Series odds.

Gm 1

Under 7.5 -120 ...........................................2*

I am also leaning towards playing Philly in game one, but will wait a day before I pull the trigger.

GL

[BOBBYW]

I LIKE PHI TOO..........TB BULL PEN AND CLOSER SITUATION SCARES ME

[FultonStreetBlues]

You really think anyone took TB for WS in preseason? I doubt it.

[Larry]

I made a small play on Philly myself, got at +129.

GL

[Stifler's Mom]

Originally Posted by FultonStreetBlues

You really think anyone took TB for WS in preseason? I doubt it.

Oh hell yea people did. I personally know a dude (actually a friend of my brother) who in a drunken stupor while in Reno at a bowling tournament put cash on the rams to win the superbowl in the 1999 season after they were 3-13 in 1998. I guess he was a rams fan or something?

He got paid like 40 grand on a $100 bet at 400:1 if i remember the story correctly, and i know it's not made up cause they were joking about his bet the whole season after the Rams looked decent after like 2 games....and it turned into this huge thing once they actually got to about the NFC championship game....so it was public knowledge that he did it, not just some bull**** attention story he made up once they were already there....so yea, i'm sure there are people out there with money on TB, for whatever reason...

[V3r1f13d]

I think the casinos are making a big deal out of it for nothing. Why, I don't know, but there has to be something behind it. Falsely justifying the inflated line. Make more coverage, who knows.

The payout of TB winning the WS is nothing compared to the money they collected on ALL the other teams to win the WS. Sure, some people took them to win the WS. Hell, I put a 200:1 on the Nats (ya, wrong 200 to 1 this year) but it's not as devistating as people make it out to be. Im sure they rather pay out a couple 200-1 tickets (probably very small wagers at that) than a couple thousand 10-1 tickets.

[Stifler's Mom]

Agreed 100%

I was just saying that I'm sure people have TB to win it all

In all reality, I bet a Phillies win in the world series hurts the books more than a TB win, for the same reason you said....that way more people actually could have seen the Phils with a legit shot to win it, therefore there has to be a ton more wagered on them, therefore larger payouts, even if the odds were much lower.

In reality, I think they have favored TB because:

a) they have homefield,

b) They're a nice story while Philly flies under the radar, so naturally more people are going to think TB wins it, therefore lets inflate the line a little cause they'll pay it anyway,

c) they're the AL club, and the AL is perceived to always be stronger, and in most cases it is true like BOS over COL last year, and

d) no PHI team ever wins a championship, so who is going to pay a FAVE price for a bet like that?

With all due respect to TB and what they've done, I believe PHI is the better team, and alot of the season stats would show that.

Also, TB looked satisfied to win the AL, to be honest, when on the other hand you know that's not the case with the veteran led PHI team. Plus PHI has the mental advantage of having been thru some tough series losses before, and their core of players with the hunger of being the league a long time with no championships, knowing this experience may never come again, and yet the experience to handle the pressure and make the most of it.

Obvious back of the bullpen advantages to PHI as well (now watch Lidge melt the f down and blow every save chance he gets. Albert Pujols isn't playing for TB, is he? LOL), and that could be a big part of the series too.

One more thing, it doesn't hurt that PHI is an above .500 road team for the season (44-37 reg season and 3-2 in the playoffs), and they clinched both prior playoff series this year on the road....so obviously they have the ability to overcome TB's big homefield advantage.

I do worry about PHI coming out sluggish offensively after the long layoff, however....

[BoilerBacker]

Originally Posted by V3r1f13d

I think the casinos are making a big deal out of it for nothing. Why, I don't know, but there has to be something behind it. Falsely justifying the inflated line. Make more coverage, who knows.

The payout of TB winning the WS is nothing compared to the money they collected on ALL the other teams to win the WS. Sure, some people took them to win the WS. Hell, I put a 200:1 on the Nats (ya, wrong 200 to 1 this year) but it's not as devistating as people make it out to be. Im sure they rather pay out a couple 200-1 tickets (probably very small wagers at that) than a couple thousand 10-1 tickets.

I think you are wrong on this. Most season type/future plays especially those where the odds are high are attractive to bettors vs. the 3:1 Red Sox or Cubs plays. It is a lotto mentality. Why put 100 on the Red Sox at small odds when you can put it on a team that you think has a 25:1 shot in reality but will pay ten times that, especially in a situation where only 4 teams from each league make the playoffs.