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Baseball is back!! And my Philadelphia Phillies are ready to defend their World Series title. I am very excited. If the Phillies can stay healthy there is no reason why they cannot win it again.
Here is how I like to bet on baseball. Unlike football and basketball where I play regular (1 unit plays), strong (2 unit plays) and best bet (3 unit plays), I keep everything just one unit in baseball. For some reason in baseball only I don’t feel any one play is better than another. My goal every year is to only play dogs, but I don’t have the discipline to do that, but I will however try and do mostly dogs. When I do take a favorite on a single bet, the rule that I have is I will not take anything over a -150 favorite. I like everybody else love those big favorites too, but it is crazy to lay that much juice, so what I like to do is play two favs together in a parlay. With parlays I will always lay just one unit. You can take two -200 favs and only risk one unit to win 1.25 units. Two -180 favs pays 1.42 units…I don’t think those odds are too bad at all for teams “that should win” Here is what I did last year. I consider last year a bad year. I was in the hole most of the season and climbed my way back and barely finished in the plus. It was my worst baseball season in several years. Bottom line is I finished in the plus, not the minus. As you can see, it was those favorites that were my weak spot. LAST YEAR Favorites (102-94)(-14.88 units) Underdogs (87-103)(+3.96 units) Parlays (52-56)(+12.81 units) For The Season (241-253)(+1.89 units) PLAY BALL!! |
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