Friday 4/10

[Stifler's Mom]

reg plays 16-9 (+10.61 units)
fave rl's 5-9 (-1.00 units)
overall 21-18 (+9.61 units)
1 run wins by faves (where the fave won the game but I lost the RL): 3 of 14

Wish I had known yesterday that the Dodgers would strand 13 runners, and that Cory Wade would give up 4 of the most solid balls I've ever seen hit consecutively in the 8th. A game LA definitely let get away....

Anyway, I see A TON of value in all 3 of these games. Hopefully I can get 2 of them, and even 1 of the 3 wouldn't hurt all that bad....

Milwaukee Brewers +126

Nice price to get the Brew Crew @ home against Dick Harden, who imo is a huge ass bust and always has something negative going on physically, or otherwise. Despite the talent being there, I do not feel he can be trusted to do anything but suck. Harden and the Flubs are favored today simply because they are that, Harden and the Flubs, imo.

KC Royals +150

Yanks win one, and now they're 30 cents overpriced again. What's so great about this team? KC has been solid vs LHP in the past, and Pettitte is like 54 now. Despite not scoring much vs CHW, KC had a ton of opportunities in all 3 games, so obviously the runs are going to start piling up for them. Also, there just might be a few butts in the seats at Kauffman Stadium today (maybe even JB, LOL), since they're re-opening the park, or whatever, after all those renovations.

Yanks should be a small fave here at best, imho, as their bullpen is still ****, and their offense is hit or miss.

This is a game where I feel many things line up nicely for KC to have every chance to get the win.

Colorado +120

Hamels may or may not be ready, but other than 1 inning where ATL let them back in the game with a ton of walks, including walking in 4 runs, the Phils offense has been garbage.

Now they get to fly cross country and go up against the Rockies, whose offense has been exactly the opposite to start the year, averaging nearly 7 runs a game.

Interesting note of the game: The Rockies faced LHP Doug Davis yesterday, and face lefty Cole Hamels today. Last season, the Rockies went 9-1 in the SECOND game when facing a lefty starter on back to back days....as opposed to 17-20 in the FIRST game of the same sequence (in other words after facing a righty, then going to a lefty)

Could be coincidence....or maybe not. Just thought I'd throw that out there.....as it applies here today.

Oh yea, for whatever reason Marquis has had huge success at Coors field as a visitor throughout his career. Hopefully he can carry it over now that he's wearing a Rockies uniform.

2 units each

[Stifler's Mom]

adding:

NY Mets -120

Marlins knocked the Mutts out of the playoffs for the 2nd straight year. Revenge.

Mutts have played well with the exception of crappy Oliver Perez, and I think they'll be focused and looking to get back in the W column tonight.

With Putz and Rodriguez now at the back end of the pen filling what was obviously one of their huge voids from last season, I think the Mutts are a team to play ON, not against, until either proven otherwise, or until their lines get inflated out of control.

SF Giants +105

The Padres still suck, still suck vs LHP, and I will continue to fade them against LHP's, especially when they are FAVORED. The Dodgers allowed them to hang around yesterday by stranding 13, and SD made them pay for it....but it was RHP Cory Wade that they beat, not Kershaw, who they did all but zero against, as usual when they face an LHP.

Giants have looked good, and are the better team here imo.

Zito blows, but I'm gonna roll with him and the Giants as a dog against a bad SD team, in a game where Zito's crappyness should be neutralized by the crappyness of the SD offense.

LA Angels/Boston Red Sux under 9 -110

A rare total for play for me, and it's a situational one.

Neither of these offenses has exactly been smacking the crap out of the ball, with each averaging just over 3 runs per game.

With the Adenhart tragedy yesterday, and Boston having to come cross country, I just don't see this being the day both of these teams get the bats rolling.

2 units each

I keep looking at the Twins, wanting to fade Contreras, but that means backing R.A. Dickey, lol. Not sure if i want to do that, even though I want to fade the crap out of oil can Contreras as a -143 fave.....

[Stifler's Mom]

Adding:

LA Dodgers/Arizona D'Backs under 10 +100

2 units

[Q-Unit]

hey stifler, do you still dabble in that road system?

I quit after last year's after like 1 or 2 series lol I saw it wasnt gonna be spectacular like 2 years ago, so I got out without too much damage....

GL on your games

[Stifler's Mom]

LOL @ Zito

Q - Not yet this year. I might look into it at some point, but just haven't gotten around to it yet. I'm not sure what changes have been made from last year's plays, and i'm too lazy to go looking. SkinsFan always sent me the info on which teams to play for or against, over/under, etc, lol

I always liked it though....but i guess it hit a rough year last season. I was lucky and missed out on that huge loss it took early and many people didn't recover from, and I think I was somewhere around even when I quit it sometime in August. It was getting to be too much work to not get anywhere....like you said, it didn't seem to be producing very good results last season.

Then again, the guy had the Braves to play to WIN on the road (amongst some other things that were really outdated imo), and they were 29-52 on the road last season, so what kind of results can really be expected?