***Slowley Sunday***

[Underdog88]

MLB 104-84 +61.37 units



1-1-1 yesterday losing juice. As I've stated before Slowley is an auto-play 1st5 for me. M's can't score, so it's silly to lay chalk with them right now. Even if they aren't facing one of the most dominant pitchers this season. Halladay is juiced up, but with good reason. Jays off a loss with Doc on the mound to win the series before going on the road. Normally I would stop with these two plays but I'm playing the card today and hoping to have a profitable day.....




Slowley 1st5+120

Halladay 1st5-.5-160

4 units each



Joba 1st5-.5-110

Lincecum 1st5-125

Parra 1st5+133

Haren 1st5-.5-115

2 units each



Halladay-1.5-115 (gm)
Slowley 1st5-.5+160

1.5 to win 5.79 units

[Stifler's Mom]

Not to be the contrarian, but I played Seattle today, and I don't think it was silly to do so.

I agree with your assessment of Seattle not being much of a scorer, but then again, neither are the Twins. 3.20 runs per game their last 10 isn't exactly a powerhouse, and for the entire season they average almost a full run per game less vs LHP. Add in a quality LHP instead of some of the garbage LHP they see in division vs CLE, and it's i'm sure it would be even lower. Not hard to believe since pretty much everyone who doesn't blow on the Twins bats left handed (Span, Maurer, Morneau and Kubel).

Also, going against a team who is a hapless 7-17 on the road at a mere -130 isn't bad odds, blindly....IMHO Bedard can match Slowey any day of the week, and especially today. Slowey has racked up most of that 8-1 record and 3.97 era (which is 1.60 runs higher than Bedard's) at home as well. Slowey is officially 1-1 on the road, but more importantly the Twins are 1-3 in contests started by him on the road. Not his fault, as he got no decisions and pitched well enough to win, but it further illustrates my point that the Twins do in fact suck on the road, that their pen is fully capable of blowing just about any lead, as they have proven so far this year, and that it's not unrealistic to think they might lose this game more than 57% of the time, which is roughly the break even point for me today.

In any case, I just think my wager on Seattle is far from a silly one. Who knows how it will turn out on the field, and if it loses, it won't be my first loss or my last, but it's one I'd make every time given the current circumstances. And hey, maybe we can both win, since you're on 1st 5 and i'm on full game