Monday 7/6

[Stifler's Mom]

ytd 471-435 (+34.79 units)

Braves +100
Reds +153
Pirates +145
Orioles -101
LA Angels -150

2 units each

****ty Natinals +185
****ty Natinals rl -110

1 unit each

Like catching such a high line against a Colorado team that is possibly headed into a slump after a real hot stretch, and even though he continued dominating last time out, Marquis is going to get lit up like his old self before long imo, it's just a matter of time. ****ty Natinals riding a (probably season high, lol) 2 game win streak

Hampton has dominated the Pirates, but sucked vs everyone else. Not sure what to make of that, but imo more importantly, Houston is 8-18 in the first game of a series, weather it be home or away. As opposed to 14-11 in game 2, and 15-8 in game 3. That shows me they are unprepared to take on new teams, and especially coming home tonight after a week long road trip capped with a nice win over the Giants, I certainly could see them laying an egg tonight. Certainly not a spot I'd want to lay -155 or more with them in just because ****ty Mike Hampton has had some success vs Pittsburgh in the past, which very well may just be a fluke anyway.

Hamels has blown lately, and the Phils pretty much have too. Their home record is poor (16-22), and their home record when Hamels starts is pretty poor too (3-5). The Reds on the other hand are 10-5 overall when Cueto starts, and more impressively 7-2 when he starts on the road. Reds are 20-20 overall on the road, which is actually quite respectable (and better than Philly's home record considerably). How does this translate into Philly -160+? I don't know, but at the very least, I see a ton of value on the Speds tonight.

I just like to continue fading the Flubs, who are once again seemingly favored for no good reason against the tough Jurrjens and a hot Braves team who has averaged over 6 runs per game their last 5 games, even if they did manage to drop the last 2 to the ****ty Natinals, lol. The key for me here is that Jurrjens has been a victim of no run support often this year, and it looks like tonight he actually may get a few to work with, with the Braves swinging more consistently.

Fading Seattle returning home after a pretty successful trip in which they battled LAD, NYY and BOS hard, going 5-4, all on the road, against arguably the 3 best teams in baseball. Letdown time. Plus Bergesen has been solid and the O's are finally scoring some runs on the road.

Angels look to avenge earlier season (and last week) losses at the hands of the Rangers tonight, and it looks like a good spot for them to do so. Their offense is hot, Texas is 2-5 when Millwood starts on the road, and Texas is 4-13 in the first series of a road trip. Another sign of an unprepared team. Texas has owned their opponents in the AL West to the tune of 15-4 so far this year, which includes 5-1 vs LAA I believe. Time for those numbers to average out a bit, I think, and tonight seems like as good of a spot as any.

[Stifler's Mom]

Adding:

Arizona -170
SF Giants -162

2 units each

Don't like laying this much juice with either one of these teams, especially Arizona, but there's good reason why they are both juiced like they are, especially Arizona.

Looks like the books think about as much of Walter Silva as I do. To make matters worse for them, SD traded away Scott Hairston to the A's today too (do the A's really think they're a contender?). In any case, morale has to have hit an all time low for SD, while Arizona is heating up.

I like the Giants to avenge the loss (and almost no hitter) West threw against them in Florida. West isn't that good, and has proven so since then. SF is one of the best home teams in baseball (which I believe is overlooked), and Cain is a top talent on the mound as well. SF also has one of the best bullpens in baseball (also overlooked I think), and I just think the SF offense should show up and do it's part tonight like it has been after being stifled yesterday, and hopefully Cain turns in his usual strong effort.

[gsad]

SD came through for you again, nice call on the late ones saved the day for you somewhat

[Stifler's Mom]

Yea, 4-5 and -2.02 units....so it could have been worse.

I would make every one of those plays again. The Phillies aren't gonna score 10 runs in the first inning and 22 for the game too often. Funny thing is, EVERYONE will be all over the Phils tonight just because they scored 22 last night, and it's actually a great reason to go against them, which I will be doing.

The stupid ass Natinals had about 19 chances to score too and failed...but what else is new? At least they covered the +1.5 so i broke even on that game. I can't believe they are playing Belliard. He sucks ass, and I cringe every time I have a play on them and see he is in the line up.

[gsad]

what about Hampton, what is it about the Bucs uniform that bring out Cy Young in him!
Public hammering the Phils so far.