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Over 9 for *5 stars -120 Ariz Phil...Freddy Garcia is one..throws nothing but slow curve balls now..fast ball in mid-80s and flat..he reminds me of Doc Gooden in last years but even worse...he won't go 5 innings
Over 5 for 5 innings -110 Ariz/Phil for *4 stars...like the above but maybe Davis pitches OK... Ariz-105 for *3 stars...Davis better than Garcia but Phils are hitting great right now...think Ariz gets an early lead but may have to hold on late. Ariz -110 for *4 stars for first 5 innings...same reasoning as above, Garcia will get racked..not sure about Davis..like the odds. YTD Record *5 stars 8-3 *4 stars 20-18 *3 stars 16-17 *2 stars 5-16 *1 star 3-2 YTD +.4units |
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meant to say "Garcia is done"...watched him pitch last time out...he is trying to fool everybody..no fast ball at all...straight as an arrow and slow...he has no arm strength...I'm torn between Ariz and over and bet both...I'm a little scared of the Phils bats...they are hot...Davis is pitching well but can be hit....Ariz +180 is not a bad bet either...think this one might get away from the Phils..just a hunch.
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Only pitches I saw last time out that looked like any kind of heat were high fast balls out of the strike zone...like the kind you just offer up hoping someone will chase them...as I said, absolutely no movement on his fast ball..and right now, he is a pure finesse pitcher...definitely scared of the Phils bats right now though...I could see a 10-9 game...hope it's 10-7 Ariz..
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